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Heerenveen
Heerenveen vs Ajax: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 17 May, 2026 8:30
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
No prediction data available for this match.
3.89
xG
1.95
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Heerenveen
VS
Ajax
3/6 (50%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.50
PPG
1.67
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
2.17
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
33%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.54
Avg xG
1.27
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Heerenveen will take on Ajax as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-17 at 2026-05-17 in the famous Abe Lenstra Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Heerenveen, and the visiting side, Ajax. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-17
Time: 12:30
Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Heerenveen vs Ajax Football 17 May, 2026 8:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Late Goals Expected
Both teams score in 2nd half consistently (Heerenveen 86%, Ajax 86%) — expect late drama
-
Goal Fest Potential
Both teams in high-scoring form — Over 2.5 goals likely with offensive firepower on display
+6 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Heerenveen vs Ajax, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Heerenveen(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Heerenveen have not won in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
Ajax(5 trends)
- Efficient ScoringH2H5/5100%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 5 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Good Goal RatioH2H4/580%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Ajax score 2.13 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Ajax are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- Efficient ScoringRecent16/1794%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 16 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Heerenveen(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/888%Heerenveen score (1.88/match) and concede (1.75/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 88% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Ajax(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/8100%Ajax score (2.13/match) and concede (1.88/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H3/560%Both teams scored in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Ajax(2 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H4/580%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Ajax score 2.13 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/560%Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
Combined 2.1 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Heerenveen(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H4/580%Heerenveen have not won in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
Ajax(1 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Ajax are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Ajax(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Ajax score 2.13 goals/match in away matches (+31% above league average)
- Scored 1+Recent5/5100%Ajax scored 1+ goals in their last 5 5 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent13/1776%Ajax score in second half in 13 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Heerenveen(1 trends) — avg 1.3 (-21% below league)
- Many CardsH2H4/580%Heerenveen receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
Ajax(2 trends) — avg 1.8 (+10% above league)
- Few CardsH2H5/5100%Ajax receive 0-1 card in 5 of their last 5 Eredivisie matches
- High Card MatchesLeague17/1781.5%Ajax average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8) — rank #5 in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 2.6 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Heerenveen(1 trends) — avg 6.2 (+22% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Heerenveen average 6.2 corners/match at home (+22% above league avg 5.1)
Moderate corner environment -
+12 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Heerenveen vs Ajax
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Ajax is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (15 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Heerenveen is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (15 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Heerenveen is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Heerenveen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Ajax
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.14
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Heerenveen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
✈️ Ajax - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Heerenveen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Ajax - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
10
Killer Goals
15
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Ajax often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Ajax scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Ajax is stronger in the first half (15 vs 11)
- First Half Result: Consider Ajax to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Heerenveen excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Heerenveen scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Heerenveen has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Heerenveen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.373
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.008
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Heerenveen):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Ajax):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Heerenveen vs Ajax Head-to-head statistics for Sun 17 May, 2026 @ 8:30 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Ajax: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Heerenveen and away matches for Ajax
Number of goals
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Heerenveen
Ajax
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
1X2
Heerenveen
Ajax
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Heerenveen
Ajax
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Heerenveen
Ajax
0-1
0%
0
0%
0
2-3
70%
7
70%
7
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Heerenveen
Ajax
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Heerenveen
Ajax
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Heerenveen
Ajax
xG
1.67
1.06
xGa
1.15
1.48
Number of goals
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Heerenveen
Ajax
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Heerenveen
Ajax
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Heerenveen
Ajax
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Heerenveen
Ajax
0-1
60%
6
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Heerenveen
Ajax
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
Number of goals
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Heerenveen
Ajax
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
Heerenveen
Ajax
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Heerenveen
Ajax
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Heerenveen
Ajax
0-1
30%
3
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Heerenveen
Ajax
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Heerenveen
Ajax
Played:
5
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
5
1
Goals
2
10
10
2
Goals Conceded
1
5
11
2.2
Yellow Cards
0.4
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.4
2
25
5
Corners
4.8
24
54
10.8
Fouls
8
40
8
1.6
Offsides
2.2
11
62
12.4
Shots
13.4
67
19
3.8
Shots on Goal
5.8
29
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.9 | 15 | 1.6 | 14 | 1.7 | 29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 14 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 11 | 1.7 | 15 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 6.3 | 50 | 6.2 | 56 | 6.2 | 106 |
| Fouls | 9.1 | 73 | 13.6 | 122 | 11.5 | 195 |
| Offsides | 1.5 | 12 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 24 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 129 | 14.9 | 134 | 15.5 | 263 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.3 | 42 | 5.7 | 51 | 5.5 | 93 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 2 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 15 | 2.1 | 17 | 1.9 | 32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 7 | 1.9 | 15 | 1.3 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 13 | 2.5 | 20 | 1.9 | 33 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0 | 0.2 | 4 | |
| Corners | 5.8 | 52 | 4.9 | 39 | 5.4 | 91 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 95 | 10.8 | 86 | 10.6 | 181 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.5 | 26 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 132 | 14.1 | 113 | 14.4 | 245 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.3 | 57 | 5.8 | 46 | 6.1 | 103 |
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