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Sporting CP
5
1
Guimaraes
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 11 May, 2026 14:15
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16
Played
8
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(26 total)
xG
1.20
(19.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(210 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(32% acc)
Corners
4.2
(67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
15.3
(245 total)
Offsides
1.6
(26 total)
16
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(13 total)
xG
1.20
(18.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(204 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(29% acc)
Corners
4.3
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.1
(210 total)
Offsides
1.9
(31 total)
32
Played
12
Wins
6
Draws
14
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(39 total)
xG
1.20
(38.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(414 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(30% acc)
Corners
4.2
(135 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
14.2
(455 total)
Offsides
1.8
(57 total)
16
Played
2
Wins
8
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(17 total)
xG
0.80
(13.3 total)
Shots per Match
7.4
(119 total)
Shots on Target
2.6
(34% acc)
Corners
3.1
(50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
16.3
(260 total)
Offsides
1
(16 total)
16
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(12 total)
xG
0.90
(14.1 total)
Shots per Match
9
(144 total)
Shots on Target
2.8
(31% acc)
Corners
4.3
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
14.8
(237 total)
Offsides
1.8
(29 total)
32
Played
5
Wins
11
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(29 total)
xG
0.90
(27.5 total)
Shots per Match
8.2
(263 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(33% acc)
Corners
3.7
(118 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
15.5
(497 total)
Offsides
1.4
(45 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.08 vs 0.62
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.92%
⭐
0:1
3.77%
0:2
0.9%
0:3
0.14%
0:4
0.02%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
15.33%
🔥
⭐
1:1
8.44%
1:2
2.28%
1:3
0.4%
1:4
0.05%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
14.84%
⭐
2:1
9.27%
2:2
2.81%
2:3
0.56%
2:4
0.08%
2:5
0.01%
3
3:0
9.57%
⭐
3:1
6.69%
3:2
2.26%
3:3
0.49%
3:4
0.08%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
4.63%
⭐
4:1
3.59%
⭐
4:2
1.34%
4:3
0.32%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
1.79%
⭐
5:1
1.52%
⭐
5:2
0.62%
⭐
5:3
0.16%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Monday, May 11th, 2026 at 14:15 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Football 11 May, 2026 14:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Guimaraes vs Casa Pia.
🏆 Match Winner — Casa Pia @ 4.75 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia
UnbeatenH2H
Casa Pia are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes
Not WinH2H
Guimaraes have not won in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Casa Pia to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.00 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Guimaraes score (1.50/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 44%)
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 863%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
BTTS NoH2H
At least one team failed to score in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Guimaraes rarely concede (83% clean sheet rate)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.95 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 6 H2H matches (100.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 6100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Casa Pia Win or Draw @ 2.16 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia
Undefeated at HTH2H
Casa Pia are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 6100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Casa Pia are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes
Not WinH2H
Guimaraes have not won in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Casa Pia to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes1 Trends — avg 2.3 (-13% below league)Many CardsRecent
Guimaraes receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia3 Trends — avg 2.9 (+9% above league)Many CardsH2H
Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 6100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh Card MatchesLeague
Casa Pia average 3.2 cards/match in all matches (+18% above league avg 2.7) — rank #2 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends15 / 1590%
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Casa Pia receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends13 / 1587%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 5.3 cards per match in their last 6 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams show aggressive play -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.82 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsGuimaraes2 Trends — avg 6.2 (+24% above league)Many CornersH2H
Guimaraes win 6+ corners in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak TrendsCorner DominanceH2H
Guimaraes dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 5 of their last 6 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends5 / 683%
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Unlock Streak TrendsCasa Pia1 Trends — avg 3.8 (-18% below league)Few CornersLeague
Casa Pia average 3.8 corners/match in away matches (-18% below league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 883%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Casa Pia drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.82
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (13 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Casa Pia is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Casa Pia is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Guimaraes
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Casa Pia
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Guimaraes - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Casa Pia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Guimaraes - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Casa Pia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the first half (13 vs 8)
- First Half Result: Consider Casa Pia to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Casa Pia excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Casa Pia scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Guimaraes has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Guimaraes handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.147
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.041
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Guimaraes):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Casa Pia):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Head-to-head statistics for Mon 11 May, 2026 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
▲
12
6
14
37
47
-10
42
8
▼
12
6
14
39
48
-9
42
9
▲
10
8
14
52
53
-1
38
15
6
10
16
36
54
-18
28
16
5
11
16
29
56
-27
26
17
5
10
17
24
52
-28
25
Team comparison
Prediction
Guimaraes to Win
Goals Home:
-3.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Guimaraes
VS
Casa Pia
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
4
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.3 (2)
0.6 (4)
xG
1.20
1.00
Shots
16.9 (118)
9.4 (66)
Shots on Target
3 (21)
2.4 (17)
Corners
7 (49)
3.6 (25)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 (4)
0.3 (2)
xGa
1.00
1.20
Clean Sheets
4 (57%)
5 (71%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (14)
3.4 (24)
Fouls
11 (77)
16.3 (114)
Offsides
2.1 (15)
0.7 (5)
Last 6 Matches
Guimaraes
VS
Casa Pia
3/6 (50%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
1.67
PPG
0.33
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.50
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
33%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.39
Avg xG
0.72
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Guimaraes and away matches for Casa Pia
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
1
30%
3
0%
0
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
50%
5
60%
6
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
50%
5
40%
4
X2
70%
7
100%
10
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0-1
10%
1
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
xG
1.24
0.79
xGa
1.5
1.48
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
1
10%
1
20%
2
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
90%
9
80%
8
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0-1
40%
4
80%
8
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
90%
9
10%
1
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
1
30%
3
0%
0
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
30%
3
60%
6
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
70%
7
40%
4
X2
70%
7
100%
10
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
0-1
40%
4
80%
8
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
2.05
xG
0.59
59%
Ball Possession
41%
15
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Guimaraes will take on Casa Pia as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-05-11 at 2026-05-11 in the famous Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques.
The referee for the game will be L. M. Branco Godinho. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Guimaraes, and the visiting side, Casa Pia. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Guimaraes.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-11
Time: 19:15
Location: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!