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6 Dec 2025-15:00
Manchester City
Manchester City
2nd place
- : -
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Sunderland
Sunderland
6th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Manchester City vs Sunderland: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 9:00

1×2 Prediction
Manchester City
76%17%7%
Manchester CityDrawSunderland
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
52%48%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
60%40%
NoYes
Team Total - Manchester City
Under 2.5
63%37%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Sunderland
Under 1.5
88%12%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Manchester City/Draw
93%7%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Sunderland +2.5
76%24%
Away +2.5NOT Away +2.5
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Sunderland +2.5
Odds: 1.47
75.7%
EV: +11.3%
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Manchester City vs Sunderland Match Preview

The Stakes Are High

This upcoming clash sees Manchester City, currently positioned second in the Premier League, hosting sixth-placed Sunderland at the Etihad Stadium. With only five points separating them, both teams are eager to secure crucial points to bolster their standings as the season approaches its midway point. City will aim to maintain their title challenge, while Sunderland seeks to solidify their place in the European spots.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent performances that could influence the outcome.

  • Manchester City: The Citizens are showcasing their dominance at home, with a perfect record of five wins from five matches. They have been prolific in attack, averaging 3.2 goals per home game, but have also shown some vulnerability at the back, conceding 0.8 goals per match. Despite their recent 4-5 thriller against Fulham, their overall form remains strong, placing them firmly in the title race.
  • Sunderland: The Black Cats have struggled to find consistency lately, managing only one win in their last five matches. Their away form reflects this inconsistency, with an average of just 0.8 goals scored per match and a concerning defensive record of conceding 1 goal per game. This makes their trip to Manchester particularly daunting.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Manchester City has had the upper hand against Sunderland, and while recent head-to-head encounters are sparse, there’s a clear expectation that City will dominate. With no recorded wins for Sunderland against City in the last five matches, the trend heavily favors the home side.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Manchester City’s attacking prowess will be spearheaded by Erling Haaland, whose ability to exploit defensive gaps will be critical. Sunderland, on the other hand, will rely on their defensive strength, anchored by goalkeeper R. Roefs, to withstand City's offensive barrage. The tactical battle will likely see City applying relentless pressure, with Haaland and J. Doku looking to break through a potentially vulnerable Sunderland backline.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: Manchester City 3 - 1 Sunderland
Reasoning: Given City's high expected goals (xG) and strong home form, they are expected to outscore Sunderland, who struggles to find the net away from home.

Betting Tips

  • Safe Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 1.28 (76%).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 (51.7%).

Bet responsibly.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.06 vs 0.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.2%
0:1
3.78%
0:2
0.87%
0:3
0.13%
0:4
0.02%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
16.17%
🔥
1:1
8.17%
1:2
2.05%
1:3
0.34%
1:4
0.04%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
15.93%
2:1
8.76%
2:2
2.38%
2:3
0.43%
2:4
0.06%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
10.47%
3:1
6.23%
3:2
1.82%
3:3
0.35%
3:4
0.05%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
5.16%
4:1
3.3%
4:2
1.03%
4:3
0.21%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
2.03%
5:1
1.39%
5:2
0.47%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (16.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.2%
0
19.9%
1
25.0%
2
21.4%
3
14.1%
4
7.6%
5
2.8%
6
0.7%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Manchester City
vs
Sunderland
Dec 6, 15:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Arsenal
w d w d w
>
14
10
3
1
27
7
20
33
2
Manchester City
w w l w w
>
14
9
1
4
32
16
16
28
3
Aston Villa
l w w w w
>
14
8
3
3
20
14
6
27

5
Crystal Palace
w d w l w
>
14
6
5
3
18
11
7
23
6
Sunderland
d d l w d
>
14
6
5
3
18
14
4
23
7
Brighton
w d w w l
>
14
6
4
4
24
20
4
22
Last 6 Matches
Manchester City
VS
Sunderland
4/6 (67%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
2.00 PPG 1.50
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
67% BTTS % 83%
67% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
2.01 Avg xG 0.78
Manchester City
W L L W W
Premier League 2025-2026
2 Dec 2025 - 19:30
Fulham
4 5
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Manchester City
3 2
Leeds
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
25 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Manchester City
0 2
Bayer Leverkusen
Premier League 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Newcastle
2 1
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 16:30
Manchester City
3 0
Liverpool
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
5 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Manchester City
4 1
Borussia Dortmund
Sunderland
D D L W D
Premier League 2025-2026
3 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Liverpool
1 1
Sunderland
Premier League 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Sunderland
3 2
Bournemouth
Premier League 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 15:00
Fulham
1 0
Sunderland
Premier League 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Sunderland
2 2
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
3 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Sunderland
1 1
Everton
Premier League 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 14:00
Chelsea
1 2
Sunderland
Missing Players
Manchester City
- Injured - Heel Injury
16
m
- Injured - Thigh Injury
Sunderland
42
d
- Injured - Shoulder injury
19
m
- Injured - Groin Injury
76% Draw 6%
52% Over 2.5 48%
40% Both Teams Score 60%
2.49 xPTS 0.51
2.06 xG [Total: 2.61] 0.55
1 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
7 Corners [Total: 11] 4
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
8 Fouls [Total: 19] 11
6 Shots on Goal [Total: 9] 3
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Manchester City will take on Sunderland as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous Etihad Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Manchester City, and the visiting side, Sunderland. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Manchester City. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-06 Time: 15:00 Location: Etihad Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Manchester City vs Sunderland Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 9:00 Football

Value Bets

5 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Correct Score 1:0
Odds: 9.50
15.9%
EV: +50.7% Kelly: $2.98
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Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Sunderland +2.5
Odds: 1.47
75.7%
EV: +11.3% Kelly: $12.05
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Value
Asian Handicap Sunderland +2
Odds: 1.70
64.3%
EV: +9.3% Kelly: $6.65
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 18:15:51
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Trends for Manchester City vs Sunderland Football 6 Dec, 2025 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Manchester City have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Manchester City score in 2nd half 86% of matches — expect late goals

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Manchester City vs Sunderland

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Manchester City

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Sunderland

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Manchester City - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Sunderland - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Manchester City - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
1

✈️ Sunderland - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Manchester City has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Manchester City handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.02
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Manchester City):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sunderland):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Manchester City
Sunderland

Manchester City vs Sunderland Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 9:00 Premier League

Manchester City vs Sunderland: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Manchester City and away matches for Sunderland

Number of goals

Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Sunderland
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Manchester City
Sunderland
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4

1X2

1X2
Manchester City
Sunderland
1
70% 7
40% 4
X
0% 0
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Manchester City
Sunderland
12
100% 10
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
30% 3
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Manchester City
Sunderland
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
40% 4
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
Manchester City
Under
Over
Sunderland
Under
Over
7.5
50% 5
50% 5
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Sunderland
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Manchester City
Sunderland
HT 1 - FT 1
60% 6
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Manchester City
Sunderland
xG
1.86
0.83
xGa
1
1.4

Number of goals

Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Sunderland
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Manchester City
Sunderland
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Manchester City
Sunderland
1
60% 6
30% 3
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
20% 2
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Manchester City
Sunderland
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
40% 4
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Manchester City
Sunderland
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Sunderland
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4

Number of goals

Number of goals
Manchester City
Under
Over
Sunderland
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Manchester City
Sunderland
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Manchester City
Sunderland
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
40% 4
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Manchester City
Sunderland
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Manchester City
Sunderland
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Manchester City
Sunderland
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
Team comparison
Prediction
Sunderland AH+2.5
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
24.2%
Low
2.86
0.2%
Low
N/A
-2
35.7%
Low
2.25
0.8%
Low
N/A
-1.5
47.1%
Low
1.79
1.4%
Low
N/A
-1
60.3%
Medium
1.37
4.5%
Low
N/A
-0.5
73.6%
High
1.24
7.6%
Low
N/A
+0.5
92.3%
High
N/A
26.4%
Low
3.90
+1
95.4%
High
N/A
39.6%
Low
3.38
+1.5
98.5%
High
N/A
52.9%
Medium
2.19
+2
99.1%
High
N/A
64.3%
Medium
1.70
+2.5
99.8%
High
N/A
75.7%
High
1.47
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.71%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.560.98%Medium1.35
Under 1.539.02%Low3.40
AwayOver 1.510.53%Low5.65
Under 1.589.47%High1.15
HomeOver 2.533.93%Low2.04
Under 2.566.07%Medium1.80
AwayOver 2.51.83%Low19.00
Under 2.598.17%High1.03
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Manchester City
Sunderland
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 6 3 9
Draws 0 1 1
Losses 1 3 4
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.7 19 1.9 13 2.3 32
Goals Conceded 0.9 6 1.4 10 1.1 16
Yellow Cards 1.4 10 2.3 16 1.9 26
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.3 2 0.4 5
Corners 7.3 51 3.9 27 5.6 78
Fouls 9.6 67 9.4 66 9.5 133
Offsides 0.9 6 1.3 9 1.1 15
Shots 15.1 106 12.4 87 13.8 193
Shots on Goal 6.4 45 3.6 25 5 70
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 4 2 6
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 0 3 3
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 14 0.6 4 1.3 18
Goals Conceded 1 7 1 7 1 14
Yellow Cards 2 14 1.9 13 1.9 27
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.3 2 0.3 4
Corners 4 28 2.9 20 3.4 48
Fouls 11 77 8.6 60 9.8 137
Offsides 1.1 8 2 14 1.6 22
Shots 11.1 78 7.9 55 9.5 133
Shots on Goal 3.6 25 2.7 19 3.1 44
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