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Liverpool vs Leeds: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 1 January, 2026 11:30
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.18 vs 0.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.1%
0:1
4.19%
0:2
1.72%
0:3
0.47%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
10.66%
1:1
9.21%
1:2
3.97%
1:3
1.14%
1:4
0.24%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
11.13%
🔥
2:1
10.1%
2:2
4.56%
2:3
1.37%
2:4
0.31%
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
7.75%
3:1
7.37%
3:2
3.48%
3:3
1.09%
3:4
0.25%
⭐
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
4.05%
4:1
4.02%
4:2
1.98%
4:3
0.65%
4:4
0.16%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
1.69%
5:1
1.75%
5:2
0.9%
5:3
0.31%
⭐
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
2:0 (11.1%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
8
5
4
29
17
12
29
5
▲
9
2
6
28
25
3
29
6
▲
7
6
4
19
17
2
27
15
▼
5
7
5
26
29
-3
22
16
▲
5
4
8
24
31
-7
19
17
▼
5
3
9
17
26
-9
18
2.12
xG
0.89
61%
Ball Possession
39%
16
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1
Last 6 Matches
Liverpool
VS
Leeds
4/6 (67%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.83
PPG
1.33
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
2.33
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
50%
BTTS %
100%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
1.41
Avg xG
1.94
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Liverpool will take on Leeds as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2026-01-01 at 2026-01-01 in the famous Anfield.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Liverpool, and the visiting side, Leeds. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Liverpool or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-01
Time: 17:30
Location: Anfield
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Liverpool vs Leeds Thursday, Jan 1st, 2026 at 11:30 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Liverpool vs Leeds Football 1 Jan, 2026 11:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Liverpool create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
Comprehensive betting trends for Liverpool vs Leeds, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Liverpool @ 1.54 ⚠️ 
Liverpool
- Efficient ScoringH2H6/786%Liverpool efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
Leeds
- Not WinH2H6/786%Leeds have not won in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Liverpool to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.80 ⚠️ 
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H5/771.4%Both teams scored in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.70 ⚠️
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H6/785.7%Over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 H2H matches (85.7%%)
Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Liverpool Win or Draw @ 1.14 ⚠️ 
Liverpool
- Undefeated at HTH2H7/7100%Liverpool are undefeated at half time in their last 7 7 matches
Leeds
- Not WinH2H6/786%Leeds have not won in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Liverpool to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Liverpool Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.53 ⚠️
Liverpool
- Scored 1+Recent7/7100%Liverpool scored 1+ goals in their last 7 7 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent6/786%Liverpool score in first half in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
Liverpool's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Liverpool(1 trends) — avg 1.6 (-16% below league)
- Few CardsH2H6/786%Liverpool receive 0-1 card in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
Leeds(1 trends) — avg 2 (+5% above league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Leeds average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 1.9) — rank #5 lowest in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 2.7 cards per match in their last 7 H2H matches
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.98 ⚠️ 
Leeds(1 trends) — avg 3.6 (-26% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Leeds average 3.6 corners/match in away matches (-26% below league avg 4.8)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.98
+23 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Liverpool vs Leeds
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Leeds is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 7).
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 10).
🔄 Second Half: Leeds is stronger in the second half (15 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 10).
🔄 Second Half: Leeds is stronger in the second half (15 vs 10).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Liverpool
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.16
✈️ Leeds
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.22
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Liverpool - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Leeds - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Liverpool - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
10
✈️ Leeds - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
10
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
10
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Leeds often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 7)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Leeds scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider Leeds to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Leeds shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 10 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Leeds winning the second half
- Overall Result: Leeds has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Leeds handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.253
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.059
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Liverpool):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Leeds):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Liverpool vs Leeds Head-to-head statistics for Thu 1 Jan, 2026 @ 11:30 Premier League
Liverpool vs Leeds: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Liverpool and away matches for Leeds
Number of goals
Liverpool
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Liverpool
Leeds
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
1X2
Liverpool
Leeds
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
Liverpool
Leeds
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Liverpool
Leeds
0-1
20%
2
0%
0
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
20%
2
50%
5
Total Corners
Liverpool
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Liverpool
Leeds
Yes
40%
4
0%
0
No
60%
6
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Liverpool
Leeds
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
40%
4
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Liverpool
Leeds
xG
1.58
1.6
xGa
1.09
1.6
Number of goals
Liverpool
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Liverpool
Leeds
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Liverpool
Leeds
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
70%
7
30%
3
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Liverpool
Leeds
12
30%
3
70%
7
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Liverpool
Leeds
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Liverpool
Leeds
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
Number of goals
Liverpool
Under
Over
Leeds
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Liverpool
Leeds
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Liverpool
Leeds
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
Liverpool
Leeds
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Liverpool
Leeds
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
70%
7
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Liverpool
Leeds
Yes
40%
4
0%
0
No
60%
6
100%
10
Team comparison
Prediction
Liverpool to Win
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 64.02% | Medium | 1.53 |
| Under 1.5 | 35.98% | Low | 2.54 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 23.17% | Low | 3.92 |
| Under 1.5 | 76.83% | High | 1.25 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 37.15% | Low | 2.63 |
| Under 2.5 | 62.85% | Medium | 1.49 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 6.48% | Low | 13.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 93.52% | High | 1.04 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Liverpool
Leeds
Played:
7
Wins
4
4
Draws
2
2
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
24
3.4
Goals
1.4
10
10
1.4
Goals Conceded
3.4
24
7
1
Yellow Cards
1.6
11
0
Red Cards
0.1
1
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
52
7.4
Corners
3.6
25
72
10.3
Fouls
8
56
15
2.1
Offsides
2.3
16
143
20.4
Shots
9.9
69
61
8.7
Shots on Goal
4
28
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 4 | 9 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 13 | 1.7 | 15 | 1.6 | 28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 9 | 1.8 | 16 | 1.5 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 11 | 2.4 | 22 | 1.9 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 5 | 40 | 4.9 | 44 | 4.9 | 84 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 84 | 10.4 | 94 | 10.5 | 178 |
| Offsides | 2 | 16 | 2.1 | 19 | 2.1 | 35 |
| Shots | 16.5 | 132 | 13.2 | 119 | 14.8 | 251 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.8 | 38 | 3.9 | 35 | 4.3 | 73 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 6 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.4 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 12 | 2.4 | 19 | 1.8 | 31 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 18 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.6 | 27 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 5.1 | 46 | 3.1 | 25 | 4.2 | 71 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 95 | 11.4 | 91 | 10.9 | 186 |
| Offsides | 1.7 | 15 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 139 | 9.9 | 79 | 12.8 | 218 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.8 | 43 | 3.1 | 25 | 4 | 68 |
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