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Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 38
Preview
Lecce
Lecce
17th place
Form
VS
18:45
24 May 2026
Genoa
Genoa
14th place
Form
AI Prediction Combo Double chance : Lecce or draw and -3.5 goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Lecce vs Genoa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 24 May, 2026 13:45

Winner (1x2)5.20
Genoa to Win
Probability 45%
Total Goals1.66
Under 2.5
Probability 73%
Both Teams to Score1.73
No (NG)
Probability 65%
Lecce Total1.20
Home Under 2.5
Probability 97%
Genoa Total1.22
Away Under 1.5
Probability 70%
Double Chance2.16
Draw/Genoa
Probability 78%
Asian Handicap1.36
Genoa +1.5
Probability 95%
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Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
18:45
Lecce W 22%
:
Genoa W 45%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Lecce
d d w l w
18 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (12 total)
xG
0.90 (16.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (186 total)
Shots on Target
2.6 (25% acc)
Corners
4.2 (76 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.8 (213 total)
Offsides
1.5 (27 total)
19 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (15 total)
xG
0.60 (12.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.8 (168 total)
Shots on Target
2.2 (25% acc)
Corners
4.3 (82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.1 (248 total)
Offsides
0.8 (15 total)
37 Played
9 Wins
8 Draws
20 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (27 total)
xG
0.80 (28.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (354 total)
Shots on Target
2.4 (25% acc)
Corners
4.3 (158 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.5 (461 total)
Offsides
1.1 (42 total)
Genoa
w l d d l
19 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (22 total)
xG
1.20 (22.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (218 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (33% acc)
Corners
3.5 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.4 (236 total)
Offsides
1.3 (25 total)
18 Played
4 Wins
7 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (19 total)
xG
1.10 (19.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.8 (195 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (34% acc)
Corners
3.6 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.1 (218 total)
Offsides
1.2 (22 total)
37 Played
10 Wins
11 Draws
16 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (41 total)
xG
1.10 (41.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (413 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (34% acc)
Corners
3.5 (130 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
12.3 (454 total)
Offsides
1.3 (47 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.67 vs 1.10
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
19.11%
🔥
0:1
18.84%
0:2
9.29%
0:3
3.05%
0:4
0.75%
0:5
0.15%
1
1:0
10.63%
1:1
12.65%
1:2
7.31%
1:3
2.76%
1:4
0.77%
1:5
0.17%
2
2:0
2.95%
2:1
4.12%
2:2
2.75%
2:3
1.18%
2:4
0.37%
2:5
0.09%
3
3:0
0.55%
3:1
0.88%
3:2
0.67%
3:3
0.32%
3:4
0.11%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
0.08%
4:1
0.14%
4:2
0.12%
4:3
0.06%
4:4
0.03%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.02%
5:2
0.02%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:0 (19.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

19.1%
0
29.5%
1
24.9%
2
15.0%
3
7.2%
4
2.9%
5
1.0%
6
0.3%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

LecceHDPGenoa
1.0%
Very Low@ 7.00
-2.5
5.5%
Very Low
3.1%
Very Low@ 5.90
-2
11.8%
Very Low
5.3%
Very Low@ 3.71
-1.5
18.2%
@ 11.00Very Low
13.2%
Very Low@ 2.54
-1
31.7%
@ 9.80Low
21.1%
Low@ 1.78
-0.5
45.3%
@ 4.65Medium
54.8%
Medium@ 1.20
+0.5
78.9%
@ 2.19High
68.3%
High@ 1.00
+1
86.8%
@ 1.61Very High
81.8%
Very High@ 1.03
+1.5
94.7%
@ 1.36Very High
88.2%
Very High
+2
96.9%
@ 1.13Very High
94.5%
Very High
+2.5
99.0%
@ 1.10Very High

Team Total Predictions

LecceOutcomeGenoa
14.5%
Very Low@ 2.17
Over 1.5
30.1%
@ 5.00Low
85.5%
Very High@ 1.73
Under 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.22High
3.1%
Very Low@ 4.80
Over 2.5
10.0%
@ 17.00Very Low
96.9%
Very High@ 1.20
Under 2.5
90.0%
@ 1.03Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lecce vs Genoa Sunday, May 24th, 2026 at 13:45 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

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Correct Score 0:1
High Value
Prob: 18.8%
EV: +107.0%
Stake: $0.25
11.00
Double Chance X2
High Value
Prob: 78%
EV: +68.4%
Stake: $2.16
2.16
Double Chance X2
High Value
Prob: 78%
EV: +68.4%
Stake: $2.16
2.16
Total Home Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 86.7%
EV: +49.9%
Stake: $3.42
1.73
Home Total Lecce Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 85.5%
EV: +47.8%
Stake: $3.42
1.73
Asian Handicap Genoa +1
High Value
Prob: 86.8%
EV: +39.8%
Stake: $4.10
1.61
Asian Handicap Genoa +1.5
High Value
Prob: 94.7%
EV: +28.8%
Stake: $6.94
1.36
Win to Nil Lecce NOT Win to Nil
High Value
Prob: 85.8%
EV: +25.3%
Stake: $5.43
1.46
Win To Nil Home No
High Value
Prob: 85.8%
EV: +25.3%
Stake: $5.43
1.46
Goals O/U Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 73.4%
EV: +21.8%
Stake: $3.79
1.66
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-22 04:00:28
spinner

Trends for Lecce vs Genoa Football 24 May, 2026 13:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Lecce struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent home matches

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Lecce vs Genoa

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Genoa is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Genoa is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Lecce

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Genoa

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.14

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Lecce - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Genoa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Lecce - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Genoa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Genoa shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Genoa winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Genoa excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Genoa scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Genoa has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Genoa handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.03
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.085
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.053 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lecce):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Genoa):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Lecce
Genoa

Lecce vs Genoa Head-to-head statistics for Sun 24 May, 2026 @ 13:45 Serie A

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
Parma
w w l l l
>
37
10
12
15
27
46
-19
42
14
Genoa
w l d d l
>
37
10
11
16
41
50
-9
41
15
Fiorentina
d d l d w
>
37
9
14
14
40
49
-9
41
16
Cagliari
l w d l w
>
37
10
10
17
38
52
-14
40
17
Lecce
d d w l w
>
37
9
8
20
27
50
-23
35
18
Cremonese
d l l w w
>
37
8
10
19
31
53
-22
34
Team comparison
Prediction
-2.5 goals
Under/Over: -3.5*
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Lecce
VS
Genoa
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (3)
0.8 (4)
xG
0.80
0.90
Shots
13.8 (69)
8.8 (44)
Shots on Target
2.6 (13)
2.6 (13)
Corners
6.2 (31)
3.2 (16)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 (4)
0.6 (3)
xGa
0.90
0.80
Clean Sheets
3 (60%)
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 (8)
1.6 (8)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
12.6 (63)
12.8 (64)
Offsides
0.8 (4)
0.6 (3)
23 Aug
- 16:30
Genoa
Lecce
0.49
xG
0.38
0
0
14 Mar
- 19:45
Genoa
Lecce
1.04
xG
1.36
2
1
5 Jan
- 14:00
Lecce
Genoa
0.56
xG
1.08
0
0
28 Jan
- 11:30
Genoa
Lecce
2
1
22 Sep
- 18:45
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
Last 6 Matches
Lecce
VS
Genoa
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.33 PPG 1.33
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
50% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.85 Avg xG 0.98
Lecce
D D W L W
Serie A 2025-2026
17 May 2026 - 18:45
Sassuolo
2 3
Lecce
Serie A 2025-2026
9 May 2026 - 18:45
Lecce
0 1
Juventus
Serie A 2025-2026
1 May 2026 - 18:45
Pisa
1 2
Lecce
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Apr 2026 - 18:45
Verona
0 0
Lecce
Serie A 2025-2026
20 Apr 2026 - 18:45
Lecce
1 1
Fiorentina
Serie A 2025-2026
12 Apr 2026 - 16:00
Bologna
2 0
Lecce
Genoa
W L D D L
Serie A 2025-2026
17 May 2026 - 10:00
Genoa
1 2
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
10 May 2026 - 13:00
Fiorentina
0 0
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
2 May 2026 - 18:45
Atalanta
0 0
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
26 Apr 2026 - 13:00
Genoa
0 2
Como
Serie A 2025-2026
19 Apr 2026 - 16:00
Pisa
1 2
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
12 Apr 2026 - 10:30
Genoa
2 1
Sassuolo

Lecce vs Genoa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lecce and away matches for Genoa

Number of goals
Lecce
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lecce
Genoa
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Lecce
Genoa
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
Lecce
Genoa
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Lecce
Genoa
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
60% 6
80% 8
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Total Corners
Lecce
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lecce
Genoa
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Lecce
Genoa
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Lecce
Genoa
xG
0.88
1.15
xGa
1.44
1.09
Number of goals
Lecce
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lecce
Genoa
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9
1X2
Lecce
Genoa
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
30% 3
70% 7
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Lecce
Genoa
12
70% 7
30% 3
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
Lecce
Genoa
0-1
80% 8
80% 8
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lecce
Genoa
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
Number of goals
Lecce
Under
Over
Genoa
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lecce
Genoa
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Lecce
Genoa
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Lecce
Genoa
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Lecce
Genoa
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lecce
Genoa
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
Missing Players
Lecce
- Injured - Jumpers knee
Genoa
0.64 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
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In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Lecce will take on Genoa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 38 and will take place on 2026-05-24 at 2026-05-24 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lecce, and the visiting side, Genoa. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Lecce or draw and -3.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-24 Time: 18:45 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!