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Leeds
4
1
Crystal Palace
Leeds vs Manchester United: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 6:30
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.10 vs 1.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.14%
0:1
4.35%
0:2
3.02%
0:3
1.39%
0:4
0.48%
0:5
0.13%
1
1:0
6.21%
⭐
1:1
8.99%
1:2
6.5%
⭐
1:3
3.13%
1:4
1.13%
1:5
0.32%
⭐
2
2:0
6.13%
2:1
9.27%
🔥
2:2
6.98%
⭐
2:3
3.49%
⭐
2:4
1.31%
⭐
2:5
0.39%
⭐
3
3:0
4.04%
3:1
6.36%
3:2
4.98%
⭐
3:3
2.59%
⭐
3:4
1.01%
⭐
3:5
0.31%
⭐
4
4:0
1.99%
4:1
3.26%
⭐
4:2
2.66%
⭐
4:3
1.43%
4:4
0.58%
⭐
4:5
0.19%
5
5:0
0.79%
⭐
5:1
1.34%
⭐
5:2
1.13%
⭐
5:3
0.63%
⭐
5:4
0.26%
⭐
5:5
0.09%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.3%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
▲
7
6
4
19
17
2
27
7
▼
7
5
5
31
28
3
26
8
▼
7
5
5
21
19
2
26
15
▼
5
7
5
26
29
-3
22
16
▲
5
4
8
24
31
-7
19
17
▼
5
3
9
17
26
-9
18
1.88
xG
1.63
55%
Ball Possession
45%
16
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
5
10
Shots Off Goal
9
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Leeds
VS
Manchester United
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.33
PPG
1.33
2.33
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
100%
BTTS %
83%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.94
Avg xG
2.14
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Leeds will take on Manchester United as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous Elland Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Leeds, and the visiting side, Manchester United. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Manchester United and +1.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-04
Time: 12:30
Location: Elland Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Leeds vs Manchester United Football 4 Jan, 2026 6:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Leeds vs Manchester United, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Leeds(4 trends)
- Not WinH2H6/6100%Leeds have not won in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Manchester United
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Leeds score 1.89 goals/match at home (+34% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%Leeds create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Premier League (Home) matches
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Leeds have not won in 23 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Manchester United(7 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H6/6100%Manchester United are unbeaten in their last 6 6 matches vs Leeds
- High xG PerformanceH2H6/6100%Manchester United create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Leeds
- Efficient ScoringH2H5/683%Manchester United efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Leeds
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%Manchester United rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.67 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%Manchester United create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Premier League (Away) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%Manchester United create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
- Not WinRecent12/1675%Manchester United have not won in 12 of their last 16 Premier League (Away) matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Leeds(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Leeds score (1.89/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 53%)
Manchester United(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/989%Manchester United score (1.67/match) and concede (1.78/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 89% of matches (league avg: 53%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Leeds(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Leeds score 1.89 goals/match at home (+34% above league average)
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent24/3080%Over 2.5 goals in 24 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Manchester United(1 trends)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%Manchester United rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.67 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
Combined 1.9 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Leeds(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H6/6100%Leeds have not won in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Manchester United
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Leeds have not won in 23 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Manchester United(3 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H6/6100%Manchester United are unbeaten in their last 6 6 matches vs Leeds
- Undefeated at HTH2H5/683%Manchester United are undefeated at half time in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Leeds
- Not WinRecent12/1675%Manchester United have not won in 12 of their last 16 Premier League (Away) matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Leeds(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague9/975%Leeds score 1.89 goals/match at home (+34% above league average)
Manchester United(1 trends)
- League Top ScorerLeague9/970%Manchester United rank 2 of 20 in scoring in away matches (1.67 goals/match vs league avg 2.83)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Leeds(2 trends) — avg 2 (+5% above league)
- Many CardsH2H5/683%Leeds receive 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Manchester United
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Leeds average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 1.9)
Manchester United(2 trends) — avg 1.9
- Few CardsH2H5/683%Manchester United receive 0-1 card in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Leeds
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Manchester United average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 1.9) — rank #4 lowest in league
Both teams disciplined - • H2H average: 4.2 total cards/match
+38 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Leeds vs Manchester United
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Leeds is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 4).
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 12).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 12).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Leeds
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.22
✈️ Manchester United
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Leeds - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Manchester United - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Leeds - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
10
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
10
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Manchester United - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Leeds often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 4)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Leeds scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 12)
- First Half Result: Consider Leeds to win the first half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.18
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.068
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Leeds):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Manchester United):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Leeds vs Manchester United Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 6:30 Premier League
Leeds vs Manchester United: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Leeds and away matches for Manchester United
Number of goals
Leeds
Under
Over
Manchester United
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Leeds
Manchester United
Yes
80%
8
90%
9
No
20%
2
10%
1
1X2
Leeds
Manchester United
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Leeds
Manchester United
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Leeds
Manchester United
0-1
0%
0
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
50%
5
50%
5
Total Corners
Leeds
Under
Over
Manchester United
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Leeds
Manchester United
Yes
0%
0
0%
0
No
100%
10
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Leeds
Manchester United
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Leeds
Manchester United
xG
1.6
1.66
xGa
1.6
1.28
Number of goals
Leeds
Under
Over
Manchester United
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Leeds
Manchester United
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
Leeds
Manchester United
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Leeds
Manchester United
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Leeds
Manchester United
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Leeds
Manchester United
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Number of goals
Leeds
Under
Over
Manchester United
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Leeds
Manchester United
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
Leeds
Manchester United
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Leeds
Manchester United
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Leeds
Manchester United
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
70%
7
60%
6
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Leeds
Manchester United
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : draw or Manchester United and +1.5 goals
Under/Over:
+1.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.64%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 62.04% | Medium | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 37.96% | Low | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 44.55% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 55.45% | Medium | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 35.04% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 64.96% | Medium | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 19.37% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 80.63% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Leeds
Manchester United
Played:
6
Wins
0
0
Draws
2
2
Wins
4
4
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
7
1.2
Goals
3.2
19
19
3.2
Goals Conceded
1.2
7
17
2.8
Yellow Cards
1.3
8
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
34
5.7
Corners
5.7
34
70
11.7
Fouls
11.2
67
16
2.7
Offsides
1.7
10
73
12.2
Shots
18
108
23
3.8
Shots on Goal
7.8
47
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 6 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.4 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 12 | 2.4 | 19 | 1.8 | 31 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 18 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.6 | 27 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 5.1 | 46 | 3.1 | 25 | 4.2 | 71 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 95 | 11.4 | 91 | 10.9 | 186 |
| Offsides | 1.7 | 15 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 139 | 9.9 | 79 | 12.8 | 218 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.8 | 43 | 3.1 | 25 | 4 | 68 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 16 | 1.7 | 15 | 1.8 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 12 | 1.8 | 16 | 1.6 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 12 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.5 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Corners | 4.5 | 36 | 4.7 | 42 | 4.6 | 78 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 85 | 8.2 | 74 | 9.4 | 159 |
| Offsides | 1.5 | 12 | 1.6 | 14 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 18.8 | 150 | 14.1 | 127 | 16.3 | 277 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.1 | 49 | 5 | 45 | 5.5 | 94 |
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