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Gremio vs Sao Paulo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 9 August, 2026 13:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.41 vs 0.98
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.76%
0:1
8.86%
0:2
3.65%
0:3
1%
⭐
0:4
0.21%
0:5
0.03%
⭐
1
1:0
13.48%
🔥
⭐
1:1
12.79%
1:2
5.96%
⭐
1:3
1.83%
1:4
0.41%
⭐
1:5
0.07%
⭐
2
2:0
8.45%
⭐
2:1
9.07%
⭐
2:2
4.74%
⭐
2:3
1.61%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.08%
⭐
3
3:0
3.53%
⭐
3:1
4.23%
⭐
3:2
2.45%
3:3
0.92%
3:4
0.25%
⭐
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
1.11%
⭐
4:1
1.46%
4:2
0.93%
4:3
0.38%
⭐
4:4
0.12%
⭐
4:5
0.03%
⭐
5
5:0
0.28%
⭐
5:1
0.4%
⭐
5:2
0.28%
⭐
5:3
0.13%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (13.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Trends for Gremio vs Sao Paulo Football 9 Aug, 2026 13:00
Team Form Comparison
Gremio
Home
Form Index
57
Goals
4:2
PPG
1.60
Sao Paulo
Away
Form Index
44
Goals
5:10
PPG
0.20
BRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
INTDVITLVASLCORLFLUL
2/5
Won
0/5
3/5
Scored
4/5
1/5
Scored 2+
1/5
3/5
Clean sheet
0/5
0/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
0/5
Over 2.5
3/5
1/5
BTTS
4/5
Gremio
BRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
Won
2/5
Scored
3/5
Scored 2+
1/5
Clean sheet
3/5
Conceded 2+
0/5
Over 2.5
0/5
BTTS
1/5
Sao Paulo
INTDVITLVASLCORLFLUL
Won
0/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
1/5
Clean sheet
0/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
Over 2.5
3/5
BTTS
4/5
Gremio
Home
Form Index
57
Goals
17:10
PPG
2.00
Sao Paulo
Away
Form Index
44
Goals
9:14
PPG
0.80
VASWPALWFLULBOTWATLWBRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
VITLSANDCORWBRAWATLLINTDVITLVASLCORLFLUL
6/10
Won
2/10
8/10
Scored
7/10
5/10
Scored 2+
2/10
4/10
Clean sheet
1/10
3/10
Conceded 2+
4/10
4/10
Over 2.5
4/10
5/10
BTTS
6/10
Gremio
VASWPALWFLULBOTWATLWBRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
Won
6/10
Scored
8/10
Scored 2+
5/10
Clean sheet
4/10
Conceded 2+
3/10
Over 2.5
4/10
BTTS
5/10
Sao Paulo
VITLSANDCORWBRAWATLLINTDVITLVASLCORLFLUL
Won
2/10
Scored
7/10
Scored 2+
2/10
Clean sheet
1/10
Conceded 2+
4/10
Over 2.5
4/10
BTTS
6/10
Gremio
Home team
Form Index
41
Goals
2:4
PPG
1.00
Sao Paulo
Away team
Form Index
45
Goals
7:9
PPG
0.80
CRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
VASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
1/5
Won
1/5
2/5
Scored
5/5
0/5
Scored 2+
2/5
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
0/5
Over 2.5
4/5
1/5
BTTS
4/5
Gremio
CRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
Won
1/5
Scored
2/5
Scored 2+
0/5
Clean sheet
2/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
Over 2.5
0/5
BTTS
1/5
Sao Paulo
VASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
Won
1/5
Scored
5/5
Scored 2+
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
BTTS
4/5
Gremio
Home team
Form Index
41
Goals
6:8
PPG
1.00
Sao Paulo
Away team
Form Index
45
Goals
12:15
PPG
0.80
VITWVASLPALLREMDINTDCRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
ATLLPALLINTDCRUWVITLVASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
2/10
Won
2/10
5/10
Scored
7/10
1/10
Scored 2+
3/10
5/10
Clean sheet
1/10
3/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
2/10
Over 2.5
5/10
3/10
BTTS
6/10
Gremio
VITWVASLPALLREMDINTDCRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
Won
2/10
Scored
5/10
Scored 2+
1/10
Clean sheet
5/10
Conceded 2+
3/10
Over 2.5
2/10
BTTS
3/10
Sao Paulo
ATLLPALLINTDCRUWVITLVASLMirasWBAHDCORLFLUL
Won
2/10
Scored
7/10
Scored 2+
3/10
Clean sheet
1/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
Over 2.5
5/10
BTTS
6/10
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Gremio have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Second Half Surge
Sao Paulo score in 2nd half 100% of away matches — expect late goals
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsPeriod Timing Analysis
Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.
Gremio
Home
Sao Paulo
Away
Main Prediction by Periods
- Final stage: Sao Paulo is stronger in the closing minutes (7 vs 3).
Recommendation: Teams are evenly matched. Consider draw or exact score markets.
Match Periods
Goals scored in sample
Avg / match
3
0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
3
0.15
7
0.35
First Half (0–45)
8
0.40
13
0.65
Second Half (46–90)
13
0.65
3
0.15
Final Stage (76–90)
7
0.35
Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.
Factor Breakdown
Momentum
Away +0.180
Strong
Pressure
Away +0.057
Moderate
Timing
Away +0.003
Weak
Defense
Home +0.045
Weak
Momentum
Gremio
Metric
Sao Paulo
3
Positive Sequences
8
5
Comeback Goals
2
2
Negative Sequences
0
10
Killer Goals
10
Pressure
Gremio
Metric
Sao Paulo
3
Early Pressure
3
3
Late Pressure
7
0
Pressure Goals
0
0
Set Pieces
0
Timing Patterns
Gremio
Metric
Sao Paulo
3
Fast Starts
3
4
Half-time Spurts
5
10
Second Half Starts
6
3
Late Surges
7
Defense
Gremio
Metric
Sao Paulo
0
Early Conceded
2
3
Late Conceded
5
0
Set Piece Conceded
0
0
Pressure Conceded
0
Betting Recommendations
- Late goals: Sao Paulo excels after the 75th minute.
- Match outcome: teams are evenly matched — consider draw or exact score markets.
Summary
Gremio
Momentum: moderate — stable overall. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Sao Paulo
Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Final advice
Sao Paulo is stronger in the final minutes. Consider late goals and last-goal markets.
Gremio vs Sao Paulo Head-to-head statistics for Sun 9 Aug, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings (all competitions)
1
Gremio
0
Draws
2
Sao Paulo
7
Played
9
57% 4-2-1
Win Rate
22% 2-2-5
57
Form Index
45
6.95
Team Rating
6.66
72
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Results
80
20
Attack
79
21
Defense
80
20
Control
37
63
Discipline
70
30
Efficiency
85
15
Average
72
28
28
Attack
1.57
Goals
1
1.31
Expected Goals
1.06
15.4
Shots
10.4
5.3
Shots on Target
4
4.3
Corners
5.3
Defense
0.86
Conceded
1.44
1.19
Expected Goals Against
1.20
12.6
Shots Allowed
13
+0.71
Goal Difference
-0.44
43%
Clean Sheets
11%
Possession & Passing
49%
Possession
55%
85%
Pass Accuracy
84%
383
Passes
439
325
Accurate Passes
370
Discipline
1.86
Yellow Cards
2.56
0
Red Cards
0.11
12.3
Fouls
14.9
1.6
Offsides
0.8
Efficiency
2
PPG
0.89
+0.26
Goals vs xG
-0.06
10%
Shot Conversion
10%
78%
Save %
63%
7
Played
7
57% 4-2-1
Win Rate
71% 5-1-1
57
Form Index
66
6.95
Team Rating
7.08
39
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Results
31
69
Attack
40
60
Defense
19
81
Control
46
54
Discipline
56
44
Efficiency
45
55
Average
39
61
61
Attack
1.57
Goals
1.86
1.31
Expected Goals
1.67
15.4
Shots
13.1
5.3
Shots on Target
4.1
4.3
Corners
8.1
Defense
0.86
Conceded
0.71
1.19
Expected Goals Against
0.93
12.6
Shots Allowed
10
+0.71
Goal Difference
+1.14
43%
Clean Sheets
43%
Possession & Passing
49%
Possession
50%
85%
Pass Accuracy
84%
383
Passes
413
325
Accurate Passes
347
Discipline
1.86
Yellow Cards
1.57
0
Red Cards
0
12.3
Fouls
13.3
1.6
Offsides
2
Efficiency
2
PPG
2.29
+0.26
Goals vs xG
+0.18
10%
Shot Conversion
14%
78%
Save %
77%
9
Played
9
0% 0-4-5
Win Rate
22% 2-2-5
34
Form Index
45
6.75
Team Rating
6.66
29
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Results
18
82
Attack
0
100
Defense
42
58
Control
45
55
Discipline
31
69
Efficiency
37
63
Average
29
71
71
Attack
0.56
Goals
1
0.61
Expected Goals
1.06
7.6
Shots
10.4
2.1
Shots on Target
4
2.9
Corners
5.3
Defense
1.33
Conceded
1.44
1.69
Expected Goals Against
1.20
12.7
Shots Allowed
13
-0.78
Goal Difference
-0.44
22%
Clean Sheets
11%
Possession & Passing
51%
Possession
55%
85%
Pass Accuracy
84%
410
Passes
439
347
Accurate Passes
370
Discipline
2.56
Yellow Cards
2.56
0.33
Red Cards
0.11
12.7
Fouls
14.9
1.7
Offsides
0.8
Efficiency
0.44
PPG
0.89
-0.05
Goals vs xG
-0.06
7%
Shot Conversion
10%
69%
Save %
63%
16
Played
16
25% 4-6-6
Win Rate
44% 7-3-6
41
Form Index
45
6.84
Team Rating
6.85
33
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Results
29
71
Attack
15
85
Defense
35
65
Control
45
55
Discipline
32
68
Efficiency
41
59
Average
33
67
67
Attack
1
Goals
1.38
0.92
Expected Goals
1.33
11
Shots
11.6
3.5
Shots on Target
4.1
3.5
Corners
6.6
Defense
1.13
Conceded
1.13
1.47
Expected Goals Against
1.08
12.6
Shots Allowed
11.7
-0.13
Goal Difference
+0.25
31%
Clean Sheets
25%
Possession & Passing
50%
Possession
53%
85%
Pass Accuracy
84%
398
Passes
427
338
Accurate Passes
360
Discipline
2.25
Yellow Cards
2.13
0.19
Red Cards
0.06
12.5
Fouls
14.2
1.6
Offsides
1.3
Efficiency
1.13
PPG
1.50
+0.09
Goals vs xG
+0.05
9%
Shot Conversion
12%
73%
Save %
68%
3
Played
3
33% 1-0-2
Win Rate
67% 2-0-1
—
Form Index
—
6.87
Team Rating
7.14
26
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Results
24
76
Attack
15
85
Defense
11
89
Control
10
90
Discipline
44
56
Efficiency
55
45
Average
26
74
74
Attack
1
Goals
1.33
1.40
Expected Goals
2.65
8.7
Shots
17
3.7
Shots on Target
3.3
3.7
Corners
4.7
Defense
1.33
Conceded
1
2.65
Expected Goals Against
1.40
17
Shots Allowed
8.7
-0.33
Goal Difference
+0.33
33%
Clean Sheets
33%
Possession & Passing
39%
Possession
61%
81%
Pass Accuracy
89%
349
Passes
535
282
Accurate Passes
474
Discipline
3
Yellow Cards
3
0.33
Red Cards
0
15.3
Fouls
13
0
Offsides
1
Efficiency
1
PPG
2
-0.40
Goals vs xG
-1.32
12%
Shot Conversion
8%
60%
Save %
73%
Gremio vs Sao Paulo: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Gremio and away matches for Sao Paulo
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
40%
4
60%
6
Double Chance
Gremio
Sao Paulo
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
60%
6
40%
4
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0-1
50%
5
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
30%
3
Total Corners
Gremio
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Gremio
Sao Paulo
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT X
40%
4
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Gremio
Sao Paulo
xG
0.69
1.2
xGa
1.28
1.16
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
60%
6
30%
3
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Gremio
Sao Paulo
12
40%
4
70%
7
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0-1
90%
9
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
70%
7
10%
1
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Gremio
Sao Paulo
12
30%
3
90%
9
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1.41
Expected goals
0.98
56%
Ball Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Gremio will take on Sao Paulo as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-08-09 at 2026-08-09 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Gremio, and the visiting side, Sao Paulo. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-08-09
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Responsible Gambling Disclaimer
eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.