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Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Mirassol
Mirassol
19th place
Form
VS
20:00
22 Jul 2026
Gremio
Gremio
15th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Mirassol vs Gremio: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 22 July, 2026 15:00

Winner (1x2)-
Mirassol to Win
Probability 55%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 65%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 61%
Mirassol Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 83%
Gremio Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 97%
Double Chance-
Mirassol/Draw
Probability 82%
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Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
20:00
Mirassol W 55%
:
Gremio W 18%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Mirassol
l w d l w
9 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (11 total)
xG
1.10 (10.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.6 (140 total)
Shots on Target
5.8 (37% acc)
Corners
6.3 (57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
12.4 (112 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
7 Played
1 Wins
1 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (7 total)
xG
1.00 (7.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.7 (75 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (29% acc)
Corners
4.6 (32 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.6 (88 total)
Offsides
1 (7 total)
16 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (18 total)
xG
1.10 (17.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (215 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (34% acc)
Corners
5.6 (89 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (6%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
12.5 (200 total)
Offsides
1.3 (21 total)
Gremio
l w d l d
7 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (11 total)
xG
1.30 (9.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.4 (108 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (34% acc)
Corners
4.3 (30 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.3 (86 total)
Offsides
1.6 (11 total)
9 Played
0 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (5 total)
xG
0.60 (5.5 total)
Shots per Match
7.6 (68 total)
Shots on Target
2.1 (28% acc)
Corners
2.9 (26 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
12.7 (114 total)
Offsides
1.7 (15 total)
16 Played
4 Wins
6 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (16 total)
xG
0.90 (14.6 total)
Shots per Match
11 (176 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (32% acc)
Corners
3.5 (56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
12.5 (200 total)
Offsides
1.6 (26 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.42 vs 0.68
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
13.42%
0:1
7.94%
0:2
2.35%
0:3
0.46%
0:4
0.07%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
17.88%
🔥
1:1
11.76%
1:2
3.83%
1:3
0.82%
1:4
0.13%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
11.9%
2:1
8.62%
2:2
3.07%
2:3
0.72%
2:4
0.12%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
5.28%
3:1
4.18%
3:2
1.62%
3:3
0.41%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
1.76%
4:1
1.51%
4:2
0.63%
4:3
0.17%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.47%
5:1
0.43%
5:2
0.19%
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (17.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

13.4%
0
25.8%
1
26.0%
2
18.2%
3
9.9%
4
4.5%
5
1.6%
6
0.5%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

MirassolHDPGremio
10.6%
Very Low
-2.5
0.9%
Very Low
19.0%
Very Low
-2
2.8%
Very Low
27.4%
Low
-1.5
4.6%
Very Low
41.1%
Medium
-1
11.1%
Very Low
54.9%
Medium
-0.5
17.5%
Very Low
82.5%
Very High
+0.5
45.1%
Medium
88.9%
Very High
+1
58.9%
Medium
95.4%
Very High
+1.5
72.6%
High
97.3%
Very High
+2
81.0%
Very High
99.1%
Very High
+2.5
89.4%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

MirassolOutcomeGremio
41.5%
Medium
Over 1.5
14.9%
Very Low
58.5%
Medium
Under 1.5
85.1%
Very High
17.1%
Very Low
Over 2.5
3.2%
Very Low
82.9%
Very High
Under 2.5
96.8%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Mirassol vs Gremio Wednesday, Jul 22nd, 2026 at 15:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Mirassol vs Gremio Football 22 Jul, 2026 15:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Mirassol score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Mirassol vs Gremio

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Mirassol is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: Gremio is stronger in the second half (13 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Mirassol

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Gremio

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Mirassol - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Gremio - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Mirassol - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
10

✈️ Gremio - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Mirassol is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7)
  • First Half Result: Consider Mirassol to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Gremio shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 7 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Gremio winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Gremio has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Gremio handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.051
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.063
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Mirassol):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Gremio):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Mirassol
Gremio

Mirassol vs Gremio Head-to-head statistics for Wed 22 Jul, 2026 @ 15:00 Serie A BR

Serie A

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Mirassol
VS
Gremio
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5 (5)
0.5 (1)
xG
1.70
1.10
Shots
13.5 (27)
15.5 (31)
Shots on Target
6 (12)
5.5 (11)
Corners
2.5 (5)
6.5 (13)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 (1)
2.5 (5)
xGa
1.10
1.70
Clean Sheets
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (4)
3 (6)
Fouls
13.5 (27)
14.5 (29)
Offsides
0.5 (1)
1 (2)
13 Sep
- 19:00
Gremio
Mirassol
1.17
xG
1.92
0
1
16 Apr
- 22:00
Mirassol
Gremio
1.49
xG
1.01
4
1
Last 6 Matches
Mirassol
VS
Gremio
3/6 (50%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.67 PPG 1.00
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.33
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
67% BTTS % 17%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.01 Avg xG 0.59
Mirassol
L W D L W
Serie A BR 2026
23 May 2026 - 22:00
Mirassol
1 0
Fluminense
Serie A BR 2026
16 May 2026 - 21:30
Atletico-MG
3 1
Mirassol
Serie A BR 2026
10 May 2026 - 21:30
Mirassol
1 1
Chapecoense-sc
Serie A BR 2026
3 May 2026 - 23:30
Mirassol
2 1
Corinthians
Serie A BR 2026
26 Apr 2026 - 00:00
Sao Paulo
1 0
Mirassol
Serie A BR 2026
19 Apr 2026 - 14:00
Internacional
1 2
Mirassol
Gremio
L W D L D
Serie A BR 2026
17 May 2026 - 19:00
Bahia
1 1
Gremio
Serie A BR 2026
10 May 2026 - 22:30
Gremio
0 1
Flamengo
Serie A BR 2026
2 May 2026 - 23:30
Atletico Paranaense
0 0
Gremio
Serie A BR 2026
26 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Gremio
1 0
Coritiba
Serie A BR 2026
18 Apr 2026 - 23:30
Cruzeiro
2 0
Gremio
Serie A BR 2026
11 Apr 2026 - 23:30
Internacional
0 0
Gremio

Mirassol vs Gremio: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Mirassol and away matches for Gremio

Number of goals
Mirassol
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
1X2
Mirassol
Gremio
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
60% 6
40% 4
Double Chance
Mirassol
Gremio
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
40% 4
60% 6
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Mirassol
Gremio
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Total Corners
Mirassol
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
10% 1
50% 5
No
90% 9
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Mirassol
Gremio
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Mirassol
Gremio
xG
0.91
0.69
xGa
1.29
1.28
Number of goals
Mirassol
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Mirassol
Gremio
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Mirassol
Gremio
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Mirassol
Gremio
0-1
60% 6
90% 9
2-3
40% 4
10% 1
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
70% 7
80% 8
No
30% 3
20% 2
Number of goals
Mirassol
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Mirassol
Gremio
1
0% 0
10% 1
X
40% 4
70% 7
2
60% 6
20% 2
Double Chance
Mirassol
Gremio
12
60% 6
30% 3
1X
40% 4
80% 8
X2
100% 10
90% 9
Total Goals
Mirassol
Gremio
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
1.34 xG 0.73
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Mirassol will take on Gremio as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-07-22 at 2026-07-22 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Mirassol, and the visiting side, Gremio. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-07-22 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!