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Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 28
Preview
Leeds
Leeds
15th place
Form
VS
17:30
28 Feb 2026
Manchester City
Manchester City
2nd place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Manchester City
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Leeds vs Manchester City: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 28 February, 2026 11:30

Winner (1x2)1.67
Manchester City to Win
Probability 46%
Total Goals1.69
Over 2.5
Probability 58%
Both Teams to Score1.71
Yes
Probability 62%
Leeds Total1.07
Home Under 2.5
Probability 82%
Manchester City Total1.42
Away Under 2.5
Probability 72%
Double Chance1.21
Draw/Manchester City
Probability 72%
Asian Handicap1.52
Leeds +1.5
Probability 75%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
17:30
Leeds W 28%
:
Manchester City W 46%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Leeds
w d l w d
13 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (22 total)
xG
1.60 (21.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.7 (178 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (31% acc)
Corners
5.2 (67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.9 (129 total)
Offsides
1.9 (25 total)
14 Played
2 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (17 total)
xG
1.30 (17.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (152 total)
Shots on Target
4 (37% acc)
Corners
3.5 (49 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (7%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.8 (151 total)
Offsides
1.4 (19 total)
27 Played
8 Wins
9 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (39 total)
xG
1.40 (38.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.2 (330 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (34% acc)
Corners
4.3 (116 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.4 (280 total)
Offsides
1.6 (44 total)
Manchester City
w w d w w
18 Played
14 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.8 (50 total)
xG
1.80 (33.0 total)
Shots per Match
15.9 (287 total)
Shots on Target
6.5 (41% acc)
Corners
6.5 (117 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.1 (164 total)
Offsides
1.1 (20 total)
17 Played
8 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (29 total)
xG
1.60 (27.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (214 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.1 (69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.4 (177 total)
Offsides
1.2 (21 total)
35 Played
22 Wins
6 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (79 total)
xG
1.70 (60.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.3 (501 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (39% acc)
Corners
5.3 (186 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
14 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.7 (341 total)
Offsides
1.2 (41 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.52 vs 2.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.21%
0:1
7.01%
0:2
5.85%
0:3
3.25%
0:4
1.35%
0:5
0.45%
1
1:0
4.93%
1:1
9.7%
🔥
1:2
9.31%
1:3
5.86%
1:4
2.73%
1:5
1%
2
2:0
2.89%
2:1
6.55%
2:2
7.16%
2:3
5.07%
2:4
2.63%
2:5
1.07%
3
3:0
1.13%
3:1
2.9%
3:2
3.56%
3:3
2.82%
3:4
1.62%
3:5
0.72%
4
4:0
0.33%
4:1
0.95%
4:2
1.3%
4:3
1.14%
4:4
0.72%
4:5
0.35%
5
5:0
0.08%
5:1
0.25%
5:2
0.37%
5:3
0.36%
5:4
0.25%
5:5
0.13%
Hotspot: 1:1 (9.7%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.2%
0
11.9%
1
18.4%
2
20.2%
3
17.6%
4
12.8%
5
8.0%
6
4.2%
7
1.8%
8
0.6%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

LeedsHDPManchester City
3.8%
Very Low
-2.5
10.4%
@ 5.00Very Low
7.8%
Very Low
-2
17.6%
@ 4.63Very Low
11.8%
Very Low@ 10.00
-1.5
24.7%
@ 2.78Low
20.1%
Low@ 8.60
-1
36.0%
@ 2.08Low
28.5%
Low@ 4.65
-0.5
47.2%
@ 1.62Medium
52.8%
Medium@ 2.42
+0.5
71.5%
@ 1.18High
64.0%
High@ 1.83
+1
79.9%
@ 1.01High
75.3%
High@ 1.52
+1.5
88.3%
@ 1.03Very High
82.4%
Very High@ 1.23
+2
92.2%
Very High
89.6%
Very High@ 1.17
+2.5
96.2%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

LeedsOutcomeManchester City
41.0%
Medium@ 3.25
Over 1.5
55.1%
@ 1.61Medium
59.0%
Medium@ 1.34
Under 1.5
44.9%
@ 2.38Medium
17.6%
Very Low@ 10.00
Over 2.5
28.2%
@ 2.90Low
82.4%
Very High@ 1.07
Under 2.5
71.9%
@ 1.42High
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Leeds will take on Manchester City as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-02-28 at 2026-02-28 in the famous Elland Road. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Leeds, and the visiting side, Manchester City. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Manchester City. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-28 Time: 17:30 Location: Elland Road Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Leeds vs Manchester City Saturday, Feb 28th, 2026 at 11:30 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Asian Handicap Leeds +1
High Value
Prob: 64%
EV: +17.2%
Stake: $3.01
1.83
Asian Handicap Leeds +1.5
Value
Prob: 75.3%
EV: +14.4%
Stake: $4.81
1.52
Win to Nil Manchester City NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 81.8%
EV: +11.3%
Stake: $6.94
1.36
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 61.6%
EV: +5.3%
Stake: $3.52
1.71
Asian Handicap Leeds +2.5
Value
Prob: 89.6%
EV: +4.8%
Stake: $10.00
1.17
Away Total Manchester City Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 71.9%
EV: +2.0%
Stake: $5.95
1.42
Asian Handicap Leeds +2
Value
Prob: 82.4%
EV: +1.4%
Stake: $10.00
1.23
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-17 02:02:19
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Trends for Leeds vs Manchester City Football 28 Feb, 2026 11:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 88% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Leeds vs Manchester City

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Leeds

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.17

✈️ Manchester City

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Leeds - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Manchester City - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Leeds - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
13
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Manchester City - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
12
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Manchester City has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Manchester City handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.168
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.046
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Leeds):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Manchester City):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Leeds
Manchester City

Leeds vs Manchester City Head-to-head statistics for Sat 28 Feb, 2026 @ 11:30 Premier League

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Arsenal
d l w w d
>
26
17
6
3
50
18
32
57
2
Manchester City
l w d w w
>
26
16
5
5
54
24
30
53
3
Aston Villa
l w l d w
>
26
15
5
6
37
27
10
50

14
Brighton
d l d l l
>
26
7
10
9
34
34
0
31
15
Leeds
w d l w d
>
26
7
9
10
36
45
-9
30
16
Tottenham
l d d l l
>
26
7
8
11
36
37
-1
29
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Manchester City
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Leeds
VS
Manchester City
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
1 Draws
5 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (7)
3 (21)
xG
1.50
2.70
Shots
7 (49)
23.4 (164)
Shots on Target
3 (21)
7.7 (54)
Corners
2.9 (20)
7.7 (54)
Defense
Conceded
3 (21)
1 (7)
xGa
2.70
1.50
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (12)
2 (14)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
12.3 (86)
9.4 (66)
Offsides
2.1 (15)
2 (14)
29 Nov
- 15:00
Manchester City
Leeds
2.72
xG
1.53
3
2
Prob 84%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.30
6 May
- 14:00
Manchester City
Leeds
2
1
28 Dec
- 20:00
Leeds
Manchester City
1
3
30 Apr
- 16:30
Leeds
Manchester City
0
4
14 Dec
- 20:00
Manchester City
Leeds
7
0
10 Apr
- 11:30
Manchester City
Leeds
1
2
3 Oct
- 16:30
Leeds
Manchester City
1
1
Last 6 Matches
Leeds
VS
Manchester City
3/6 (50%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.33 PPG 1.83
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
67% BTTS % 50%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.61 Avg xG 1.65
Leeds
W D L W D
Premier League 2025-2026
10 Feb 2026 - 19:30
Chelsea
2 2
Leeds
Premier League 2025-2026
6 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Leeds
3 1
Nottingham Forest
Premier League 2025-2026
31 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Leeds
0 4
Arsenal
Premier League 2025-2026
26 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Everton
1 1
Leeds
Premier League 2025-2026
17 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Leeds
1 0
Fulham
FA Cup 2025-2026 - Knockout
11 Jan 2026 - 12:00
Derby
1 3
Leeds
Manchester City
W W D W W
Premier League 2025-2026
11 Feb 2026 - 19:30
Manchester City
3 0
Fulham
Premier League 2025-2026
8 Feb 2026 - 16:30
Liverpool
1 2
Manchester City
Premier League 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 16:30
Tottenham
2 2
Manchester City
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Manchester City
2 0
Galatasaray
Premier League 2025-2026
24 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Manchester City
2 0
Wolves
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
20 Jan 2026 - 17:45
Bodo/Glimt
3 1
Manchester City

Leeds vs Manchester City: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Leeds and away matches for Manchester City

Number of goals
Leeds
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Leeds
Manchester City
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
1X2
Leeds
Manchester City
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Leeds
Manchester City
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Leeds
Manchester City
0-1
20% 2
0% 0
2-3
30% 3
70% 7
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
Leeds
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Leeds
Manchester City
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Leeds
Manchester City
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Leeds
Manchester City
xG
1.56
1.6
xGa
1.51
1.02
Number of goals
Leeds
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Leeds
Manchester City
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2
Leeds
Manchester City
1
30% 3
70% 7
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Leeds
Manchester City
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
70% 7
30% 3
Total Goals
Leeds
Manchester City
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Leeds
Manchester City
Yes
50% 5
90% 9
No
50% 5
10% 1
Number of goals
Leeds
Under
Over
Manchester City
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Leeds
Manchester City
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Leeds
Manchester City
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Leeds
Manchester City
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Leeds
Manchester City
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Leeds
Manchester City
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1.89 xG 1.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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Premier League Odds: Manchester City Reduced to 13/10 for Title After Arsenal's Defeat to Villa
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Aston Villa vs Arsenal live: Rice begins as injury-plagued Gunners aim to sustain lead in Premier League standings
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Arsenal and Man City Compete for Bundesliga Star, Report Claims
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