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Monaco vs Marseille: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 5 April, 2026 13:45
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19
Played
10
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(34 total)
xG
1.80
(33.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.7
(241 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(37% acc)
Corners
4.9
(94 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(5 total)
Fouls
12.4
(235 total)
Offsides
2.3
(43 total)
18
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(25 total)
xG
1.30
(23.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.6
(209 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(34% acc)
Corners
4.3
(78 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
12.7
(228 total)
Offsides
1.5
(27 total)
37
Played
16
Wins
9
Draws
12
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(59 total)
xG
1.60
(57.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.2
(450 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(35% acc)
Corners
4.6
(172 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
11
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(8 total)
Fouls
12.5
(463 total)
Offsides
1.9
(70 total)
18
Played
11
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2
(40 total)
xG
1.60
(28.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.8
(249 total)
Shots on Target
5.4
(39% acc)
Corners
5.4
(97 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
13
(234 total)
Offsides
1.2
(21 total)
17
Played
7
Wins
1
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(25 total)
xG
1.30
(22.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.4
(227 total)
Shots on Target
5
(37% acc)
Corners
4.4
(74 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.9
(203 total)
Offsides
1.1
(18 total)
35
Played
18
Wins
4
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(65 total)
xG
1.50
(51.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(476 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(38% acc)
Corners
4.9
(171 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(6 total)
Fouls
12.5
(437 total)
Offsides
1.1
(39 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.73 vs 1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.44%
0:1
6.49%
0:2
3.88%
0:3
1.54%
0:4
0.46%
0:5
0.11%
1
1:0
8.12%
1:1
10.98%
🔥
1:2
7.32%
1:3
3.22%
1:4
1.05%
1:5
0.27%
2
2:0
6.07%
2:1
9.16%
2:2
6.77%
2:3
3.27%
2:4
1.17%
2:5
0.33%
3
3:0
3.02%
3:1
5.04%
3:2
4.09%
3:3
2.16%
3:4
0.84%
⭐
3:5
0.26%
⭐
4
4:0
1.13%
4:1
2.06%
4:2
1.83%
4:3
1.05%
⭐
4:4
0.44%
⭐
4:5
0.14%
⭐
5
5:0
0.34%
5:1
0.67%
5:2
0.64%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.18%
⭐
5:5
0.06%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.0%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Monaco will take on Marseille as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-04-05 at 2026-04-05 in the famous Stade Louis-II.
The referee for the game will be C. Turpin. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Monaco, and the visiting side, Marseille. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Monaco or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-05
Time: 18:45
Location: Stade Louis-II
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Monaco vs Marseille Sunday, Apr 5th, 2026 at 13:45 Football
No value bets found for this match.
(Minimum EV: 1%)
Trends for Monaco vs Marseille Football 5 Apr, 2026 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Marseille have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Monaco vs Marseille.
🏆 Match Winner — Marseille @ 3.42 ✅ 
Marseille
League Top ScorerLeague
Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring in away matches (1.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
8 / 875%
League Best DefenseLeague
Marseille concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
8 / 870%
Top Table FormLeague
Marseille are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
65%
Good Goal RatioRecent
Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
16 / 16100%
UnbeatenRecent
Marseille are unbeaten in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
12 / 1675%
💡Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — Marseille to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.50 
Monaco1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Monaco score (2.00/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 49%)
5 / 863%
Marseille1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Marseille score well (1.50/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.88 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 63% of matches
5 / 863%
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.65 ✅
Monaco1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Monaco score 2.00 goals/match at home (+40% above league average)
8 / 875%
Marseille2 TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring in away matches (1.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
8 / 875%
Good Goal RatioRecent
Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
16 / 16100%
💡Combined 2.0 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Marseille Win or Draw @ 1.76 ✅ 
Marseille
League Best DefenseLeague
Marseille concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
8 / 870%
Top Table FormLeague
Marseille are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
65%
Undefeated at HTRecent
Marseille are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
13 / 1681%
UnbeatenRecent
Marseille are unbeaten in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
12 / 1675%
💡Marseille demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Marseille Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.36 ✅
Marseille
League Top ScorerLeague
Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring in away matches (1.50 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
8 / 875%
Scored 1+Recent
Marseille scored 1+ goals in 13 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
13 / 1681%
Scored 1+Recent
Marseille scored 1+ goals in 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
7 / 978%
💡Marseille maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.75 ✅ 
Monaco1 Trends — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Monaco average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+28% above league avg 2.0) — rank #1 in league
16 / 1690%
Marseille2 Trends — avg 2.4 (+22% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Marseille average 2.2 cards/match in all matches (+12% above league avg 2.0)
16 / 1683%
Many CardsRecent
Marseille receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
12 / 1675%
💡Both teams show aggressive play - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.75
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.05 ⚠️
Monaco1 Trends — avg 5.4 (+14% above league)Few CornersH2H
Monaco win 4 or fewer corners in 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
7 / 978%
Marseille1 Trends — avg 5.8 (+23% above league)Many CornersLeague
Marseille average 5.8 corners/match in away matches (+23% above league avg 4.7)
8 / 885%
💡Marseille drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.05
🎯 Betting Analysis
Monaco vs Marseille
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Marseille is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Marseille is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Marseille is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Marseille is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: Marseille is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Monaco
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Marseille
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.39
Pressure
0.21
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Monaco - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Marseille - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Monaco - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Marseille - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Marseille often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Marseille scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Marseille is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Marseille to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Marseille excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Marseille scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Monaco has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Monaco handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.21
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.133
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.09
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Monaco):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Marseille):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Monaco vs Marseille Head-to-head statistics for Sun 5 Apr, 2026 @ 13:45 Ligue 1
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
▲
15
5
8
45
34
11
50
4
▼
15
4
8
54
35
19
49
5
▼
14
5
8
41
29
12
47
6
▲
13
8
7
47
40
7
47
7
▼
14
4
9
47
38
9
46
8
12
7
9
46
34
12
43
Team comparison
Prediction
Monaco Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Monaco
VS
Marseille
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
2
Draws
4
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (13)
1.4 (13)
xG
1.80
1.60
Shots
10 (90)
13.9 (125)
Shots on Target
5.1 (46)
5 (45)
Corners
3.4 (31)
5.6 (50)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 (13)
1.4 (13)
xGa
1.60
1.80
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 (20)
1.6 (14)
Red Cards
0.2 (2)
0 (0)
Fouls
12.7 (114)
11.9 (107)
Offsides
2.1 (19)
1.6 (14)
Last 6 Matches
Monaco
VS
Marseille
5/6 (83%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
3.00
PPG
1.67
2.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
67%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.74
Avg xG
1.14
Monaco vs Marseille: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Monaco and away matches for Marseille
Number of goals
Monaco
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
10%
1
90%
9
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Monaco
Marseille
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
Monaco
Marseille
1
70%
7
40%
4
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Monaco
Marseille
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
30%
3
60%
6
Total Goals
Monaco
Marseille
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
60%
6
50%
5
Total Corners
Monaco
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Monaco
Marseille
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Monaco
Marseille
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Monaco
Marseille
xG
1.59
1.13
xGa
1.19
1.44
Number of goals
Monaco
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Monaco
Marseille
Yes
20%
2
0%
0
No
80%
8
100%
10
1X2
Monaco
Marseille
1
50%
5
50%
5
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Monaco
Marseille
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
50%
5
50%
5
Total Goals
Monaco
Marseille
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
0%
0
40%
4
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Monaco
Marseille
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
Number of goals
Monaco
Under
Over
Marseille
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Monaco
Marseille
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Monaco
Marseille
1
60%
6
20%
2
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Monaco
Marseille
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
40%
4
80%
8
Total Goals
Monaco
Marseille
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Monaco
Marseille
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
Missing Players
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Calf Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Calf Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - (questionable) Calf Injury
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - (questionable) Calf Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
1.44
xG
1.22
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
5
7
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
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