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Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 17
Preview
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
14th place
Form
VS
19:30
13 Jan 2026
Match Postponed
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
6th place
Form
AI Prediction Draw or Bayer Leverkusen
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 13 January, 2026 13:30

Winner (1x2)2.10
Bayer Leverkusen to Win
Probability 53%
Total Goals1.71
Over 2.5
Probability 64%
Both Teams to Score1.58
Yes
Probability 66%
Hamburger SV Total1.48
Home Under 1.5
Probability 60%
Bayer Leverkusen Total1.88
Away Over 1.5
Probability 60%
Double Chance1.34
Draw/Bayer Leverkusen
Probability 76%
Asian Handicap1.35
Bayer Leverkusen +0.5
Probability 76%
Best Tip
Value
Double Chance Draw or Bayer Leverkusen
Odds 1.34
Win Prob. 75.9% EV: +1.8%
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Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
19:30
Hamburger SV W 24%
:
Bayer Leverkusen W 53%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Hamburger SV
w w l d l
8 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (13 total)
xG
1.30 (10.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (102 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (38% acc)
Corners
3.9 (31 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (2 total)
Fouls
11.6 (93 total)
Offsides
1.5 (12 total)
8 Played
0 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5 (4 total)
xG
0.80 (6.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (93 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (37% acc)
Corners
3.5 (28 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (4 total)
Fouls
12.5 (100 total)
Offsides
2.8 (22 total)
16 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (17 total)
xG
1.00 (16.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.2 (195 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (37% acc)
Corners
3.7 (59 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.4 (6 total)
Fouls
12.1 (193 total)
Offsides
2.1 (34 total)
Bayer Leverkusen
l d w w l
12 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (24 total)
xG
1.80 (21.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.9 (179 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (35% acc)
Corners
5.8 (70 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
8.8 (105 total)
Offsides
1.5 (18 total)
10 Played
6 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (20 total)
xG
1.40 (14.2 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (109 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (36% acc)
Corners
3.9 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.5 (95 total)
Offsides
0.6 (6 total)
22 Played
11 Wins
5 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (44 total)
xG
1.60 (35.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.1 (288 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (35% acc)
Corners
5 (109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
9.1 (200 total)
Offsides
1.1 (24 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.37 vs 2.03
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.45%
0:1
7.84%
0:2
6.91%
0:3
4.06%
0:4
1.79%
0:5
0.63%
1
1:0
4.91%
1:1
9.84%
🔥
1:2
9.72%
1:3
6.33%
1:4
3.06%
1:5
1.17%
2
2:0
2.71%
2:1
6.08%
2:2
6.67%
2:3
4.79%
2:4
2.53%
2:5
1.06%
3
3:0
1%
3:1
2.48%
3:2
3%
3:3
2.35%
3:4
1.36%
3:5
0.61%
4
4:0
0.27%
4:1
0.75%
4:2
0.99%
4:3
0.85%
4:4
0.53%
4:5
0.26%
5
5:0
0.06%
5:1
0.18%
5:2
0.26%
5:3
0.24%
5:4
0.16%
5:5
0.09%
Hotspot: 1:1 (9.8%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.4%
0
12.8%
1
19.5%
2
20.9%
3
17.5%
4
12.3%
5
7.2%
6
3.5%
7
1.4%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Hamburger SVHDPBayer Leverkusen
2.7%
Very Low@ 17.00
-2.5
13.1%
@ 7.50Very Low
5.8%
Very Low@ 15.50
-2
21.2%
@ 6.60Low
9.0%
Very Low@ 7.50
-1.5
29.3%
@ 3.87Low
16.4%
Very Low@ 6.60
-1
41.0%
@ 3.05Medium
23.7%
Low@ 3.53
-0.5
52.8%
@ 2.10Medium
47.2%
Medium@ 1.84
+0.5
76.3%
@ 1.34High
58.9%
Medium@ 1.43
+1
83.6%
@ 1.11Very High
70.7%
High@ 1.29
+1.5
91.0%
@ 1.10Very High
78.8%
High@ 1.11
+2
94.1%
@ 1.01Very High
86.9%
Very High@ 1.07
+2.5
97.3%
@ 1.01Very High

Team Total Predictions

Hamburger SVOutcomeBayer Leverkusen
74.6%
High@ 1.36
Over 0.5
86.9%
@ 1.18Very High
25.4%
Low@ 3.20
Under 0.5
13.1%
@ 5.20Very Low
39.8%
Low@ 2.74
Over 1.5
60.2%
@ 1.90High
60.2%
High@ 1.48
Under 1.5
39.8%
@ 1.95Low
15.9%
Very Low@ 7.00
Over 2.5
33.1%
@ 3.80Low
84.1%
Very High@ 1.12
Under 2.5
66.9%
@ 1.26High
5.0%
Very Low@ 21.00
Over 3.5
14.8%
@ 9.00Very Low
95.0%
Very High@ 1.03
Under 3.5
85.2%
@ 1.07Very High
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Hamburger SV will take on Bayer Leverkusen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2026-01-13 at 2026-01-13 in the famous Volksparkstadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Hamburger SV, and the visiting side, Bayer Leverkusen. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-13 Time: 19:30 Location: Volksparkstadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Tuesday, Jan 13th, 2026 at 13:30 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

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Premium Tip Over 2.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Match Winner Bayer Leverkusen
Value
Prob: 52.8%
EV: +10.9%
Stake: $2.27
2.10
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 66.4%
EV: +8.3%
Stake: $3.97
1.63
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 66.4%
EV: +4.9%
Stake: $4.31
1.58
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 75.9%
EV: +1.8%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 76.9%
EV: +1.4%
Stake: $7.81
1.32
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 75.9%
EV: +1.0%
Stake: $7.58
1.33
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-13 18:05:14
spinner

Trends for Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Football 13 Jan, 2026 13:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Hamburger SV rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Hamburger SV

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
18
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Bayer Leverkusen

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Hamburger SV - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.28
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.44
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.67
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.39

✈️ Bayer Leverkusen - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Hamburger SV - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Bayer Leverkusen - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 8)
  • First Half Result: Consider Bayer Leverkusen to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Bayer Leverkusen has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Bayer Leverkusen handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.248
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.035
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.004 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.047

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Hamburger SV):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bayer Leverkusen):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-head statistics for Tue 13 Jan, 2026 @ 13:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
1899 Hoffenheim
w l w d w
>
16
9
3
4
34
21
13
30
6
Bayer Leverkusen
l l w w l
>
16
9
2
5
34
24
10
29
7
17
7
5
5
35
36
-1
26

13
Werder Bremen
d l l d l
>
16
4
5
7
18
31
-13
17
14
Hamburger SV
w w l d l
>
16
4
4
8
17
27
-10
16
15
FC Augsburg
l w l d l
>
16
4
2
10
17
32
-15
14
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Bayer Leverkusen
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Hamburger SV
VS
Bayer Leverkusen
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.17 PPG 1.50
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
83% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.82 Avg xG 1.76
Hamburger SV
W W L D L
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Jan 2026 - 14:30
SC Freiburg
2 1
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 14:30
Hamburger SV
1 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 14:30
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 14:30
Hamburger SV
3 2
Werder Bremen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Hamburger SV
2 1
VfB Stuttgart
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 14:30
FC Augsburg
1 0
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
L D W W L
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Bayer Leverkusen
1 4
VfB Stuttgart
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 17:30
RB Leipzig
1 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Bayer Leverkusen
2 0
1.FC Köln
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
10 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Bayer Leverkusen
2 2
Newcastle
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 14:30
FC Augsburg
2 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Bayer Leverkusen
1 2
Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Hamburger SV and away matches for Bayer Leverkusen

Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
80% 8
50% 5
No
20% 2
50% 5
1X2
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
1
20% 2
60% 6
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
60% 6
30% 3
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
80% 8
40% 4
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
20% 2
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
30% 3
50% 5
Total Corners
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
50% 5
50% 5
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
0% 0
40% 4
No
100% 10
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
xG
0.95
1.6
xGa
1.45
1.39
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9
1X2
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
90% 9
50% 5
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
80% 8
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
70% 7
20% 2
No
30% 3
80% 8
1X2
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
1
10% 1
60% 6
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
90% 9
40% 4
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
30% 3
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
20% 2
70% 7
No
80% 8
30% 3
1.11 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
Dortmund Recovers from Cup Elimination with Bundesliga Victory, Watch the Highlights 🎥 |
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Three Key Takeaways from Bundesliga Matchday 13: Bayern Munich's Dominance over Stuttgart, Late Drama, and Victories for Coachless Teams
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Fantasy Bundesliga Advice: Top 10 Players to Watch for Matchday 13
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How Football Tactics Are Evolving: From Tiki-Taka to Vertical Pressing
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5 Most Underrated Footballers This Season 2024-2025: Based on advanced stats
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Top 10 Most Goal-Scoring Teams in Europe (2024/2025 Season)
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Liverpool Reportedly Reaches Agreement with Jeremie Frimpong for Transfer
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Liverpool rule out move for Trent Alexander-Arnold replacement, at Arne Slot's request: report
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