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Gremio
Gremio vs Santos: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 23 May, 2026 17:00
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7
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(11 total)
xG
1.30
(9.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.4
(108 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(34% acc)
Corners
4.3
(30 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.3
(86 total)
Offsides
1.6
(11 total)
9
Played
0
Wins
4
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6
(5 total)
xG
0.60
(5.5 total)
Shots per Match
7.6
(68 total)
Shots on Target
2.1
(28% acc)
Corners
2.9
(26 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
12.7
(114 total)
Offsides
1.7
(15 total)
16
Played
4
Wins
6
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(16 total)
xG
0.90
(14.6 total)
Shots per Match
11
(176 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(32% acc)
Corners
3.5
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
12.5
(200 total)
Offsides
1.6
(26 total)
10
Played
5
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(15 total)
xG
1.20
(12.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.8
(98 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(32% acc)
Corners
4.7
(47 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.4
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
13.4
(134 total)
Offsides
1.9
(19 total)
7
Played
0
Wins
4
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(9 total)
xG
1.10
(7.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.7
(96 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(24% acc)
Corners
5
(35 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.6
(74 total)
Offsides
1.7
(12 total)
17
Played
5
Wins
6
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(24 total)
xG
1.20
(19.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.4
(194 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(28% acc)
Corners
4.8
(82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
12.2
(208 total)
Offsides
1.8
(31 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.09 vs 1.25
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.46%
0:1
4.65%
0:2
2.42%
0:3
0.84%
0:4
0.22%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
8.4%
1:1
9.67%
1:2
5.52%
1:3
2.09%
1:4
0.59%
1:5
0.13%
2
2:0
7.9%
2:1
9.98%
🔥
2:2
6.2%
⭐
2:3
2.54%
⭐
2:4
0.77%
⭐
2:5
0.18%
⭐
3
3:0
4.95%
⭐
3:1
6.81%
⭐
3:2
4.58%
⭐
3:3
2.02%
⭐
3:4
0.66%
⭐
3:5
0.17%
4
4:0
2.33%
⭐
4:1
3.46%
⭐
4:2
2.51%
⭐
4:3
1.19%
⭐
4:4
0.42%
⭐
4:5
0.11%
5
5:0
0.88%
⭐
5:1
1.4%
⭐
5:2
1.09%
⭐
5:3
0.55%
⭐
5:4
0.21%
5:5
0.06%
Hotspot:
2:1 (10.0%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Gremio vs Santos Saturday, May 23rd, 2026 at 17:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Gremio vs Santos Football 23 May, 2026 17:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Gremio vs Santos.
🏆 Match Winner — Gremio @ 2.23 ⚠️ 
Gremio
UnbeatenH2H
Gremio are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Santos
Not WinH2H
Santos have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Gremio to win looks justified.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.69 ⚠️ 
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
2 / 2100%
💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Gremio Win or Draw @ 1.34 ✅ 
Gremio
UnbeatenH2H
Gremio are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Undefeated at HTH2H
Gremio are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Santos
Not WinH2H
Santos have not won in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Gremio to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Gremio Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.36 ⚠️ 
Gremio
Scored 1+Recent
Gremio scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Second Half SpecialistsRecent
Gremio score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Gremio's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Gremio1 Trends — avg 2.6 (+3% above league)Many CardsH2H
Gremio receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Santos1 Trends — avg 2.8 (+11% above league)Many CardsH2H
Santos receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 7.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
%
💡Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 ⚠️
Santos1 Trends — avg 4.6 (-7% below league)Many CornersH2H
Santos win 6+ corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡High corner volume in recent matches - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 — value
🎯 Betting Analysis
Gremio vs Santos
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Santos is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Gremio
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.05
✈️ Santos
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Gremio - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Santos - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Gremio - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Santos - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Santos excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Santos scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Santos has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Santos handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.132
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.054
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Gremio):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Santos):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Gremio vs Santos Head-to-head statistics for Sat 23 May, 2026 @ 17:00 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Gremio
VS
Santos
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (2)
0.5 (1)
xG
0.60
1.50
Shots
6 (12)
18.5 (37)
Shots on Target
2 (4)
4 (8)
Corners
1.5 (3)
8 (16)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 (1)
1 (2)
xGa
1.50
0.60
Clean Sheets
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
4 (8)
3 (6)
Fouls
14 (28)
19.5 (39)
Offsides
0.5 (1)
2 (4)
Last 6 Matches
Gremio
VS
Santos
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.00
PPG
1.33
0.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
17%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.59
Avg xG
1.42
Gremio vs Santos: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Gremio and away matches for Santos
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Santos
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Santos
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Gremio
Santos
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Gremio
Santos
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Gremio
Santos
0-1
50%
5
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
0%
0
30%
3
Total Corners
Gremio
Under
Over
Santos
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Santos
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Gremio
Santos
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT X - FT X
40%
4
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Gremio
Santos
xG
0.69
1.22
xGa
1.28
1.19
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Santos
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Santos
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Gremio
Santos
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Gremio
Santos
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Gremio
Santos
0-1
90%
9
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Santos
Yes
80%
8
80%
8
No
20%
2
20%
2
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Santos
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Santos
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Gremio
Santos
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
70%
7
20%
2
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Gremio
Santos
12
30%
3
80%
8
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Gremio
Santos
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Santos
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Broken ankle
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Broken ankle
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.79
xG
1.17
56%
Ball Possession
44%
16
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
9
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Gremio will take on Santos as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-23 at 2026-05-23 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Gremio, and the visiting side, Santos. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Gremio or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-23
Time: 22:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!