Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Botafogo
Botafogo
11th place
Form
VS
23:00
24 Aug 2026
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
3rd place
Form
A. Policarpo Bento
AI Prediction Atletico Paranaense Over 0.5 Goals 1.40
1 2.35 X 3.3 2 3.6
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 24 August, 2026 18:00

Winner (1x2)3.53
Atletico Paranaense to Win
Probability 40%
Total Goals2.13
Over 2.5
Probability 56%
Both Teams to Score1.83
Yes
Probability 59%
Botafogo Total1.63
Home Under 1.5
Probability 59%
Atletico Paranaense Total1.40
Away Over 0.5
Probability 78%
Double Chance1.67
Draw/Atletico Paranaense
Probability 65%
Asian Handicap1.20
Atletico Paranaense +1.5
Probability 86%
<
>
Best Tip
Total - Away Total - Away: Over 0.5
Value
1.4
Prob 77.8%
EV +8.9%
Stake $5.58
Bet Now
Missing Players
Botafogo
Arthur Cabral
- Suspended - Red Card
Kaio Pantaleão
- Injured - Knee Injury
Paulinho
- Injured - Injury
J. Barrera
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Atletico Paranaense
26
Claudinho
- Injured - Muscle Injury
37
Lucas Esquivel
- Injured - Ankle Injury
6
Leo Derik
- Injured - Inactive
22
d
C. Terán
- Injured - Injury
53
Dudu Kogitzki
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
• 23:00
Botafogo W 35%
:
Atletico Paranaense W 40%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.41 vs 1.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.47%
0:1
8.24%
0:2
6.2%
⭐
0:3
3.11%
⭐
0:4
1.17%
⭐
0:5
0.35%
⭐
1
1:0
7.7%
1:1
11.6%
🔥
1:2
8.73%
⭐
1:3
4.38%
⭐
1:4
1.65%
⭐
1:5
0.5%
⭐
2
2:0
5.42%
2:1
8.16%
2:2
6.15%
2:3
3.08%
⭐
2:4
1.16%
⭐
2:5
0.35%
⭐
3
3:0
2.55%
3:1
3.83%
3:2
2.88%
3:3
1.45%
⭐
3:4
0.54%
⭐
3:5
0.16%
⭐
4
4:0
0.9%
4:1
1.35%
4:2
1.02%
4:3
0.51%
⭐
4:4
0.19%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.25%
5:1
0.38%
5:2
0.29%
5:3
0.14%
⭐
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.5%
0
15.9%
1
23.2%
2
22.6%
3
16.4%
4
9.6%
5
4.5%
6
1.7%
7
0.5%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

BotafogoHDPAtletico Paranaense
4.4%
Very Low@ 10.00
-2.5
5.6%
@ 13.00Very Low
9.2%
Very Low@ 8.50
-2
11.0%
Very Low
13.9%
Very Low@ 5.00
-1.5
16.5%
@ 7.40Very Low
24.0%
Low@ 3.80
-1
27.3%
@ 6.35Low
34.1%
Low@ 2.33
-0.5
38.1%
@ 3.52Low
61.9%
High@ 1.35
+0.5
65.9%
@ 1.65High
72.7%
High@ 1.12
+1
76.0%
@ 1.30High
83.5%
Very High@ 1.10
+1.5
86.1%
@ 1.21Very High
89.0%
Very High
+2
90.8%
@ 1.01Very High
94.5%
Very High@ 1.01
+2.5
95.6%
@ 1.03Very High

⚽ Team Total Predictions

BotafogoOutcomeAtletico Paranaense
37.8%
Low@ 2.34
Over 1.5
40.5%
@ 3.12Medium
62.2%
High@ 1.63
Under 1.5
59.5%
@ 1.40Medium
15.3%
Very Low@ 5.50
Over 2.5
17.2%
@ 8.00Very Low
84.7%
Very High@ 1.17
Under 2.5
82.8%
@ 1.09Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Monday, Aug 24th, 2026 at 18:00 Football

AI Value Bets

Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense

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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-08-23 20:03:17
Home Draw Away
William Hill 2.20 3.10 3.10
Bet365 2.25 3.30 3.30
Unibet 2.18 3.15 3.35
Betfair 2.30 3.20 3.20
Pinnacle 2.33 2.98 3.54
SBO 2.24 2.98 2.86
Betano 2.35 3.10 3.60
888Sport 2.20 3.10 3.10
Dafabet 2.28 3.25 3.40
spinner

Trends for Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Football 24 Aug, 2026 18:00

Team Form Comparison

Botafogo Home
Form Index 54
Goals 7:5
PPG 1.60
Atletico Paranaense Away
Form Index 52
Goals 6:3
PPG 2.00
REMLCORWSANWVITDFLUD
VASLREMWPAUWCORDSANW
2/5
Won
3/5
4/5
Scored
3/5
2/5
Scored 2+
3/5
1/5
Clean sheet
2/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
0/5
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
4/5
BTTS
2/5

Botafogo

REMLCORWSANWVITDFLUD
Won 2/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 4/5

Atletico Paranaense

VASLREMWPAUWCORDSANW
Won 3/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 3/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 0/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 2/5
Head-to-Head · Last 1
BTTS 1/1
Over 2.5 1/1

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Atletico Paranaense keep clean sheets in 100% of away games — hard to break down

  • 🔒
    Low Scoring Lean

    Both teams show low-scoring venue form — Under 2.5 is a lean, not a suggests

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Botafogo Home
Atletico Paranaense Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Final stage: Atletico Paranaense is stronger in the closing minutes (8 vs 4).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Home Momentum -0.07 factor
Home Pressure 0.13 Away 0.20

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
7 0.35
Fast Start (0–15)
9 0.45
13 0.65
First Half (0–45)
16 0.80
10 0.50
Second Half (46–90)
12 0.60
4 0.20
Final Stage (76–90)
8 0.40

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.106 Strong
Pressure Away +0.066 Moderate
Timing Away +0.013 Weak
Defense Away +0.090 Moderate

Momentum

Botafogo Metric Atletico Paranaense
1 Positive Sequences 3
4 Comeback Goals 3
3 Negative Sequences 2
14 Killer Goals 8

Pressure

Botafogo Metric Atletico Paranaense
7 Early Pressure 9
4 Late Pressure 8
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Botafogo Metric Atletico Paranaense
7 Fast Starts 9
6 Half-time Spurts 7
6 Second Half Starts 4
4 Late Surges 8

Defense

Botafogo Metric Atletico Paranaense
6 Early Conceded 2
7 Late Conceded 3
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Late goals: Atletico Paranaense excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Atletico Paranaense holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Botafogo

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Atletico Paranaense

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Final advice

Atletico Paranaense is stronger in the final minutes. Consider late goals and last-goal markets.

Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense

Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-head statistics for Mon 24 Aug, 2026 @ 18:00 Serie A BR

10 Played 11
40% 4-4-2 Win Rate 36% 4-2-5
54 Form Index 51
6.88 Team Rating 6.82
62 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Botafogo Atletico Paranaense Results 56 44 Attack 100 0 Defense 43 57 Control 53 47 Discipline 40 60 Efficiency 78 22 Average 62 38 38

Attack

1.80
Goals
1
1.40
Expected Goals
0.92
14.9
Shots
9.7
5.6
Shots on Target
3.5
5
Corners
3.6

Defense

1.40
Conceded
1.18
1.15
Expected Goals Against
1.22
14.8
Shots Allowed
13.3
+0.40
Goal Difference
-0.18
20%
Clean Sheets
27%

Possession & Passing

48%
Possession
43%
82%
Pass Accuracy
83%
362
Passes
352
298
Accurate Passes
292

Discipline

2.70
Yellow Cards
2.18
0.20
Red Cards
0.09
14.6
Fouls
13.8
0.3
Offsides
1.5

Efficiency

1.60
PPG
1.27
+0.40
Goals vs xG
+0.08
12%
Shot Conversion
10%
70%
Save %
71%
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Atletico Paranaense
Under/Over: Over 2.5
Goals Home: 1.4
Goals Away: 1.5
Expected goals from the eScored model. Over/Under is the most likely 2.5 line.
Who Will Win

Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Botafogo and away matches for Atletico Paranaense

Number of goals
Botafogo
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
1X2
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
60% 6
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Total Corners
Botafogo
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
xG
1.2
1.5
xGa
1.59
1.14
Number of goals
Botafogo
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9
1X2
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
1
60% 6
30% 3
X
10% 1
50% 5
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
12
90% 9
50% 5
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
40% 4
70% 7
Total Goals
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
0-1
90% 9
80% 8
2-3
10% 1
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
Number of goals
Botafogo
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9
1X2
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2
1.41 Expected goals 1.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots Off Goal 10
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
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In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Botafogo will take on Atletico Paranaense as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-08-24 at 2026-08-24 in the famous . The referee for the game will be A. Policarpo Bento. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Botafogo, and the visiting side, Atletico Paranaense. The scoreline predictions suggest Atletico Paranaense Over 0.5 Goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-08-24 Time: 23:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.