Login
Register
Marseille
0
2
Nantes
Marseille vs Lens: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 24 January, 2026 15:05
Premium Tip
💎 PREMIUM
Premium Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.
Upgrade to PremiumPrediction League
12
Played
8
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5
(30 total)
xG
1.80
(21.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.8
(166 total)
Shots on Target
5.8
(42% acc)
Corners
5.2
(62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
13.7
(164 total)
Offsides
1.3
(16 total)
11
Played
5
Wins
0
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(17 total)
xG
1.30
(13.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(137 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(38% acc)
Corners
4.8
(53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
11.5
(126 total)
Offsides
1
(11 total)
23
Played
13
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(47 total)
xG
1.50
(35.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(303 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(40% acc)
Corners
5
(115 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(6 total)
Fouls
12.6
(290 total)
Offsides
1.2
(27 total)
8
Played
7
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(16 total)
xG
2.00
(16.0 total)
Shots per Match
14.4
(115 total)
Shots on Target
5.6
(39% acc)
Corners
7.3
(58 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.9
(95 total)
Offsides
2.6
(21 total)
9
Played
6
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(15 total)
xG
1.50
(13.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(118 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(36% acc)
Corners
5
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
14.1
(127 total)
Offsides
1.3
(12 total)
17
Played
13
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(31 total)
xG
1.70
(29.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(233 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(38% acc)
Corners
6.1
(103 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
13.1
(222 total)
Offsides
1.9
(33 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.91 vs 1.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.88%
0:1
4.78%
0:2
3.97%
0:3
2.19%
⭐
0:4
0.91%
⭐
0:5
0.3%
⭐
1
1:0
5.25%
1:1
8.96%
🔥
1:2
7.65%
1:3
4.35%
⭐
1:4
1.85%
⭐
1:5
0.63%
⭐
2
2:0
4.77%
2:1
8.39%
2:2
7.37%
2:3
4.31%
⭐
2:4
1.89%
⭐
2:5
0.66%
⭐
3
3:0
2.89%
3:1
5.23%
3:2
4.72%
3:3
2.84%
⭐
3:4
1.27%
⭐
3:5
0.46%
⭐
4
4:0
1.31%
4:1
2.44%
4:2
2.27%
⭐
4:3
1.4%
⭐
4:4
0.64%
⭐
4:5
0.24%
⭐
5
5:0
0.48%
5:1
0.91%
5:2
0.87%
⭐
5:3
0.55%
⭐
5:4
0.26%
⭐
5:5
0.1%
Hotspot:
1:1 (9.0%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Marseille will take on Lens as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2026-01-24 at 2026-01-24 in the famous Orange Vélodrome.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Marseille, and the visiting side, Lens. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Lens.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-24
Time: 20:05
Location: Orange Vélodrome
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Marseille vs Lens Saturday, Jan 24th, 2026 at 15:05 Football
AI Value Bets
7 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Marseille vs Lens Football 24 Jan, 2026 15:05
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Marseille vs Lens, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Marseille @ 2.02 ✅ 
Marseille
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Marseille score 3.00 goals/match at home (+110% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Marseille are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Good Goal RatioRecent16/16100%Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
- UnbeatenRecent12/1675%Marseille are unbeaten in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Marseille demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.62 
Lens(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Lens score (1.50/match) and concede (1.13/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 49%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.71 ✅
Marseille(3 trends)
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Marseille score 3.00 goals/match at home (+110% above league average)
- Good Goal RatioRecent16/16100%Marseille have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Teams average combined 3.0 goals per match • Moderate scoring trends lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Marseille Win or Draw @ 1.31 ✅ 
Marseille
- Top Table FormLeague65%Marseille are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1681%Marseille are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
- UnbeatenRecent12/1675%Marseille are unbeaten in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Marseille demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Marseille Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.80 ✅
Marseille
- League Top ScorerLeague8/875%Marseille rank 1 of 18 in scoring at home (3.00 goals/match vs league avg 2.85)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Marseille score 3.00 goals/match at home (+110% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent13/1681%Marseille scored 1+ goals in 13 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Marseille maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Marseille(3 trends) — avg 2 (+2% above league)
- Many CardsH2H9/9100%Marseille receive 2+ cards in 9 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
- High Card MatchesLeague16/1683%Marseille average 2.2 cards/match in all matches (+12% above league avg 2.0)
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%Marseille receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
Lens(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- Many CardsH2H7/978%Lens receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.9 cards per match in their last 9 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.08 ⚠️ 
Lens(1 trends) — avg 5.3 (+13% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/878%Lens average 5.3 corners/match in away matches (+13% above league avg 4.7)
Lens drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.08
+15 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Marseille vs Lens
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Marseille is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Marseille
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.16
✈️ Lens
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Marseille - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Lens - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Marseille - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Lens - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Marseille often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Marseille scoring first
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.16
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.029
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.068 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Marseille):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lens):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Marseille vs Lens Head-to-head statistics for Sat 24 Jan, 2026 @ 15:05 Ligue 1
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
13
1
3
31
13
18
40
2
12
3
2
37
15
22
39
3
10
2
5
36
17
19
32
4
10
2
5
33
22
11
32
Team comparison
Prediction
Lens AH+1.5
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Marseille
VS
Lens
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
0
Draws
6
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (11)
1.3 (12)
xG
0.90
1.80
Shots
12.4 (112)
11.3 (102)
Shots on Target
4.2 (38)
4.1 (37)
Corners
5.2 (47)
5.6 (50)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (12)
1.2 (11)
xGa
1.80
0.90
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
3 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (21)
2.6 (23)
Fouls
11.2 (101)
13.8 (124)
Offsides
1.7 (15)
1.8 (16)
Last 6 Matches
Marseille
VS
Lens
3/6 (50%)
Victories
6/6 (100%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.67
PPG
3.00
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
2.33
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
0.50
50%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.33
Avg xG
1.97
Marseille vs Lens: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Marseille and away matches for Lens
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Marseille
Lens
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
Marseille
Lens
1
60%
6
90%
9
X
10%
1
0%
0
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Marseille
Lens
12
90%
9
100%
10
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
40%
4
10%
1
Total Goals
Marseille
Lens
0-1
40%
4
10%
1
2-3
30%
3
80%
8
4+
30%
3
10%
1
Total Corners
Marseille
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Lens
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Marseille
Lens
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
50%
5
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Marseille
Lens
xG
1.58
1.74
xGa
1.21
1.24
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Marseille
Lens
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
Marseille
Lens
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
20%
2
60%
6
2
40%
4
0%
0
Double Chance
Marseille
Lens
12
80%
8
40%
4
1X
60%
6
100%
10
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Marseille
Lens
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Lens
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Number of goals
Marseille
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Marseille
Lens
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Marseille
Lens
1
50%
5
80%
8
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Marseille
Lens
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
50%
5
20%
2
Total Goals
Marseille
Lens
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Marseille
Lens
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
1.94
xG
1.77
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
No Posts Found