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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 34
Preview
Moreirense
Moreirense
7th place
Form
VS
14:30
16 May 2026
AVS
AVS
18th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Moreirense or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Moreirense vs AVS: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 16 May, 2026 9:30

Winner (1x2)1.83
Moreirense to Win
Probability 46%
Total Goals2.00
Under 2.5
Probability 58%
Both Teams to Score2.05
No (NG)
Probability 51%
Moreirense Total1.95
Home Under 1.5
Probability 59%
AVS Total1.07
Away Under 2.5
Probability 92%
Double Chance1.24
Moreirense/Draw
Probability 76%
Asian Handicap1.40
AVS +1.5
Probability 80%
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
14:30
Moreirense W 46%
:
AVS W 24%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Moreirense
d w l w l
16 Played
8 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (20 total)
xG
0.70 (11.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.6 (138 total)
Shots on Target
3 (35% acc)
Corners
3.9 (63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
13.3 (212 total)
Offsides
0.8 (12 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (17 total)
xG
1.00 (17.0 total)
Shots per Match
8.3 (141 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (40% acc)
Corners
3.3 (56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.9 (236 total)
Offsides
1.5 (25 total)
33 Played
12 Wins
6 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (37 total)
xG
0.90 (28.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.5 (279 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (37% acc)
Corners
3.6 (119 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
13.6 (448 total)
Offsides
1.1 (37 total)
AVS
d d d w w
17 Played
2 Wins
6 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (15 total)
xG
0.80 (13.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (173 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (32% acc)
Corners
3.2 (55 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (4 total)
Fouls
13.4 (228 total)
Offsides
1.5 (25 total)
16 Played
1 Wins
5 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (12 total)
xG
0.90 (13.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (167 total)
Shots on Target
2.4 (23% acc)
Corners
3.8 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.5 per match
xGa
1.90 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.1 (210 total)
Offsides
1.1 (18 total)
33 Played
3 Wins
11 Draws
19 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (27 total)
xG
0.80 (27.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (340 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (27% acc)
Corners
3.5 (116 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (5 total)
Fouls
13.3 (438 total)
Offsides
1.3 (43 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.40 vs 1.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.68%
0:1
8.98%
0:2
3.77%
0:3
1.06%
0:4
0.22%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
13.25%
🔥
1:1
12.84%
1:2
6.11%
1:3
1.91%
1:4
0.44%
1:5
0.08%
2
2:0
8.22%
2:1
9.02%
2:2
4.82%
2:3
1.67%
2:4
0.43%
2:5
0.09%
3
3:0
3.4%
3:1
4.17%
3:2
2.47%
3:3
0.95%
3:4
0.27%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
1.05%
4:1
1.43%
4:2
0.93%
4:3
0.39%
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.26%
5:1
0.39%
5:2
0.28%
5:3
0.13%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.3%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.7%
0
22.2%
1
24.8%
2
19.6%
3
12.2%
4
6.3%
5
2.8%
6
1.0%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

MoreirenseHDPAVS
6.6%
Very Low@ 6.25
-2.5
1.7%
Very Low
13.2%
Very Low@ 5.50
-2
4.6%
Very Low
19.9%
Very Low@ 3.50
-1.5
7.5%
@ 9.50Very Low
32.6%
Low@ 2.42
-1
16.0%
@ 9.20Very Low
45.3%
Medium@ 1.78
-0.5
24.4%
@ 4.25Low
75.6%
High@ 1.25
+0.5
54.7%
@ 2.10Medium
84.0%
Very High@ 1.00
+1
67.4%
@ 1.62High
92.5%
Very High@ 1.04
+1.5
80.2%
@ 1.40Very High
95.4%
Very High
+2
86.8%
@ 1.15Very High
98.3%
Very High
+2.5
93.4%
@ 1.12Very High

Team Total Predictions

MoreirenseOutcomeAVS
40.8%
Medium@ 1.90
Over 1.5
26.4%
@ 3.50Low
59.2%
Medium@ 1.95
Under 1.5
73.6%
@ 1.31High
16.7%
Very Low@ 3.90
Over 2.5
8.0%
@ 10.00Very Low
83.4%
Very High@ 1.29
Under 2.5
92.0%
@ 1.07Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Moreirense vs AVS Saturday, May 16th, 2026 at 9:30 Football

AI Value Bets
3 Found

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Goals O/U Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 57.5%
EV: +15.0%
Stake: $2.50
2.00
Asian Handicap AVS +1.5
Value
Prob: 80.2%
EV: +12.2%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Asian Handicap AVS +1
Value
Prob: 67.4%
EV: +9.2%
Stake: $4.03
1.62
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-13 03:01:41
spinner

Trends for Moreirense vs AVS Football 16 May, 2026 9:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Moreirense vs AVS

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: AVS is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: AVS is stronger in the second half (12 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Moreirense

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.07

✈️ AVS

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.1

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Moreirense - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ AVS - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Moreirense - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2

✈️ AVS - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: AVS is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7)
  • First Half Result: Consider AVS to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: AVS shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of AVS winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Moreirense has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Moreirense handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.069
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.035
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Moreirense):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (AVS):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Moreirense
AVS

Moreirense vs AVS Head-to-head statistics for Sat 16 May, 2026 @ 9:30 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
GIL Vicente
d l w d l
>
33
13
11
9
47
35
12
50
7
Moreirense
d w l w l
>
33
12
6
15
37
49
-12
42
8
Guimaraes
d w w l l
>
33
12
6
15
39
49
-10
42

17
Tondela
l l d w w
>
33
6
10
17
26
52
-26
28
18
AVS
d d d w w
>
33
3
11
19
27
67
-40
20
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Moreirense or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Moreirense
VS
AVS
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (6)
0.3 (1)
xG
1.40
0.60
Shots
14 (42)
11.3 (34)
Shots on Target
6.7 (20)
3 (9)
Corners
3.7 (11)
4.3 (13)
Defense
Conceded
0.3 (1)
2 (6)
xGa
0.60
1.40
Clean Sheets
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (9)
5 (15)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.3 (1)
Fouls
11.3 (34)
20.7 (62)
Offsides
3 (9)
1.3 (4)
3 Jan
- 20:30
AVS
Moreirense
0.36
xG
1.91
0
2
Prob 83%
Double Chance X2
Odd 1.33
17 May
- 17:00
AVS
Moreirense
0.32
xG
0.97
0
3
Prob 81%
Double Chance X2
Odd 1.90
4 Jan
- 15:30
Moreirense
AVS
1.34
xG
1.01
1
1
Last 6 Matches
Moreirense
VS
AVS
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.17 PPG 1.50
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
50% BTTS % 83%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.67 Avg xG 1.06
Moreirense
D W L W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 May 2026 - 19:15
Tondela
2 0
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 May 2026 - 14:30
Moreirense
3 2
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Benfica
4 1
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Apr 2026 - 19:15
Moreirense
1 0
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Apr 2026 - 19:45
Famalicao
1 1
Moreirense
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Moreirense
0 1
SC Braga
AVS
D D D W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 May 2026 - 17:00
AVS
3 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 May 2026 - 14:30
Nacional
1 2
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Apr 2026 - 19:30
AVS
1 1
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Apr 2026 - 19:45
Rio Ave
2 2
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Apr 2026 - 14:30
AVS
1 1
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Apr 2026 - 14:30
GIL Vicente
3 0
AVS

Moreirense vs AVS: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Moreirense and away matches for AVS

Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
AVS
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
AVS
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1X2
Moreirense
AVS
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
50% 5
20% 2
Double Chance
Moreirense
AVS
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
50% 5
80% 8
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Moreirense
AVS
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Total Corners
Moreirense
Under
Over
AVS
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
AVS
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Moreirense
AVS
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
60% 6
xG(xGa)
Moreirense
AVS
xG
0.7
0.86
xGa
1.52
1.6
Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
AVS
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
AVS
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Moreirense
AVS
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
10% 1
80% 8
2
60% 6
10% 1
Double Chance
Moreirense
AVS
12
90% 9
20% 2
1X
40% 4
90% 9
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
Moreirense
AVS
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
AVS
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
Number of goals
Moreirense
Under
Over
AVS
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Moreirense
AVS
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7
1X2
Moreirense
AVS
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
20% 2
60% 6
2
60% 6
20% 2
Double Chance
Moreirense
AVS
12
80% 8
40% 4
1X
40% 4
80% 8
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Moreirense
AVS
0-1
80% 8
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Moreirense
AVS
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1.32 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Moreirense will take on AVS as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 34 and will take place on 2026-05-16 at 2026-05-16 in the famous Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Moreirense, and the visiting side, AVS. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Moreirense or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-16 Time: 14:30 Location: Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!