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Form
Süper Lig 2025-2026 • Matchweek 20
Preview
Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa
15th place
Form
VS
17:00
30 Jan 2026
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
7th place
Form
AI Prediction Combo Double chance : Kasımpaşa or draw and -3.5 goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 30 January, 2026 11:00

Winner (1x2)2.48
Samsunspor to Win
Probability 47%
Total Goals1.80
Under 2.5
Probability 57%
Both Teams to Score2.00
No (NG)
Probability 50%
Kasimpasa Total1.43
Home Under 1.5
Probability 74%
Samsunspor Total1.57
Away Under 1.5
Probability 58%
Double Chance1.42
Draw/Samsunspor
Probability 73%
Asian Handicap1.25
Kasimpasa +1
Probability 65%
Best Tip
Value
Total - Home Kasimpasa Under 1.5 Goals
Odds 1.43
Win Prob. 74.3% EV: +6.3%
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Prediction League
Süper Lig 2025-2026
17:00
Kasimpasa W 27%
:
Samsunspor W 47%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Kasimpasa
d d l d l
9 Played
0 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (6 total)
xG
1.10 (9.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.4 (112 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (25% acc)
Corners
6.3 (57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.7 (123 total)
Offsides
1.8 (16 total)
10 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (9 total)
xG
0.50 (4.5 total)
Shots per Match
7.7 (77 total)
Shots on Target
2.1 (27% acc)
Corners
3.8 (38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
15.3 (153 total)
Offsides
1.6 (16 total)
19 Played
3 Wins
7 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (15 total)
xG
0.80 (14.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.9 (189 total)
Shots on Target
2.6 (26% acc)
Corners
5 (95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
14.5 (276 total)
Offsides
1.7 (32 total)
Samsunspor
l l l d d
14 Played
5 Wins
6 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (16 total)
xG
1.30 (18.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (187 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (32% acc)
Corners
5.9 (82 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.1 (197 total)
Offsides
2.1 (30 total)
13 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (18 total)
xG
1.10 (14.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.3 (147 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (33% acc)
Corners
4.9 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.1 (157 total)
Offsides
1.8 (24 total)
27 Played
9 Wins
11 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (34 total)
xG
1.20 (32.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.4 (334 total)
Shots on Target
4 (32% acc)
Corners
5.4 (146 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
13.1 (354 total)
Offsides
2 (54 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.98 vs 1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.12%
0:1
12.94%
🔥
0:2
9.18%
0:3
4.34%
0:4
1.54%
0:5
0.44%
1
1:0
8.84%
1:1
12.64%
1:2
9.04%
1:3
4.31%
1:4
1.54%
1:5
0.44%
2
2:0
4.28%
2:1
6.17%
2:2
4.45%
2:3
2.14%
2:4
0.77%
2:5
0.22%
3
3:0
1.38%
3:1
2.01%
3:2
1.46%
3:3
0.71%
3:4
0.26%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
0.34%
4:1
0.49%
4:2
0.36%
4:3
0.18%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.06%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.07%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (12.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.1%
0
21.8%
1
26.1%
2
20.9%
3
12.6%
4
6.1%
5
2.4%
6
0.7%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

KasimpasaHDPSamsunspor
2.5%
Very Low
-2.5
8.8%
@ 10.50Very Low
5.8%
Very Low@ 11.50
-2
16.0%
@ 9.40Very Low
9.1%
Very Low@ 6.60
-1.5
23.1%
@ 4.75Low
17.4%
Very Low@ 5.50
-1
35.3%
@ 4.08Low
25.7%
Low@ 3.00
-0.5
47.4%
@ 2.44Medium
52.6%
Medium@ 1.60
+0.5
74.3%
@ 1.44High
64.7%
High@ 1.25
+1
82.6%
@ 1.17Very High
76.9%
High@ 1.18
+1.5
90.9%
@ 1.11Very High
84.0%
Very High@ 1.03
+2
94.2%
@ 1.01Very High
91.2%
Very High@ 1.04
+2.5
97.5%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

KasimpasaOutcomeSamsunspor
62.5%
High@ 1.40
Over 0.5
76.1%
@ 1.32High
37.5%
Low@ 2.95
Under 0.5
23.9%
@ 3.50Low
25.7%
Low@ 2.94
Over 1.5
41.9%
@ 2.56Medium
74.3%
High@ 1.43
Under 1.5
58.2%
@ 1.57Medium
7.7%
Very Low@ 8.00
Over 2.5
17.4%
@ 6.00Very Low
92.3%
Very High@ 1.10
Under 2.5
82.6%
@ 1.14Very High
1.8%
Very Low@ 21.00
Over 3.5
5.7%
@ 17.00Very Low
98.2%
Very High@ 1.02
Under 3.5
94.3%
@ 1.03Very High
In this exciting Süper Lig 2025-2026 matchup, Kasimpasa will take on Samsunspor as part of the 2025-2026 season in Süper Lig. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-01-30 at 2026-01-30 in the famous Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Kasimpasa, and the visiting side, Samsunspor. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Kasımpaşa or draw and -3.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-30 Time: 17:00 Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor Friday, Jan 30th, 2026 at 11:00 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

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Home Total Kasimpasa Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 74.3%
EV: +6.3%
Stake: $5.81
1.43
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 73.5%
EV: +4.3%
Stake: $5.95
1.42
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 57.4%
EV: +3.3%
Stake: $3.13
1.80
Correct Score 0:1
Value
Prob: 12.9%
EV: +3.2%
Stake: $0.36
8.01
Win to Nil Kasimpasa NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 87.2%
EV: +2.9%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-28 02:47:20
spinner

Trends for Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor Football 30 Jan, 2026 11:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 86% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Samsunspor is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Kasimpasa

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Samsunspor

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.12
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Kasimpasa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Samsunspor - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Kasimpasa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Samsunspor - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Samsunspor often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Samsunspor scoring first
  • Overall Result: Samsunspor has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Samsunspor handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.021
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.019
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Kasimpasa):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Samsunspor):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Kasimpasa
Samsunspor

Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor Head-to-head statistics for Fri 30 Jan, 2026 @ 11:00 Süper Lig

Süper Lig 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
19
8
5
6
32
19
13
29
7
Samsunspor
l l l d d
>
19
6
9
4
23
21
2
27
8
19
6
7
6
26
32
-6
25

14
Antalyaspor
d l l d w
>
19
5
4
10
18
32
-14
19
15
Kasimpasa
d d l d l
>
19
3
7
9
15
26
-11
16
16
Eyüpspor
d l l d d
>
19
3
6
10
13
27
-14
15
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : Kasimpasa or draw and -3.5 goals
Under/Over: -3.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Kasimpasa
VS
Samsunspor
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (6)
1.6 (8)
xG
1.10
1.40
Shots
12 (60)
13 (65)
Shots on Target
3.8 (19)
4.4 (22)
Corners
2.8 (14)
4.6 (23)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 (8)
1.2 (6)
xGa
1.40
1.10
Clean Sheets
3 (60%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 (12)
2.2 (11)
Fouls
13.2 (66)
13 (65)
Offsides
1.8 (9)
3.4 (17)
17 Sep
- 17:00
Samsunspor
Kasimpasa
1.06
xG
0.64
0
0
Prob 68%
Goals Total Over 2.5
Odd 2.05
29 Mar
- 13:00
Samsunspor
Kasimpasa
0.69
xG
1.38
0
2
26 Oct
- 13:00
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
1.40
xG
2.38
1
4
27 Apr
- 13:00
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
1
0
9 Dec
- 13:00
Samsunspor
Kasimpasa
4
2
Last 6 Matches
Kasimpasa
VS
Samsunspor
0/6 (0%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
0.50 PPG 0.50
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
33% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.64 Avg xG 0.62
Kasimpasa
D D L D L
Süper Lig 2025-2026
23 Jan 2026 - 17:00
Trabzonspor
2 1
Kasimpasa
Süper Lig 2025-2026
18 Jan 2026 - 11:30
Kasimpasa
0 0
Antalyaspor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Galatasaray
3 0
Kasimpasa
Süper Lig 2025-2026
12 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Kasimpasa
0 0
Genclerbirligi
Süper Lig 2025-2026
7 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Kocaelispor
0 0
Kasimpasa
Süper Lig 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Kasimpasa
1 3
Istanbul Basaksehir
Samsunspor
L L L D D
Süper Lig 2025-2026
24 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Samsunspor
0 0
Kocaelispor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
18 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Genclerbirligi
1 1
Samsunspor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Goztepe
2 0
Samsunspor
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
18 Dec 2025 - 20:00
FSV Mainz 05
2 0
Samsunspor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Samsunspor
0 2
Istanbul Basaksehir
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 17:45
Samsunspor
1 2
AEK Athens FC

Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Kasimpasa and away matches for Samsunspor

Number of goals
Kasimpasa
Under
Over
Samsunspor
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
1
10% 1
0% 0
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
50% 5
50% 5
Double Chance
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
50% 5
50% 5
X2
90% 9
100% 10
Total Goals
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
0-1
30% 3
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
70% 7
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Total Corners
Kasimpasa
Under
Over
Samsunspor
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
40% 4
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
xG
0.65
0.83
xGa
1.26
0.99
Number of goals
Kasimpasa
Under
Over
Samsunspor
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
1
0% 0
30% 3
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
100% 10
70% 7
Total Goals
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
Number of goals
Kasimpasa
Under
Over
Samsunspor
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
30% 3
60% 6
Double Chance
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
70% 7
40% 4
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
0-1
40% 4
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9
0.80 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
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