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Form
Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 33
Preview
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
12th place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
7th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 10 May, 2026 8:30

Winner (1x2)2.89
Hamburger SV to Win
Probability 37%
Total Goals2.23
Under 2.5
Probability 59%
Both Teams to Score2.38
No (NG)
Probability 51%
Hamburger SV Total1.27
Home Over 0.5
Probability 70%
SC Freiburg Total1.22
Away Under 2.5
Probability 90%
Double Chance1.62
Hamburger SV/Draw
Probability 67%
Asian Handicap1.22
SC Freiburg +1
Probability 74%
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Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
8:30
Hamburger SV W 37%
:
SC Freiburg W 33%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Hamburger SV
d l l l w
16 Played
5 Wins
6 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (22 total)
xG
1.20 (19.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.4 (198 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (37% acc)
Corners
3.8 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.4 (182 total)
Offsides
1.3 (20 total)
16 Played
3 Wins
4 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (14 total)
xG
0.90 (13.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.6 (169 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (41% acc)
Corners
3.6 (57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.90 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
11.5 (184 total)
Offsides
2.2 (35 total)
32 Played
8 Wins
10 Draws
14 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (36 total)
xG
1.00 (32.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (367 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (39% acc)
Corners
3.7 (118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (8 total)
Fouls
11.4 (366 total)
Offsides
1.7 (55 total)
SC Freiburg
w l l d w
23 Played
15 Wins
5 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (46 total)
xG
1.70 (39.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.1 (348 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.7 (108 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.3 (214 total)
Offsides
1.7 (40 total)
23 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (24 total)
xG
1.10 (25.4 total)
Shots per Match
10 (231 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (35% acc)
Corners
3.7 (85 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.4 (240 total)
Offsides
1.9 (43 total)
46 Played
21 Wins
10 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (70 total)
xG
1.40 (64.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (579 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.2 (193 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
9.9 (454 total)
Offsides
1.8 (83 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.22 vs 1.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.19%
0:1
10.89%
0:2
5.29%
0:3
1.72%
0:4
0.42%
0:5
0.08%
1
1:0
12.01%
1:1
13.33%
🔥
1:2
7.28%
1:3
2.62%
1:4
0.7%
1:5
0.15%
2
2:0
6.44%
2:1
8.03%
2:2
4.89%
2:3
1.94%
2:4
0.57%
2:5
0.13%
3
3:0
2.3%
3:1
3.19%
3:2
2.14%
3:3
0.93%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
0.62%
4:1
0.94%
4:2
0.69%
4:3
0.33%
4:4
0.11%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.13%
5:1
0.22%
5:2
0.18%
5:3
0.09%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (13.3%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

11.2%
0
22.9%
1
25.1%
2
19.3%
3
11.7%
4
5.9%
5
2.6%
6
0.9%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Hamburger SVHDPSC Freiburg
4.7%
Very Low@ 11.00
-2.5
3.5%
@ 9.90Very Low
10.0%
Very Low@ 10.00
-2
7.8%
@ 8.80Very Low
15.3%
Very Low@ 5.25
-1.5
12.2%
@ 5.00Very Low
26.5%
Low@ 4.50
-1
22.3%
@ 3.98Low
37.6%
Low@ 2.70
-0.5
32.5%
@ 2.50Low
67.5%
High@ 1.60
+0.5
62.4%
@ 1.51High
77.7%
High@ 1.27
+1
73.6%
@ 1.23High
87.8%
Very High@ 1.18
+1.5
84.7%
@ 1.16Very High
92.2%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
90.0%
@ 1.02Very High
96.5%
Very High@ 1.04
+2.5
95.3%
@ 1.03Very High

Team Total Predictions

Hamburger SVOutcomeSC Freiburg
34.5%
Low@ 2.30
Over 1.5
30.8%
@ 2.18Low
65.5%
High@ 1.65
Under 1.5
69.2%
@ 1.72High
12.5%
Very Low@ 5.20
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 4.80Very Low
87.5%
Very High@ 1.17
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.20Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Sunday, May 10th, 2026 at 8:30 Football

AI Value Bets
8 Found

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Goals O/U Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 59%
EV: +31.5%
Stake: $2.03
2.23
Total Away Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 69.5%
EV: +21.5%
Stake: $3.33
1.75
Away Total SC Freiburg Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 69.2%
EV: +21.0%
Stake: $3.33
1.75
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 69.2%
EV: +12.0%
Stake: $4.03
1.62
Total Away Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 89.6%
EV: +9.4%
Stake: $10.00
1.22
Total Home Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 66.4%
EV: +7.6%
Stake: $4.03
1.62
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 66.9%
EV: +5.8%
Stake: $4.31
1.58
Asian Handicap Hamburger SV +1.5
Value
Prob: 87.8%
EV: +3.6%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-09 08:28:32
spinner

Trends for Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Football 10 May, 2026 8:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    SC Freiburg create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: SC Freiburg is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1).
⚡ Final Stage: SC Freiburg is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Hamburger SV

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.06

✈️ SC Freiburg

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.03
Pressure
0.18

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Hamburger SV - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ SC Freiburg - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Hamburger SV - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
4

✈️ SC Freiburg - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: SC Freiburg often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 1)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of SC Freiburg scoring first
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: SC Freiburg excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 7 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of SC Freiburg scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: SC Freiburg has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider SC Freiburg handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.261
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.113
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Hamburger SV):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (SC Freiburg):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg Head-to-head statistics for Sun 10 May, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
Bayer Leverkusen
w l w w l
>
33
17
7
9
67
46
21
58
7
SC Freiburg
l w w l d
>
32
12
8
12
45
53
-8
44
8
33
11
10
12
59
63
-4
43

11
33
8
11
14
38
53
-15
35
12
Hamburger SV
d l l l w
>
32
8
10
14
36
51
-15
34
13
Union Berlin
d l l l d
>
32
8
9
15
37
57
-20
33
Team comparison
Prediction
Hamburger SV or Draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Hamburger SV
VS
SC Freiburg
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
2 (2)
xG
0.60
2.80
Shots
10 (10)
20 (20)
Shots on Target
6 (6)
7 (7)
Corners
3 (3)
0 (0)
Defense
Conceded
2 (2)
1 (1)
xGa
2.80
0.60
Discipline
Yellow Cards
4 (4)
3 (3)
Red Cards
1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
11 (11)
13 (13)
Offsides
0 (0)
1 (1)
10 Jan
- 14:30
SC Freiburg
Hamburger SV
2.83
xG
0.64
2
1
Prob 87%
Away Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.33
Last 6 Matches
Hamburger SV
VS
SC Freiburg
1/6 (17%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.67 PPG 1.67
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
83% BTTS % 83%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.02 Avg xG 1.16
Hamburger SV
D L L L W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 May 2026 - 13:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 2
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Apr 2026 - 16:30
Hamburger SV
1 2
1899 Hoffenheim
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Apr 2026 - 13:30
Werder Bremen
3 1
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Apr 2026 - 15:30
VfB Stuttgart
4 0
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Apr 2026 - 13:30
Hamburger SV
1 1
FC Augsburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 17:30
Borussia Dortmund
3 2
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
W L L D W
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
7 May 2026 - 19:00
SC Freiburg
3 1
SC Braga
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 May 2026 - 17:30
SC Freiburg
1 1
VfL Wolfsburg
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
30 Apr 2026 - 19:00
SC Braga
2 1
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Apr 2026 - 15:30
Borussia Dortmund
4 0
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Apr 2026 - 13:30
SC Freiburg
2 1
1. FC Heidenheim
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
16 Apr 2026 - 16:45
Celta Vigo
1 3
SC Freiburg

Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Hamburger SV and away matches for SC Freiburg

Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Yes
80% 8
70% 7
No
20% 2
30% 3
1X2
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
1
20% 2
60% 6
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
60% 6
30% 3
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
80% 8
40% 4
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
0-1
10% 1
10% 1
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
30% 3
40% 4
Total Corners
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Yes
0% 0
20% 2
No
100% 10
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
xG
0.9
1.28
xGa
2.3
1.5
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9
1X2
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
1
10% 1
40% 4
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
90% 9
60% 6
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
0-1
30% 3
50% 5
2-3
70% 7
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Yes
30% 3
70% 7
No
70% 7
30% 3
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Yes
10% 1
50% 5
No
90% 9
50% 5
1X2
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
0-1
60% 6
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
Missing Players
Hamburger SV
28
m
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
18
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Ankle Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
28
m
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
18
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Ankle Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - Calf Injury
SC Freiburg
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
14
m
- Injured - Broken collarbone
19
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
14
m
- Injured - Broken collarbone
19
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.17 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Hamburger SV will take on SC Freiburg as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-05-10 at 2026-05-10 in the famous Volksparkstadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Hamburger SV, and the visiting side, SC Freiburg. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-10 Time: 13:30 Location: Volksparkstadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!