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Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 28
Preview
Lorient
Lorient
10th place
Form
VS
15:15
5 Apr 2026
Paris FC
Paris FC
13th place
Form
AI Prediction Paris FC Over 0.5 Goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Lorient vs Paris FC: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 5 April, 2026 10:15

Winner (1x2)2.38
Lorient to Win
Probability 45%
Total Goals1.81
Under 2.5
Probability 52%
Both Teams to Score1.89
Yes
Probability 55%
Lorient Total1.29
Home Over 0.5
Probability 77%
Paris FC Total1.39
Away Under 1.5
Probability 67%
Double Chance1.38
Lorient/Draw
Probability 71%
Asian Handicap1.20
Paris FC +1.5
Probability 79%
Best Tip
Value
Total - Away Total - Away: Over 0.5
Odds 1.41
Win Prob. 73.1% EV: +3.0%
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Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
15:15
Lorient W 45%
:
Paris FC W 29%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Lorient
d d d w l
13 Played
7 Wins
5 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (26 total)
xG
1.60 (20.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (151 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (38% acc)
Corners
2.5 (32 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.9 (129 total)
Offsides
1.9 (25 total)
14 Played
2 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (11 total)
xG
1.00 (14.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (144 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (27% acc)
Corners
3.6 (50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.3 (130 total)
Offsides
1.1 (15 total)
27 Played
9 Wins
10 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (37 total)
xG
1.30 (35.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (295 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (33% acc)
Corners
3 (82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.6 (259 total)
Offsides
1.5 (40 total)
Paris FC
d w d d w
13 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (18 total)
xG
1.40 (17.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (174 total)
Shots on Target
4 (30% acc)
Corners
5.8 (75 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
10.8 (141 total)
Offsides
2.8 (36 total)
14 Played
3 Wins
6 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (14 total)
xG
1.00 (14.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.5 (133 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (33% acc)
Corners
3 (42 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.7 (150 total)
Offsides
1.5 (21 total)
27 Played
7 Wins
10 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (32 total)
xG
1.20 (32.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.4 (307 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (31% acc)
Corners
4.3 (117 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
10.8 (291 total)
Offsides
2.1 (57 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.46 vs 1.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.81%
0:1
8.59%
0:2
4.18%
0:3
1.36%
0:4
0.33%
0:5
0.06%
1
1:0
11.14%
1:1
12.58%
🔥
1:2
6.97%
1:3
2.54%
1:4
0.68%
1:5
0.15%
2
2:0
7.04%
2:1
9.04%
2:2
5.64%
2:3
2.29%
2:4
0.68%
2:5
0.16%
3
3:0
2.97%
3:1
4.27%
3:2
2.97%
3:3
1.33%
3:4
0.44%
3:5
0.11%
4
4:0
0.94%
4:1
1.49%
4:2
1.15%
4:3
0.57%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.24%
5:1
0.41%
5:2
0.35%
5:3
0.19%
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.8%
0
19.7%
1
23.8%
2
20.3%
3
13.7%
4
7.7%
5
3.7%
6
1.5%
7
0.5%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

LorientHDPParis FC
8.1%
Very Low@ 9.50
-2.5
3.8%
@ 13.00Very Low
14.7%
Very Low@ 8.50
-2
8.0%
Very Low
21.2%
Low@ 4.50
-1.5
12.2%
@ 7.00Very Low
32.5%
Low@ 3.68
-1
21.2%
@ 6.10Low
43.7%
Medium@ 2.29
-0.5
30.2%
@ 3.38Low
69.8%
High@ 1.36
+0.5
56.3%
@ 1.69Medium
78.8%
High@ 1.12
+1
67.5%
@ 1.31High
87.8%
Very High@ 1.10
+1.5
78.8%
@ 1.20High
92.0%
Very High
+2
85.3%
@ 1.01Very High
96.2%
Very High@ 1.01
+2.5
91.9%
@ 1.04Very High

Team Total Predictions

LorientOutcomeParis FC
42.9%
Medium@ 2.40
Over 1.5
32.7%
@ 3.19Low
57.1%
Medium@ 1.60
Under 1.5
71.4%
@ 1.37High
18.1%
Very Low@ 5.60
Over 2.5
11.4%
@ 9.00Very Low
81.9%
Very High@ 1.17
Under 2.5
88.6%
@ 1.08Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Lorient will take on Paris FC as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-04-05 at 2026-04-05 in the famous Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat. The referee for the game will be G. Angoula. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lorient, and the visiting side, Paris FC. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Paris FC. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-05 Time: 15:15 Location: Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lorient vs Paris FC Sunday, Apr 5th, 2026 at 10:15 Football

AI Value Bets
3 Found

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Away Total Paris FC Over 0.5
Value
Prob: 73.1%
EV: +3.0%
Stake: $6.10
1.41
Total Away Over 0.5
Value
Prob: 73.1%
EV: +3.0%
Stake: $6.10
1.41
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 74.1%
EV: +1.5%
Stake: $6.76
1.37
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-02 21:15:22
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Trends for Lorient vs Paris FC Football 5 Apr, 2026 10:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Lorient score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Lorient vs Paris FC

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Lorient is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Lorient is stronger in the first half (10 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Lorient

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Paris FC

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.33
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Lorient - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Paris FC - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Lorient - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Paris FC - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Lorient often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Lorient scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Lorient is stronger in the first half (10 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Lorient to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Lorient has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Lorient handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.147
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.019
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lorient):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Paris FC):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Lorient
Paris FC

Lorient vs Paris FC Head-to-head statistics for Sun 5 Apr, 2026 @ 10:15 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
Toulouse
d l l w w
>
27
10
7
10
38
32
6
37
10
Lorient
d d d w l
>
27
9
10
8
37
41
-4
37
11
27
10
6
11
34
39
-5
36
12
Angers
l l w l l
>
27
9
5
13
24
37
-13
32
13
Paris FC
d w d d w
>
27
7
10
10
32
43
-11
31
14
LE Havre
l l l d l
>
27
6
9
12
22
35
-13
27
Team comparison
Prediction
Paris FC Over 0.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: +0.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Lorient
VS
Paris FC
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0)
2 (2)
xG
0.90
1.10
Shots
7 (7)
10 (10)
Shots on Target
2 (2)
2 (2)
Corners
4 (4)
1 (1)
Defense
Conceded
2 (2)
0 (0)
xGa
1.10
0.90
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (2)
0 (0)
Fouls
9 (9)
18 (18)
Offsides
2 (2)
3 (3)
3 Oct
- 18:45
Paris FC
Lorient
1.14
xG
0.92
2
0
Last 6 Matches
Lorient
VS
Paris FC
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.50 PPG 1.50
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
67% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.07 Avg xG 1.14
Lorient
D D D W L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 16:00
Toulouse
1 0
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Mar 2026 - 16:00
Lorient
2 1
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 16:15
Lille
1 1
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 16:15
Lorient
2 2
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Nice
3 3
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Lorient
2 0
Angers
Paris FC
D W D D W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 16:15
Paris FC
3 2
LE Havre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Mar 2026 - 14:00
Strasbourg
0 0
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Lyon
1 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 14:00
Paris FC
1 0
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Toulouse
1 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 20:05
Paris FC
0 5
Lens

Lorient vs Paris FC: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lorient and away matches for Paris FC

Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lorient
Paris FC
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2
Lorient
Paris FC
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
20% 2
10% 1
Double Chance
Lorient
Paris FC
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Lorient
Paris FC
0-1
10% 1
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
30% 3
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
Lorient
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Paris FC
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Lorient
Paris FC
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
20% 2
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Lorient
Paris FC
xG
1.05
1.11
xGa
1.35
1.57
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lorient
Paris FC
Yes
20% 2
0% 0
No
80% 8
100% 10
1X2
Lorient
Paris FC
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
10% 1
20% 2
Double Chance
Lorient
Paris FC
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Lorient
Paris FC
0-1
80% 8
80% 8
2-3
10% 1
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Paris FC
Yes
80% 8
80% 8
No
20% 2
20% 2
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lorient
Paris FC
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Lorient
Paris FC
1
40% 4
10% 1
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Lorient
Paris FC
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
90% 9
Total Goals
Lorient
Paris FC
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Paris FC
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1.20 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found