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23 Dec 2025-20:45
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
7th place
- : -
23 Dec 2025 15:45
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
2nd place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Guimaraes vs Sporting CP: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 23 December, 2025 15:45

1×2 Prediction
Sporting CP
13%26%61%
GuimaraesDrawSporting CP
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
59%41%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
58%42%
NoYes
Team Total - Guimaraes
Under 2.5
97%3%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Sporting CP
Under 2.5
77%23%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Double Chance
Draw/Sporting CP
87%13%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Sporting CP +2.5
100%0%
Away +2.5NOT Away +2.5
Best Tip Value
Total - Away Sporting CP Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.45
72.8%
EV: +5.5%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.67 vs 1.67
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.17%
0:1
17.53%
🔥
0:2
12.62%
0:3
6.06%
0:4
2.18%
0:5
0.63%
1
1:0
5.39%
1:1
10.57%
1:2
9.63%
1:3
5.6%
1:4
2.36%
1:5
0.78%
2
2:0
1.19%
2:1
2.96%
2:2
3.35%
2:3
2.35%
2:4
1.17%
2:5
0.45%
3
3:0
0.18%
3:1
0.53%
3:2
0.72%
3:3
0.6%
3:4
0.35%
3:5
0.16%
4
4:0
0.02%
4:1
0.07%
4:2
0.11%
4:3
0.11%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0.01%
5:2
0.01%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:1 (17.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

12.2%
0
22.9%
1
24.4%
2
18.8%
3
11.7%
4
6.1%
5
2.7%
6
0.9%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Guimaraes
vs
Sporting CP
Dec 23, 20:45
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
FC Porto
w w w w w
>
13
12
1
0
27
3
24
37
2
Sporting CP
w w w d w
>
14
11
2
1
38
7
31
35
3
Benfica
w d w d w
>
14
9
5
0
30
8
22
32

6
SC Braga
w l w w w
>
13
6
4
3
25
12
13
22
7
Guimaraes
l w w d w
>
14
6
3
5
15
17
-2
21
8
Moreirense
w l d d l
>
14
6
2
6
21
24
-3
20
0.69 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Guimaraes
VS
Sporting CP
3/6 (50%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.67 PPG 2.67
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 2.83
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
0% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
0.97 Avg xG 1.58
Guimaraes
L W W D W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Rio Ave
0 1
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Guimaraes
0 0
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Nov 2025 - 20:15
Guimaraes
4 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Tondela
0 1
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 20:30
Guimaraes
0 3
Benfica
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Oct 2025 - 15:30
Famalicao
2 0
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
W W D L W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Sporting CP
6 0
AVS
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
9 Dec 2025 - 17:45
Bayern München
3 1
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Benfica
1 1
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Sporting CP
4 0
Estrela
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
26 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Sporting CP
3 0
Club Brugge KV
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 20:30
Santa Clara
1 2
Sporting CP
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Guimaraes will take on Sporting CP as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-23 at 2025-12-23 in the famous Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Guimaraes, and the visiting side, Sporting CP. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Sporting CP. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-23 Time: 20:45 Location: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Guimaraes vs Sporting CP Tuesday, Dec 23rd, 2025 at 15:45 Football

Value Bets

3 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 2.15
59.1%
EV: +27.1% Kelly: $2.17
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Guimaraes +1.5
Odds: 1.65
67.9%
EV: +12.0% Kelly: $3.85
Bet Now
Value
BTTS No
Odds: 1.88
57.7%
EV: +8.4% Kelly: $2.84
Bet Now

Trends for Guimaraes vs Sporting CP Football 23 Dec, 2025 15:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Sporting CP have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Guimaraes vs Sporting CP

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Sporting CP is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Guimaraes

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Sporting CP

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Guimaraes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Sporting CP - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Guimaraes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Sporting CP - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
13
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Sporting CP excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Sporting CP scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Sporting CP has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Sporting CP handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.214
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.065
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Guimaraes):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sporting CP):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Guimaraes
Sporting CP

Guimaraes vs Sporting CP Head-to-head statistics for Tue 23 Dec, 2025 @ 15:45 Primeira Liga

Guimaraes vs Sporting CP: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Guimaraes and away matches for Sporting CP

Number of goals

Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5

1X2

1X2
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
50% 5
70% 7
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
30% 3
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
50% 5
30% 3

Total Goals

Total Goals
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
0-1
30% 3
0% 0
2-3
60% 6
70% 7
4+
10% 1
30% 3

Total Corners

Total Corners
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
xG
1.18
1.62
xGa
0.96
0.8

Number of goals

Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
30% 3
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
70% 7
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
0-1
80% 8
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4

Number of goals

Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Sporting CP
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1
40% 4
70% 7
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
30% 3
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
60% 6
30% 3

Total Goals

Total Goals
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
0-1
80% 8
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Yes
70% 7
90% 9
No
30% 3
10% 1
Team comparison
Prediction
Sporting CP Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
0.3%
Low
N/A
13.1%
Low
N/A
-2
1.2%
Low
N/A
22.8%
Low
N/A
-1.5
2.1%
Low
N/A
32.5%
Low
2.30
-1
6.7%
Low
N/A
47.3%
Low
1.78
-0.5
11.2%
Low
N/A
62.2%
Medium
1.47
+0.5
37.8%
Low
2.75
88.8%
High
N/A
+1
52.7%
Medium
2.10
93.3%
High
N/A
+1.5
67.5%
Medium
1.65
97.9%
High
N/A
+2
77.2%
High
N/A
98.8%
High
N/A
+2.5
86.9%
High
N/A
99.7%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.94%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.514.66%Low4.00
Under 1.585.34%High1.22
AwayOver 1.549.77%Low1.55
Under 1.550.23%Medium2.35
HomeOver 2.53.10%Low9.00
Under 2.596.90%High1.04
AwayOver 2.523.51%Low2.62
Under 2.576.49%High1.45
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
17 May
- 17:00
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
2.03
xG
0.04
2
0
Prob 77%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.34
3 Jan
- 20:15
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
1.79
xG
1.14
4
4
21 Apr
- 19:30
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
3
0
9 Dec
- 18:00
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
3
2
24 Apr
- 19:15
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
0
2
5 Nov
- 20:30
Sporting CP
Guimaraes
3
0
club logo
Guimaraes
Sporting CP
Played: 6
Wins
1
Draws
1
Wins
4
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
7
1.2
Goals
2.7
16
16
2.7
Goals Conceded
1.2
7
17
2.8
Yellow Cards
2
12
1
0.2
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.7
4
19
3.2
Corners
6
36
77
12.8
Fouls
12.5
75
13
2.2
Offsides
2
12
41
6.8
Shots
12.7
76
12
2
Shots on Goal
5
30
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 3 3 6
Draws 3 0 3
Losses 1 4 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.6 11 0.6 4 1.1 15
Goals Conceded 1.1 8 1.3 9 1.2 17
Yellow Cards 3 21 1.9 13 2.4 34
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.4 3 0.4 5
Corners 4.9 34 4.3 30 4.6 64
Fouls 14 98 13 91 13.5 189
Offsides 2 14 2 14 2 28
Shots 11.9 83 12.9 90 12.4 173
Shots on Goal 3.9 27 3.1 22 3.5 49
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 5 6 11
Draws 1 1 2
Losses 1 0 1
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 3.3 23 2.1 15 2.7 38
Goals Conceded 0.4 3 0.6 4 0.5 7
Yellow Cards 1.7 12 2.6 18 2.1 30
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.7 5 0.4 3 0.6 8
Corners 5.7 40 7.7 54 6.7 94
Fouls 11.6 81 12.9 90 12.2 171
Offsides 1.1 8 1.7 12 1.4 20
Shots 20.3 142 18 126 19.1 268
Shots on Goal 8.1 57 6.9 48 7.5 105
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