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Ajax
Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 February, 2026 14:00
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15
Played
7
Wins
2
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(20 total)
xG
1.70
(25.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(206 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(42% acc)
Corners
5.5
(82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.1
(166 total)
Offsides
1.5
(23 total)
15
Played
5
Wins
7
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(30 total)
xG
1.20
(18.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(198 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(39% acc)
Corners
4.3
(64 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.1
(151 total)
Offsides
1
(15 total)
30
Played
12
Wins
9
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(50 total)
xG
1.50
(43.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(404 total)
Shots on Target
5.4
(40% acc)
Corners
4.9
(146 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.6
(317 total)
Offsides
1.3
(38 total)
11
Played
5
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(19 total)
xG
1.40
(15.5 total)
Shots per Match
15.2
(167 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(29% acc)
Corners
5.2
(57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.5
(149 total)
Offsides
1.8
(20 total)
11
Played
2
Wins
2
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(14 total)
xG
0.80
(8.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(113 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(44% acc)
Corners
3.9
(43 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.9
(142 total)
Offsides
1.5
(17 total)
22
Played
7
Wins
5
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(33 total)
xG
1.10
(23.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.7
(280 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(35% acc)
Corners
4.5
(100 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
13.2
(291 total)
Offsides
1.7
(37 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 3.62 vs 1.30
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
0.95%
0:1
1.15%
0:2
0.7%
0:3
0.28%
0:4
0.09%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
3.35%
1:1
4.15%
1:2
2.57%
1:3
1.06%
1:4
0.33%
1:5
0.08%
2
2:0
5.91%
2:1
7.47%
2:2
4.71%
2:3
1.98%
⭐
2:4
0.62%
⭐
2:5
0.16%
⭐
3
3:0
6.97%
3:1
8.97%
🔥
⭐
3:2
5.77%
⭐
3:3
2.47%
⭐
3:4
0.79%
⭐
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
6.16%
⭐
4:1
8.07%
⭐
4:2
5.29%
⭐
4:3
2.3%
⭐
4:4
0.75%
⭐
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
4.35%
⭐
5:1
5.81%
⭐
5:2
3.87%
⭐
5:3
1.72%
⭐
5:4
0.57%
⭐
5:5
0.15%
Hotspot:
3:1 (9.0%)
Total Boundaries:
2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Ajax will take on Fortuna Sittard as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-14 at 2026-02-14 in the famous Johan Cruijff Arena.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Ajax, and the visiting side, Fortuna Sittard. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Ajax or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-14
Time: 19:00
Location: Johan Cruijff Arena
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Saturday, Feb 14th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Football 14 Feb, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Ajax have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Ajax @ 1.45 ✅ 
Ajax
- UnbeatenH2H4/4100%Ajax are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- WonH2H3/475%Ajax have won their last 3 4 matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- Efficient ScoringH2H3/475%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- High ScoringH2H3/475%Ajax score 2+ goals per match in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- League Best DefenseLeague11/1170%Ajax concede only 0.82 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Ajax create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Eredivisie (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Eredivisie (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent24/3080%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 24 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
Fortuna Sittard
- Not WinH2H3/475%Fortuna Sittard have not won their last 3 4 matches vs Ajax
- LostH2H3/475%Fortuna Sittard have lost their last 3 4 matches vs Ajax
- Not WinRecent12/1486%Fortuna Sittard have not won in 12 of their last 14 Eredivisie (Away) matches
Ajax dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.12 ⚠️ 
Ajax(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague6/1155%Ajax score well (1.73/match) but have strong defense at home (0.82 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 55% of matches
Fortuna Sittard(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/1173%Fortuna Sittard score (1.27/match) and concede (1.91/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 73% of matches (league avg: 63%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H3/475%At least one team failed to score in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie H2H matches
Ajax rarely concede (75% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.57 ⚠️ 
Ajax(2 trends)
- High ScoringH2H3/475%Ajax score 2+ goals per match in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- Good Goal RatioRecent15/15100%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Eredivisie (Home) matches
Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Ajax Win or Draw @ 1.12 ✅
Ajax
- UnbeatenH2H4/4100%Ajax are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- Undefeated at HTH2H4/4100%Ajax are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- League Best DefenseLeague11/1170%Ajax concede only 0.82 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Fortuna Sittard
- Not WinH2H3/475%Fortuna Sittard have not won their last 3 4 matches vs Ajax
- Not WinRecent12/1486%Fortuna Sittard have not won in 12 of their last 14 Eredivisie (Away) matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Ajax to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Ajax Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.44 ✅
Ajax
- Scored 1+H2H3/475%Ajax scored 1+ goals in their last 3 4 matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- Scored 2+H2H3/475%Ajax scored 2+ goals in their last 3 4 matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H3/475%Ajax score in second half in their last 3 4 matches vs Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
- Haven't ScoredH2H3/475%Fortuna Sittard haven't scored in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs Ajax
Ajax maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Ajax(1 trends)
- Many CardsH2H3/475%Ajax receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H4/4100%Fortuna Sittard receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 Eredivisie matches vs Ajax
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Fortuna Sittard average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+32% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 5.5 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.82 ⚠️
Ajax(1 trends) — avg 5.7 (+12% above league)
- Many CornersLeague11/1177%Ajax average 5.7 corners/match at home (+12% above league avg 5.1)
Fortuna Sittard(1 trends) — avg 4.3 (-16% below league)
- Few CornersLeague11/1181%Fortuna Sittard average 4.3 corners/match in away matches (-16% below league avg 5.1)
Combined average: 10.0 corners/match (Ajax 5.7 + Fortuna Sittard 4.3) • Ajax dominance pushes total over threshold
+25 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends[wp_predictions_test_enhanced home_club="14536" away_club="14560" competition_id="" season_id=""]
Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Feb, 2026 @ 14:00 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
Ajax Over 1.5 Goals
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Ajax
VS
Fortuna Sittard
Last 4 Head-to-Head Matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5 (10)
0.3 (1)
xG
2.10
1.00
Shots
14.5 (58)
12 (48)
Shots on Target
7 (28)
3.5 (14)
Corners
7.5 (30)
3 (12)
Defense
Conceded
0.3 (1)
2.5 (10)
xGa
1.00
2.10
Clean Sheets
3 (75%)
1 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (8)
2.8 (11)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0.5 (2)
Fouls
11.8 (47)
15 (60)
Offsides
1.8 (7)
1.3 (5)
Last 6 Matches
Ajax
VS
Fortuna Sittard
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.67
PPG
1.33
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
83%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.74
Avg xG
0.77
Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Ajax and away matches for Fortuna Sittard
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
80%
8
90%
9
No
20%
2
10%
1
1X2
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
0-1
0%
0
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
50%
5
40%
4
Total Corners
Ajax
Under
Over
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
20%
2
0%
0
No
80%
8
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
xG
1.71
1.02
xGa
1.13
1.73
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
20%
2
60%
6
No
80%
8
40%
4
1X2
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
1
60%
6
30%
3
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
0%
0
30%
3
Double Chance
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
100%
10
70%
7
X2
40%
4
70%
7
Total Goals
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
80%
8
20%
2
No
20%
2
80%
8
Number of goals
Ajax
Under
Over
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
0-1
30%
3
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
3.02
xG
1.11
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found