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Groningen
2
3
Excelsior
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 10 May, 2026 9:45
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16
Played
6
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(25 total)
xG
1.60
(25.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.8
(253 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(32% acc)
Corners
6.9
(111 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.3
(149 total)
Offsides
1.6
(25 total)
16
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(20 total)
xG
1.70
(26.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.8
(237 total)
Shots on Target
6.2
(42% acc)
Corners
5.6
(90 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.3
(181 total)
Offsides
1.5
(24 total)
32
Played
12
Wins
6
Draws
14
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(45 total)
xG
1.60
(52.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.3
(490 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(37% acc)
Corners
6.3
(201 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.3
(330 total)
Offsides
1.5
(49 total)
16
Played
8
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(39 total)
xG
2.00
(31.5 total)
Shots per Match
16.9
(271 total)
Shots on Target
6.4
(38% acc)
Corners
6.3
(100 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.6
(154 total)
Offsides
1.8
(28 total)
16
Played
7
Wins
6
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2
(35 total)
xG
1.50
(24.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.8
(252 total)
Shots on Target
6.8
(43% acc)
Corners
5.3
(84 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(6%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
13.1
(209 total)
Offsides
2.3
(36 total)
32
Played
15
Wins
11
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3
(74 total)
xG
1.70
(55.7 total)
Shots per Match
16.3
(523 total)
Shots on Target
6.6
(41% acc)
Corners
5.8
(184 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.3
(363 total)
Offsides
2
(64 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.72 vs 2.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.28%
0:1
5.65%
0:2
4.86%
0:3
2.79%
0:4
1.2%
0:5
0.41%
1
1:0
4.73%
1:1
9.06%
🔥
1:2
8.58%
1:3
5.38%
1:4
2.51%
1:5
0.93%
2
2:0
3.41%
2:1
7.19%
2:2
7.45%
2:3
5.07%
2:4
2.56%
⭐
2:5
1.02%
⭐
3
3:0
1.64%
3:1
3.77%
3:2
4.25%
3:3
3.13%
⭐
3:4
1.7%
⭐
3:5
0.73%
⭐
4
4:0
0.59%
4:1
1.47%
4:2
1.79%
4:3
1.42%
⭐
4:4
0.83%
⭐
4:5
0.38%
⭐
5
5:0
0.17%
5:1
0.46%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.51%
⭐
5:4
0.32%
⭐
5:5
0.16%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:1 (9.1%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Sunday, May 10th, 2026 at 9:45 Football
AI Value Bets
1 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Football 10 May, 2026 9:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Groningen have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen.
🏆 Match Winner — NEC Nijmegen @ 2.28 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen
High xG PerformanceH2H
NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceRecent
NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 17100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
NEC Nijmegen efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡NEC Nijmegen dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.40 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsGroningen1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Groningen score well (1.75/match) but have strong defense at home (0.88 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 63% of matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
NEC Nijmegen score (2.22/match) and concede (1.89/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 89% of matches (league avg: 62%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.45 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen3 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 2.2 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Groningen Win or Draw @ 1.67 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsGroningen
League Best DefenseLeague
Groningen concede only 0.88 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Groningen are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Groningen demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — NEC Nijmegen Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.74 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen
Above League AverageLeague
NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
NEC Nijmegen scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
NEC Nijmegen score in second half in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡NEC Nijmegen maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.90 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen2 Trends — avg 1.9 (+18% above league)Few CardsH2H
NEC Nijmegen receive 0-1 card in 3 of their last 3 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh Card MatchesLeague
NEC Nijmegen average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8) — rank #5 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 1781.5%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Low Card MatchesH2H
Average 2.7 cards per match in their last 3 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡NEC Nijmegen aggressive drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.90
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.64 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsGroningen1 Trends — avg 7.9 (+53% above league)Many CornersLeague
Groningen average 7.9 corners/match at home (+53% above league avg 5.1)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Groningen drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.64
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Groningen
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.11
✈️ NEC Nijmegen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Groningen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Groningen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
10
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
15
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: NEC Nijmegen has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider NEC Nijmegen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.003
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.007
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Groningen):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (NEC Nijmegen):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-head statistics for Sun 10 May, 2026 @ 9:45 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Groningen
VS
NEC Nijmegen
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (2)
3 (9)
xG
1.30
1.90
Shots
11 (33)
13.7 (41)
Shots on Target
3.7 (11)
5 (15)
Corners
4.7 (14)
5.3 (16)
Defense
Conceded
3 (9)
0.7 (2)
xGa
1.90
1.30
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
2 (67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (5)
0.7 (2)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
11.3 (34)
9.7 (29)
Offsides
0.3 (1)
1.7 (5)
Last 6 Matches
Groningen
VS
NEC Nijmegen
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
1.33
PPG
1.67
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
50%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.77
Avg xG
1.84
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Groningen and away matches for NEC Nijmegen
Number of goals
Groningen
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
70%
7
80%
8
No
30%
3
20%
2
1X2
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
20%
2
60%
6
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
12
80%
8
40%
4
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
10%
1
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
70%
7
4+
40%
4
30%
3
Total Corners
Groningen
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
40%
4
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
40%
4
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
xG
1.82
1.58
xGa
1.64
1.37
Number of goals
Groningen
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
70%
7
30%
3
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
12
30%
3
70%
7
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
Number of goals
Groningen
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
1
30%
3
60%
6
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
70%
7
40%
4
Total Goals
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
30%
3
60%
6
2-3
70%
7
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
Missing Players
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Arm Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Arm Injury
1.66
xG
1.98
56%
Ball Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
5
11
Shots Off Goal
8
7
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
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In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Groningen will take on NEC Nijmegen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-10 at 2026-05-10 in the famous Euroborg.
The referee for the game will be A. Bos. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Groningen, and the visiting side, NEC Nijmegen. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or NEC Nijmegen.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-10
Time: 14:45
Location: Euroborg
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!