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Leeds vs Liverpool: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 12:30
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Upgrade to PremiumLeeds vs Liverpool Match Preview: A Crucial Clash in the Premier League
Match Stakes and Context
This matchup between Leeds and Liverpool carries significant weight as both teams are navigating challenging seasons. Leeds sits precariously in 17th place with only 14 points, while Liverpool is in 9th with 22 points, desperately seeking to climb up the league. A win for Leeds could provide vital momentum, while Liverpool aims to stabilize their form and push for European qualification.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams come into this fixture with contrasting recent performances, impacting their confidence levels.
- Leeds: Struggling recently, Leeds has managed just one win in their last five matches. Their defense has been particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match, which puts immense pressure on their attack to perform.
- Liverpool: Liverpool's form has been inconsistent, particularly away from home, where they have lost four of their last five matches. Their attack appears lackluster, averaging only a goal per match in their last five outings, leading to mounting frustration among fans.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Liverpool has dominated this fixture, winning four of the last six encounters against Leeds. The last five results highlight this trend, with Liverpool scoring an impressive 4.67 goals on average per match in their recent meetings. Leeds' only victory came in a stunning 6-0 win, which seems like a distant memory given their current struggles.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
In this clash, Leeds will likely focus on a counter-attacking style, leveraging their home advantage and the pace of their forwards. However, they will have to cope without key midfielder Sean Longstaff due to injury, which diminishes their midfield stability. Liverpool will aim to dominate possession and exploit Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities, with Virgil van Dijk anchoring their backline. The ability of players like Ryan Gravenberch to control the midfield could prove pivotal in creating goal-scoring opportunities for the visitors.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Away Win.
Predicted Score: Leeds 1 - 3 Liverpool
Reasoning: Despite their struggles, Liverpool's attacking potential and historical dominance in this matchup, coupled with Leeds' defensive frailties, suggests a favorable outcome for the visitors.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Match Winner - Away @ 1.85 (46.6%).
- Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Over 2.5 @ 1.72 (56.8%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.35 vs 1.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.84%
0:1
8.77%
0:2
6.58%
0:3
3.29%
0:4
1.24%
0:5
0.37%
1
1:0
7.01%
⭐
1:1
11.39%
🔥
1:2
9.2%
1:3
4.93%
1:4
1.97%
1:5
0.63%
2
2:0
4.2%
⭐
2:1
7.36%
⭐
2:2
6.37%
2:3
3.64%
2:4
1.55%
2:5
0.52%
3
3:0
1.68%
⭐
3:1
3.15%
⭐
3:2
2.91%
⭐
3:3
1.77%
⭐
3:4
0.8%
3:5
0.29%
⭐
4
4:0
0.5%
⭐
4:1
1.01%
⭐
4:2
0.99%
⭐
4:3
0.64%
⭐
4:4
0.31%
⭐
4:5
0.12%
⭐
5
5:0
0.12%
5:1
0.26%
⭐
5:2
0.27%
⭐
5:3
0.18%
⭐
5:4
0.09%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.4%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
▼
6
4
4
22
21
1
22
9
▼
7
1
6
21
21
0
22
10
▲
6
3
5
15
17
-2
21
16
4
3
7
14
22
-8
15
17
▲
4
2
8
16
26
-10
14
18
▼
3
3
8
16
28
-12
12
Last 6 Matches
Leeds
VS
Liverpool
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.00
PPG
1.17
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
2.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
83%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.42
Avg xG
1.67
Missing Players
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Back Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
1.39
xG [Total: 3.02]
1.63
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
6
Corners [Total: 12]
6
2
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
11
Fouls [Total: 21]
10
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 10]
5
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Leeds will take on Liverpool as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous Elland Road.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Leeds, and the visiting side, Liverpool. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Liverpool.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-06
Time: 17:30
Location: Elland Road
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Leeds vs Liverpool Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 12:30 Football
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Trends for Leeds vs Liverpool Football 6 Dec, 2025 12:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Leeds vs Liverpool, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Liverpool @ 1.89 ✅ 
Liverpool
- High xG PerformanceH2H6/6100%Liverpool create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Leeds
- UnbeatenH2H5/683%Liverpool are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Leeds
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Liverpool create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%Liverpool create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Leeds
- Not WinH2H5/683%Leeds have not won in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Liverpool
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Leeds have not won in 23 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Liverpool dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.65 ⚠️ 
Leeds(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Leeds score (1.43/match) and concede (1.14/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 53%)
🛡️ Double Chance — Liverpool Win or Draw @ 1.28 ✅
Liverpool
- Undefeated at HTH2H6/6100%Liverpool are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches vs Leeds
- UnbeatenH2H5/683%Liverpool are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Leeds
Leeds
- Not WinH2H5/683%Leeds have not won in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Liverpool
- Not WinRecent23/3077%Leeds have not won in 23 of their last 30 Premier League matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Liverpool to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Liverpool Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.78 ✅ 
Liverpool
- Scored 1+H2H6/6100%Liverpool scored 1+ goals in their last 6 6 matches vs Leeds
- First Half SpecialistsH2H6/6100%Liverpool score in first half in their last 6 6 matches vs Leeds
- Scored 1+Recent14/1593%Liverpool scored 1+ goals in 14 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent12/1580%Liverpool score in second half in 12 of their last 15 Premier League (Away) matches
Liverpool's attack remains potent — consistently scoring against quality opposition.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.83 ⚠️ 
Leeds(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague14/1484.5%Leeds average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 1.9)
Liverpool(1 trends)
- Few CardsH2H6/6100%Liverpool receive 0-1 card in 6 of their last 6 Premier League matches vs Leeds
Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.83 • H2H average: 2.2 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00 ⚠️
Leeds(1 trends) — avg 5.6 (+8% above league)
- Few CornersH2H3/475%Leeds win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Premier League matches vs Liverpool
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00
+23 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Leeds vs Liverpool
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Leeds is stronger in the first 15 minutes (12 vs 6).
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Liverpool is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Liverpool is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Leeds
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.23
✈️ Liverpool
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.18
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Leeds - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Liverpool - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Leeds - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
12
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
12
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Liverpool - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Leeds often scores in the first 15 minutes (12 vs 6)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Leeds scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Leeds is stronger in the first half (18 vs 10)
- First Half Result: Consider Leeds to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Liverpool excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 7 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Liverpool scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Leeds has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Leeds handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.144
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.048
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.053
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Leeds):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Liverpool):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Leeds vs Liverpool Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 12:30 Premier League
Leeds vs Liverpool: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Leeds and away matches for Liverpool
Number of goals
Number of goals
Leeds
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Leeds
Liverpool
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Leeds
Liverpool
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
10%
1
10%
1
2
60%
6
50%
5
Double Chance
Double Chance
Leeds
Liverpool
12
90%
9
90%
9
1X
40%
4
50%
5
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Leeds
Liverpool
0-1
0%
0
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
60%
6
4+
50%
5
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Leeds
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Leeds
Liverpool
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Leeds
Liverpool
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Leeds
Liverpool
xG
1.4
1.87
xGa
1.47
1.01
Number of goals
Number of goals
Leeds
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Leeds
Liverpool
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Leeds
Liverpool
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Leeds
Liverpool
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Leeds
Liverpool
0-1
30%
3
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
30%
3
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Leeds
Liverpool
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
Leeds
Under
Over
Liverpool
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Leeds
Liverpool
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Leeds
Liverpool
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
60%
6
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Leeds
Liverpool
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
40%
4
70%
7
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Leeds
Liverpool
0-1
40%
4
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
70%
7
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Leeds
Liverpool
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
Team comparison
Prediction
Leeds AH+1
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.93%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 39.05% | Low | 2.91 |
| Under 1.5 | 60.95% | Medium | 1.45 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 49.11% | Low | 1.78 |
| Under 1.5 | 50.89% | Medium | 2.10 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 15.43% | Low | 8.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 84.57% | High | 1.10 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 22.97% | Low | 3.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 77.03% | High | 1.32 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Leeds
Liverpool
Played:
6
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
4
4
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
7
1.2
Goals
3.5
21
21
3.5
Goals Conceded
1.2
7
8
1.3
Yellow Cards
0.7
4
1
0.2
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
20
3.3
Corners
8
48
42
7
Fouls
9.7
58
14
2.3
Offsides
2.2
13
57
9.5
Shots
21.2
127
23
3.8
Shots on Goal
9
54
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 6 | 8 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.4 | 10 | 0.9 | 6 | 1.1 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 8 | 2.6 | 18 | 1.9 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 14 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.6 | 23 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.6 | 32 | 3.1 | 22 | 3.9 | 54 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 76 | 11.7 | 82 | 11.3 | 158 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 11 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 108 | 8.9 | 62 | 12.1 | 170 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.4 | 31 | 3 | 21 | 3.7 | 52 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 11 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.5 | 21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 9 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.5 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 10 | 2.3 | 16 | 1.9 | 26 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 38 | 4.9 | 34 | 5.1 | 72 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 76 | 11.1 | 78 | 11 | 154 |
| Offsides | 2 | 14 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Shots | 16.3 | 114 | 13.6 | 95 | 14.9 | 209 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.9 | 34 | 3.4 | 24 | 4.1 | 58 |
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Alexander Isak's Response After Being Substituted Just Eight Minutes After Scoring His First Premier League Goal for Liverpool
Why Are This Weekend's Premier League Kick-Off Times on Sunday So Unusual?
Liverpool may loan Florian Wirtz in January, with a Christmas deadline set by a German Reds legend.
English Premier League 2025/26 Season Preview
Mohamed Salah's Monster 2024/25 Season: Breaking Records and Redefining Greatness
How Football Tactics Are Evolving: From Tiki-Taka to Vertical Pressing