Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Mirassol
Mirassol
Form
VS
20:00
22 Jul 2026
Gremio
Gremio
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Mirassol vs Gremio: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 22 July, 2026 13:00

Winner (1x2)-
Mirassol to Win
Probability 55%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 65%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 61%
Mirassol Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 83%
Gremio Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 97%
Double Chance-
Mirassol/Draw
Probability 82%
<
>
Best Tip PREMIUM

Today free quota for this competition is already allocated.

Upgrade to Premium
Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
20:00
Mirassol W 49%
:
Gremio W 19%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.42 vs 0.68
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
13.42%
0:1
7.94%
0:2
2.35%
0:3
0.46%
0:4
0.07%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
17.88%
🔥
1:1
11.76%
1:2
3.83%
1:3
0.82%
1:4
0.13%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
11.9%
2:1
8.62%
2:2
3.07%
2:3
0.72%
2:4
0.12%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
5.28%
3:1
4.18%
3:2
1.62%
3:3
0.41%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
1.76%
4:1
1.51%
4:2
0.63%
4:3
0.17%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.47%
5:1
0.43%
5:2
0.19%
5:3
0.06%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (17.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

13.4%
0
25.8%
1
26.0%
2
18.2%
3
9.9%
4
4.5%
5
1.6%
6
0.5%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

MirassolHDPGremio
10.6%
Very Low
-2.5
0.9%
Very Low
19.0%
Very Low
-2
2.8%
Very Low
27.4%
Low
-1.5
4.6%
Very Low
41.1%
Medium
-1
11.1%
Very Low
54.9%
Medium
-0.5
17.5%
Very Low
82.5%
Very High
+0.5
45.1%
Medium
88.9%
Very High
+1
58.9%
Medium
95.4%
Very High
+1.5
72.6%
High
97.3%
Very High
+2
81.0%
Very High
99.1%
Very High
+2.5
89.4%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

MirassolOutcomeGremio
41.5%
Medium
Over 1.5
14.9%
Very Low
58.5%
Medium
Under 1.5
85.1%
Very High
17.1%
Very Low
Over 2.5
3.2%
Very Low
82.9%
Very High
Under 2.5
96.8%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Mirassol vs Gremio Wednesday, Jul 22nd, 2026 at 13:00 Football

AI Value Bets

No value bets found for this match.(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Mirassol vs Gremio Football 22 Jul, 2026 13:00

Team Form Comparison

Mirassol Home
Form Index 49
Goals 5:5
PPG 1.40
Gremio Away
Form Index 38
Goals 2:5
PPG 0.60
BRALBAHLCORWCHADFLUW
PALLINTDCRULATLDBAHD
2/5
Won
0/5
4/5
Scored
2/5
1/5
Scored 2+
0/5
1/5
Clean sheet
2/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
2/5
2/5
Over 2.5
1/5
3/5
BTTS
2/5

Mirassol

BRALBAHLCORWCHADFLUW
Won 2/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 3/5

Gremio

PALLINTDCRULATLDBAHD
Won 0/5
Scored 2/5
Scored 2+ 0/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 2/5
Over 2.5 1/5
BTTS 2/5
Head-to-Head · Last 2
BTTS 1/2
Over 2.5 1/2
Mirassol unbeaten 2/2

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Mirassol rarely concede quality chances (0.80 xGA avg) — disciplined defensive structure

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Mirassol Home
Gremio Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • First half: Mirassol is stronger (11 vs 7).
  • Second half: Gremio is stronger (13 vs 7).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Moderate 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.02 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.05

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
4 0.20
Fast Start (0–15)
3 0.15
11 0.55
First Half (0–45)
7 0.35
7 0.35
Second Half (46–90)
13 0.65
4 0.20
Final Stage (76–90)
3 0.15

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.060 Moderate
Pressure Home +0.017 Weak
Timing Away +0.005 Weak
Defense Away +0.068 Moderate

Momentum

Mirassol Metric Gremio
1 Positive Sequences 3
6 Comeback Goals 5
2 Negative Sequences 2
12 Killer Goals 10

Pressure

Mirassol Metric Gremio
4 Early Pressure 3
4 Late Pressure 3
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Mirassol Metric Gremio
4 Fast Starts 3
7 Half-time Spurts 4
3 Second Half Starts 10
4 Late Surges 3

Defense

Mirassol Metric Gremio
1 Early Conceded 0
10 Late Conceded 3
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • First half result: consider Mirassol to win the first half.
  • Second half winner: high probability of Gremio winning the second half.
  • Match outcome: Gremio holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Mirassol

Momentum: weak — may lose concentration. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Gremio

Momentum: moderate — stable overall. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Final advice

Gremio has a significant second-half and late-game edge. Look at second-half result, late goals, and away win markets.

Mirassol
Gremio

Mirassol vs Gremio Head-to-head statistics for Wed 22 Jul, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR

10 Played 9
40% 4-3-3 Win Rate 0% 0-4-5
52 Form Index 34
6.79 Team Rating 6.75
72 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Mirassol Gremio Results 83 17 Attack 100 0 Defense 63 37 Control 50 50 Discipline 55 45 Efficiency 82 18 Average 72 28 28

Attack

1.30
Goals
0.56
1.15
Expected Goals
0.61
14.8
Shots
7.6
5.6
Shots on Target
2.1
6.3
Corners
2.9

Defense

1.20
Conceded
1.33
1.05
Expected Goals Against
1.69
12.3
Shots Allowed
12.7
+0.10
Goal Difference
-0.78
10%
Clean Sheets
22%

Possession & Passing

51%
Possession
51%
86%
Pass Accuracy
85%
406
Passes
410
348
Accurate Passes
347

Discipline

2.40
Yellow Cards
2.56
0.30
Red Cards
0.33
12.6
Fouls
12.7
1.7
Offsides
1.7

Efficiency

1.50
PPG
0.44
+0.15
Goals vs xG
-0.05
9%
Shot Conversion
7%
72%
Save %
69%

Mirassol vs Gremio: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Mirassol and away matches for Gremio

Number of goals
Mirassol
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
1X2
Mirassol
Gremio
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
60% 6
40% 4
Double Chance
Mirassol
Gremio
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
40% 4
60% 6
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Mirassol
Gremio
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Total Corners
Mirassol
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
10% 1
50% 5
No
90% 9
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Mirassol
Gremio
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Mirassol
Gremio
xG
0.91
0.69
xGa
1.29
1.28
Number of goals
Mirassol
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Mirassol
Gremio
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Mirassol
Gremio
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Mirassol
Gremio
0-1
60% 6
90% 9
2-3
40% 4
10% 1
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
70% 7
80% 8
No
30% 3
20% 2
Number of goals
Mirassol
Under
Over
Gremio
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Mirassol
Gremio
1
0% 0
10% 1
X
40% 4
70% 7
2
60% 6
20% 2
Double Chance
Mirassol
Gremio
12
60% 6
30% 3
1X
40% 4
80% 8
X2
100% 10
90% 9
Total Goals
Mirassol
Gremio
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Mirassol
Gremio
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
1.19 Expected goals 0.64
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots Off Goal 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Mirassol will take on Gremio as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-07-22 at 2026-07-22 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Mirassol, and the visiting side, Gremio. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-07-22 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!