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Form
Form
Championship 2025-2026 • Matchweek 15 8 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Finished
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
2nd place
Form
2 : 1
0.68
xG
1.12
Full Time
Half Time: 2-1
Birmingham
Birmingham
14th place
Form
17'
D. Fry
45+5'
H. Hackney
D. Gray
29'
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Football Match Stats & Results Saturday, 8 November, 2025 9:00

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
5'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
5'
Winner (1x2)2.56
Middlesbrough to Win
Probability 46%
Total Goals1.70
Under 2.5
Probability 66%
Both Teams to Score1.91
No (NG)
Probability 60%
Middlesbrough Total1.50
Home Under 1.5
Probability 66%
Birmingham Total1.42
Away Under 1.5
Probability 79%
Double Chance1.44
Middlesbrough/Draw
Probability 85%
Asian Handicap1.30
Birmingham +1
Probability 67%

📋 Preview: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham | Championship 2025-2026, Matchweek 15

📖 Introduction

As the Championship season progresses, Middlesbrough sits comfortably in third place with 26 points, while Birmingham occupies the ninth spot with 21 points. This matchup is crucial for both teams, as Middlesbrough aims to solidify their promotion push, whereas Birmingham seeks to climb higher in the competitive table.

🏠 Middlesbrough Analysis

Middlesbrough's recent form has been a mixed bag, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. At home, they have been formidable, remaining unbeaten with a record that boasts three victories and two draws, showcasing a solid average of 1.2 goals scored while conceding only 0.6. Their expected goals (xG) suggest they are creating slightly above average chances, indicating a reliable attacking unit. In their last outing, they drew 1-1 against Leicester and will look to bounce back before facing Oxford United in their next match.

✈️ Birmingham Analysis

Birmingham has shown a more dynamic approach lately, winning three of their last five matches, although their away form has been less impressive. They have struggled on the road, managing just one victory while averaging only 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match. Their xG indicates they are creating opportunities, suggesting their recent scoring surge may not be entirely sustainable. Following a resounding 4-0 win against Millwall at home, they will seek to translate that momentum into a positive result on the road against Middlesbrough before returning home to face Norwich.

🔄 Head-to-Head

The historical encounters between these two teams favor Middlesbrough, who have claimed five victories compared to Birmingham's solitary win in their last six meetings. The average of 1.83 goals per match in these encounters indicates a tendency for tightly contested affairs, with Middlesbrough often finding a way to edge out their rivals.

🔑 Key Factors

Key matchups will likely center around Middlesbrough's strong home form against Birmingham's inconsistent away performance. The home side's ability to maintain defensive solidity while capitalizing on their scoring opportunities will be crucial. Additionally, Birmingham’s recent resurgence in form may face challenges as they encounter a side that has historically had their number, potentially leading to xG regression for an away team that has struggled to find the net outside their home ground.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome 44.8%, scoreline 1-0, justified by Middlesbrough's strong home advantage and Birmingham's difficulties in away fixtures, combined with their head-to-head history favoring the home side.

💡 Betting Tips

Market: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.72 (67.7%). End: Bet responsibly.

Middlesbrough
Birmingham
5' Substitute
In:M. Leonard
Out:S. Paik
M. Leonard
D. Fry
Goal 1:0 17'
D. Fry
Assistant: C. Brittain
S. Silvera
Substitute 25'
In:S. Silvera
Out:D. Fry
29' 1:1 Goal
D. Gray
D. Gray
L. Ayling
Yellow Card 30'
L. Ayling
H. Hackney
Goal 2:1 45' +5'
H. Hackney
Assistant: A. Morris
57' Substitute
In:K. Furuhashi
Out:M. Ducksch
K. Furuhashi
57' Substitute
In:K. Anderson
Out:D. Gray
K. Anderson
G. McCormick
Substitute 60'
In:G. McCormick
Out:M. Targett
Mamadou Kaly Sene
Substitute 60'
In:Mamadou Kaly Sene
Out:M. Whittaker
S. Nypan
Substitute 60'
In:S. Nypan
Out:R. McGree
80' Substitute
In:L. Koumas
Out:P. Roberts
L. Koumas
80' Substitute
In:L. Dykes
Out:T. Iwata
L. Dykes
D. Burgzorg
Substitute 86'
In:D. Burgzorg
Out:T. Conway
90' +3' Yellow Card
J. Beadle
J. Beadle

📋 Preview: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham | Championship 2025-2026, Matchweek 15

📖 Introduction

As the Championship season progresses, Middlesbrough sits comfortably in third place with 26 points, while Birmingham occupies the ninth spot with 21 points. This matchup is crucial for both teams, as Middlesbrough aims to solidify their promotion push, whereas Birmingham seeks to climb higher in the competitive table.

🏠 Middlesbrough Analysis

Middlesbrough's recent form has been a mixed bag, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. At home, they have been formidable, remaining unbeaten with a record that boasts three victories and two draws, showcasing a solid average of 1.2 goals scored while conceding only 0.6. Their expected goals (xG) suggest they are creating slightly above average chances, indicating a reliable attacking unit. In their last outing, they drew 1-1 against Leicester and will look to bounce back before facing Oxford United in their next match.

✈️ Birmingham Analysis

Birmingham has shown a more dynamic approach lately, winning three of their last five matches, although their away form has been less impressive. They have struggled on the road, managing just one victory while averaging only 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match. Their xG indicates they are creating opportunities, suggesting their recent scoring surge may not be entirely sustainable. Following a resounding 4-0 win against Millwall at home, they will seek to translate that momentum into a positive result on the road against Middlesbrough before returning home to face Norwich.

🔄 Head-to-Head

The historical encounters between these two teams favor Middlesbrough, who have claimed five victories compared to Birmingham's solitary win in their last six meetings. The average of 1.83 goals per match in these encounters indicates a tendency for tightly contested affairs, with Middlesbrough often finding a way to edge out their rivals.

🔑 Key Factors

Key matchups will likely center around Middlesbrough's strong home form against Birmingham's inconsistent away performance. The home side's ability to maintain defensive solidity while capitalizing on their scoring opportunities will be crucial. Additionally, Birmingham’s recent resurgence in form may face challenges as they encounter a side that has historically had their number, potentially leading to xG regression for an away team that has struggled to find the net outside their home ground.

🎯 AI Prediction

Outcome 44.8%, scoreline 1-0, justified by Middlesbrough's strong home advantage and Birmingham's difficulties in away fixtures, combined with their head-to-head history favoring the home side.

💡 Betting Tips

Market: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.72 (67.7%). End: Bet responsibly.

Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Formation Lineups for Sat 8 Nov, 2025 @ 9:00 Championship

Formation
6.8
Middlesbrough
4-2-3-1
6.5
Birmingham
4-2-3-1
S. Brynn
7.3
Brynn 31
M. Targett
6.6
60'
Targett 3
D. Fry
7.9
25'
Fry 6
L. Ayling
7.2
Ayling 12
C. Brittain
7
Brittain 2
A. Browne
6.9
Browne 16
A. Morris
7.2
Morris 18
M. Whittaker
6.6
60'
Whittaker 11
H. Hackney
7.2
Hackney 7
R. McGree
6.5
60'
McGree 8
T. Conway
6.2
86'
Conway 9
J. Beadle
5.7
Beadle 25
A. Cochrane
6.5
Cochrane 20
C. Klarer
6.5
Klarer 4
Phil Neumann
6.7
Neumann 5
T. Iwata
6.2
80'
Iwata 24
S. Paik
5'
Paik 8
T. Doyle
6.9
Doyle 7
D. Gray
7.3
57'
Gray 10
J. Stansfield
6.2
Stansfield 28
P. Roberts
6.9
80'
Roberts 16
M. Ducksch
6
57'
Ducksch 33
field field
Substitutes
Silvera
6.7
25'
Silvera 22
McCormick
6.6
60'
McCormick 40
Sene
6.2
60'
Sene 20
Nypan
6.6
60'
Nypan 19
Burgzorg
86'
Burgzorg 10
Leonard
6.6
5'
Leonard 12
Furuhashi
6.5
57'
Furuhashi 9
Anderson
6.6
57'
Anderson 14
Koumas
6.3
80'
Koumas 30
Dykes
6.5
80'
Dykes 17
LineUps
Middlesbrough
31
g
7.3
7
12
d
30'
7.2
6
d
17'25'
7.9
60'
6.6
18
m
7.2
16
m
6.9
8
m
60'
6.5
45'
7.2
60'
6.6
9
f
86'
6.2
Substitutes
22
f
25'
6.7
60'
6.6
19
m
60'
6.6
60'
6.2
24
d
86'
14
f
13
f
Coach
Birmingham
25
g
90'
5.7
24
d
80'
6.2
6.7
4
d
6.5
6.5
7
m
6.9
8
m
5'
16
m
80'
6.9
6.2
10
m
29'57'
7.3
33
f
57'
6
Substitutes
12
m
5'
6.6
57'
6.6
57'
6.5
21
g
41
d
30
f
80'
6.3
17
m
80'
6.5
Coach
Missing Players
Middlesbrough
8
m
- Injured - Injury
5
d
- Suspended - Red Card
- Injured - Inactive
26
d
- Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
Birmingham
- Injured - Knee Injury
2
d
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
- Injured - Injury
11
f
- Injured - Knee Injury

Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Head-to-head statistics for Sat 8 Nov, 2025 @ 9:00 Championship

Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Off Target 2 Blocked 2
On Target 4
On Target 5
Off Target 8 Blocked 3
2 Goals 1
45 Ball Possession 55
8 Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 5
342 Total passes 421
79 Passes accurate % 81
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
9 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
3 Offsides 3
3 Corners 4
0.68 Expected Goals 1.12

Stats for Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Saturday, Nov 8th, 2025 at 9:00 Football

Middlesbrough
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Birmingham
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
D. Fry
7.9
Defender
2
S. Brynn
Goalkeeper
7.3
3
D. Gray
Forward
7.3
4
T. Doyle
Midfielder
6.9