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UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 – Knockout play-offs • Knockout round play-offs
Preview
Lille
Lille
Form
VS
20:00
19 Feb 2026
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda
Form
AI Prediction +2.5 goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Lille vs FK Crvena Zvezda: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 19 February, 2026 14:00

Winner (1x2)1.73
Lille to Win
Probability 59%
Total Goals1.81
Over 2.5
Probability 75%
Both Teams to Score1.77
Yes
Probability 60%
Lille Total1.35
Home Under 2.5
Probability 56%
FK Crvena Zvezda Total1.32
Away Under 1.5
Probability 65%
Double Chance1.20
Lille/Draw
Probability 82%
Asian Handicap1.19
FK Crvena Zvezda +2
Probability 67%
Best Tip
Value
Goals Over/Under +2.5
Odds 1.81
Win Prob. 75.1% EV: +35.9%
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Prediction League
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs
20:00
Lille W 59%
:
FK Crvena Zvezda W 18%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Lille
l w l d d
15 Played
9 Wins
2 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (28 total)
xG
1.70 (25.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.4 (231 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (34% acc)
Corners
7.2 (108 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.2 (153 total)
Offsides
1.2 (18 total)
15 Played
5 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (19 total)
xG
1.30 (19.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (189 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (32% acc)
Corners
5.3 (80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
11.7 (175 total)
Offsides
1.5 (23 total)
30 Played
14 Wins
4 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (47 total)
xG
1.50 (44.4 total)
Shots per Match
14 (420 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (33% acc)
Corners
6.3 (188 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (6 total)
Fouls
10.9 (328 total)
Offsides
1.4 (41 total)
FK Crvena Zvezda
w w w w d
7 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (11 total)
xG
0.80 (5.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.7 (75 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (27% acc)
Corners
5 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (2 total)
Fouls
8.3 (58 total)
Offsides
1.3 (9 total)
7 Played
4 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (8 total)
xG
0.60 (4.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.3 (65 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (29% acc)
Corners
3.4 (24 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.1 (71 total)
Offsides
2 (14 total)
14 Played
7 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (19 total)
xG
0.70 (9.7 total)
Shots per Match
10 (140 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (28% acc)
Corners
4.2 (59 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
9.2 (129 total)
Offsides
1.6 (23 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.76 vs 1.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.56%
0:1
2.49%
0:2
1.21%
0:3
0.39%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
6.25%
1:1
6.89%
1:2
3.74%
1:3
1.34%
1:4
0.36%
1:5
0.08%
2
2:0
7.62%
2:1
9.4%
🔥
2:2
5.66%
2:3
2.23%
2:4
0.65%
2:5
0.15%
3
3:0
6.2%
3:1
8.45%
3:2
5.6%
3:3
2.42%
3:4
0.76%
3:5
0.19%
4
4:0
3.78%
4:1
5.65%
4:2
4.09%
4:3
1.92%
4:4
0.66%
4:5
0.18%
5
5:0
1.84%
5:1
3%
5:2
2.35%
5:3
1.2%
5:4
0.44%
5:5
0.13%
Hotspot: 2:1 (9.4%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.6%
0
8.7%
1
15.7%
2
19.7%
3
19.3%
4
15.7%
5
10.2%
6
5.2%
7
2.0%
8
0.6%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

LilleHDPFK Crvena Zvezda
23.3%
Low@ 5.50
-2.5
1.5%
Very Low
33.0%
Low@ 4.40
-2
3.6%
Very Low
42.7%
Medium@ 2.86
-1.5
5.6%
@ 10.50Very Low
54.0%
Medium@ 2.18
-1
10.7%
@ 9.70Very Low
65.4%
High@ 1.67
-0.5
15.9%
@ 4.50Very Low
84.1%
Very High@ 1.19
+0.5
34.6%
@ 2.30Low
89.3%
Very High@ 1.00
+1
46.0%
@ 1.75Medium
94.4%
Very High@ 1.03
+1.5
57.3%
@ 1.47Medium
96.5%
Very High
+2
67.0%
@ 1.20High
98.5%
Very High
+2.5
76.7%
@ 1.15High

Team Total Predictions

LilleOutcomeFK Crvena Zvezda
68.7%
High@ 1.73
Over 1.5
34.5%
@ 3.55Low
31.3%
Low@ 2.17
Under 1.5
65.5%
@ 1.30High
43.9%
Medium@ 3.25
Over 2.5
13.0%
@ 11.00Very Low
56.1%
Medium@ 1.36
Under 2.5
87.0%
@ 1.06Very High
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs matchup, Lille will take on FK Crvena Zvezda as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-19 at 2026-02-19 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lille, and the visiting side, FK Crvena Zvezda. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or FK Crvena Zvezda and -3.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-19 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lille vs FK Crvena Zvezda Thursday, Feb 19th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

AI Value Bets
8 Found

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Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 75.1%
EV: +35.9%
Stake: $3.09
1.81
Premium Tip Lille Over 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Premium Tip Over 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 59.5%
EV: +7.7%
Stake: $3.09
1.81
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 59.5%
EV: +5.4%
Stake: $3.25
1.77
Win to Nil Lille NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 74.6%
EV: +2.9%
Stake: $6.58
1.38
Win To Nil Home No
Value
Prob: 74.9%
EV: +2.6%
Stake: $6.76
1.37
Match Winner Lille
Value
Prob: 59.3%
EV: +2.0%
Stake: $3.47
1.72
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-17 02:22:26
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Trends for Lille vs FK Crvena Zvezda Football 19 Feb, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Lille score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    FK Crvena Zvezda struggle to score — failed to find net in 3/4 recent away matches

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Lille vs FK Crvena Zvezda

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Lille is stronger in the second half (16 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: Lille is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Lille

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.17

✈️ FK Crvena Zvezda

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.3
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Lille - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

✈️ FK Crvena Zvezda - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Lille - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7

✈️ FK Crvena Zvezda - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Lille shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 12 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Lille winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Lille excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 9 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Lille scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: FK Crvena Zvezda has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider FK Crvena Zvezda handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.105
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.04
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lille):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (FK Crvena Zvezda):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda

Lille vs FK Crvena Zvezda Head-to-head statistics for Thu 19 Feb, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Europa League

Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Under/Over: -3.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Lille
VS
FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0)
1 (1)
xG
1.50
1.70
Shots
11 (11)
11 (11)
Shots on Target
3 (3)
3 (3)
Corners
3 (3)
5 (5)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
0 (0)
xGa
1.70
1.50
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (2)
3 (3)
Fouls
14 (14)
17 (17)
Offsides
0 (0)
3 (3)
6 Nov
- 17:45
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
1.70
xG
1.53
1
0
Prob 68%
Goals Total Over 2.5
Odd 1.79
Last 6 Matches
Lille
VS
FK Crvena Zvezda
1/6 (17%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
0.00 PPG 0.00
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.50
50% BTTS % 17%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.26 Avg xG 1.27
Lille
L W L D D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Lille
1 1
Stade Brestois 29
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Metz
0 0
Lille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 14:00
Lyon
1 0
Lille
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
29 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Lille
1 0
SC Freiburg
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Lille
1 4
Strasbourg
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
22 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Celta Vigo
2 1
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
W W W W D
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
29 Jan 2026 - 20:00
FK Crvena Zvezda
1 1
Celta Vigo
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
22 Jan 2026 - 17:45
Malmo FF
0 1
FK Crvena Zvezda
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 17:45
Sturm Graz
0 1
FK Crvena Zvezda
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 20:00
FK Crvena Zvezda
1 0
FCSB
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 17:45
FK Crvena Zvezda
1 0
Lille
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
23 Oct 2025 - 16:45
SC Braga
2 0
FK Crvena Zvezda

Lille vs FK Crvena Zvezda: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lille and away matches for FK Crvena Zvezda

Number of goals
Lille
Under
Over
FK Crvena Zvezda
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1X2
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
60% 6
30% 3
Double Chance
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
0-1
40% 4
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Total Corners
Lille
Under
Over
FK Crvena Zvezda
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
xG
1.01
1.22
xGa
1.3
1.41
Number of goals
Lille
Under
Over
FK Crvena Zvezda
Under
Over
0.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9
1X2
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
50% 5
70% 7
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
12
50% 5
30% 3
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
0-1
90% 9
90% 9
2-3
10% 1
10% 1
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
Number of goals
Lille
Under
Over
FK Crvena Zvezda
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lille
FK Crvena Zvezda
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
2.22 xG 1.12
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found