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Gremio vs Santos: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 23 May, 2026 15:00
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.09 vs 1.25
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.46%
0:1
4.65%
0:2
2.42%
0:3
0.84%
0:4
0.22%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
8.4%
1:1
9.67%
1:2
5.52%
1:3
2.09%
1:4
0.59%
1:5
0.13%
2
2:0
7.9%
2:1
9.98%
🔥
2:2
6.2%
⭐
2:3
2.54%
⭐
2:4
0.77%
⭐
2:5
0.18%
⭐
3
3:0
4.95%
⭐
3:1
6.81%
⭐
3:2
4.58%
⭐
3:3
2.02%
⭐
3:4
0.66%
⭐
3:5
0.17%
4
4:0
2.33%
⭐
4:1
3.46%
⭐
4:2
2.51%
⭐
4:3
1.19%
⭐
4:4
0.42%
⭐
4:5
0.11%
5
5:0
0.88%
⭐
5:1
1.4%
⭐
5:2
1.09%
⭐
5:3
0.55%
⭐
5:4
0.21%
5:5
0.06%
Hotspot:
2:1 (10.0%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Gremio vs Santos Saturday, May 23rd, 2026 at 15:00 Football
Trends for Gremio vs Santos Football 23 May, 2026 15:00
Team Form Comparison
Gremio
Home
Form Index
57
Goals
4:2
PPG
1.60
Santos
Away
Form Index
45
Goals
6:8
PPG
0.80
BRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
MirasDCRUDFLALBAHDPALD
2/5
Won
0/5
3/5
Scored
4/5
1/5
Scored 2+
2/5
3/5
Clean sheet
1/5
0/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
0/5
Over 2.5
3/5
1/5
BTTS
4/5
Gremio
BRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
Won
2/5
Scored
3/5
Scored 2+
1/5
Clean sheet
3/5
Conceded 2+
0/5
Over 2.5
0/5
BTTS
1/5
Santos
MirasDCRUDFLALBAHDPALD
Won
0/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
BTTS
4/5
Gremio
Home
Form Index
57
Goals
17:10
PPG
2.00
Santos
Away
Form Index
45
Goals
15:18
PPG
0.80
VASWPALWFLULBOTWATLWBRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
FLALINTDJUVWCHALATLLMirasDCRUDFLALBAHDPALD
6/10
Won
1/10
8/10
Scored
9/10
5/10
Scored 2+
5/10
4/10
Clean sheet
2/10
3/10
Conceded 2+
6/10
4/10
Over 2.5
7/10
5/10
BTTS
8/10
Gremio
VASWPALWFLULBOTWATLWBRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
Won
6/10
Scored
8/10
Scored 2+
5/10
Clean sheet
4/10
Conceded 2+
3/10
Over 2.5
4/10
BTTS
5/10
Santos
FLALINTDJUVWCHALATLLMirasDCRUDFLALBAHDPALD
Won
1/10
Scored
9/10
Scored 2+
5/10
Clean sheet
2/10
Conceded 2+
6/10
Over 2.5
7/10
BTTS
8/10
Gremio
Home team
Form Index
41
Goals
2:4
PPG
1.00
Santos
Away team
Form Index
49
Goals
7:9
PPG
1.00
CRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
FLULBAHDPALDBRAWCORL
1/5
Won
1/5
2/5
Scored
4/5
0/5
Scored 2+
3/5
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
0/5
Over 2.5
3/5
1/5
BTTS
3/5
Gremio
CRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
Won
1/5
Scored
2/5
Scored 2+
0/5
Clean sheet
2/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
Over 2.5
0/5
BTTS
1/5
Santos
FLULBAHDPALDBRAWCORL
Won
1/5
Scored
4/5
Scored 2+
3/5
Clean sheet
1/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
BTTS
3/5
Gremio
Home team
Form Index
41
Goals
6:8
PPG
1.00
Santos
Away team
Form Index
49
Goals
12:14
PPG
1.20
VITWVASLPALLREMDINTDCRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
INTLCRUDREMWFLALATLWFLULBAHDPALDBRAWCORL
2/10
Won
3/10
5/10
Scored
8/10
1/10
Scored 2+
4/10
5/10
Clean sheet
4/10
3/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
2/10
Over 2.5
5/10
3/10
BTTS
5/10
Gremio
VITWVASLPALLREMDINTDCRULCORWATLDFLALBAHD
Won
2/10
Scored
5/10
Scored 2+
1/10
Clean sheet
5/10
Conceded 2+
3/10
Over 2.5
2/10
BTTS
3/10
Santos
INTLCRUDREMWFLALATLWFLULBAHDPALDBRAWCORL
Won
3/10
Scored
8/10
Scored 2+
4/10
Clean sheet
4/10
Conceded 2+
5/10
Over 2.5
5/10
BTTS
5/10
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Gremio have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsPeriod Timing Analysis
Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.
Gremio
Home
Santos
Away
Main Prediction by Periods
- Final stage: Santos is stronger in the closing minutes (8 vs 3).
Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.
Match Periods
Goals scored in sample
Avg / match
3
0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
2
0.10
7
0.35
First Half (0–45)
6
0.30
13
0.65
Second Half (46–90)
13
0.65
3
0.15
Final Stage (76–90)
8
0.40
Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.
Factor Breakdown
Momentum
Away +0.132
Strong
Pressure
Away +0.054
Moderate
Timing
Home +0.003
Weak
Defense
Home +0.023
Weak
Momentum
Gremio
Metric
Santos
3
Positive Sequences
6
5
Comeback Goals
7
2
Negative Sequences
3
10
Killer Goals
9
Pressure
Gremio
Metric
Santos
3
Early Pressure
2
3
Late Pressure
8
0
Pressure Goals
0
0
Set Pieces
0
Timing Patterns
Gremio
Metric
Santos
3
Fast Starts
2
4
Half-time Spurts
4
10
Second Half Starts
5
3
Late Surges
8
Defense
Gremio
Metric
Santos
0
Early Conceded
1
3
Late Conceded
4
0
Set Piece Conceded
0
0
Pressure Conceded
0
Betting Recommendations
- Late goals: Santos excels after the 75th minute.
- Match outcome: Santos holds the overall timing advantage.
Summary
Gremio
Momentum: moderate — stable overall. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Santos
Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.
Final advice
Santos is stronger in the final minutes. Consider late goals and last-goal markets.
Gremio vs Santos Head-to-head statistics for Sat 23 May, 2026 @ 15:00 Serie A BR
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings (all competitions)
1
Gremio
1
Draws
0
Santos
7
Played
7
57% 4-2-1
Win Rate
0% 0-4-3
57
Form Index
41
6.95
Team Rating
6.70
75
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Gremio
Santos
Results
84
16
Attack
70
30
Defense
95
5
Control
58
42
Discipline
60
40
Efficiency
85
15
Average
75
25
25
Attack
1.57
Goals
1.29
1.31
Expected Goals
1.11
15.4
Shots
13.7
5.3
Shots on Target
3.3
4.3
Corners
5
Defense
0.86
Conceded
2
1.19
Expected Goals Against
1.65
12.6
Shots Allowed
14.9
+0.71
Goal Difference
-0.71
43%
Clean Sheets
14%
Possession & Passing
49%
Possession
44%
85%
Pass Accuracy
81%
383
Passes
361
325
Accurate Passes
293
Discipline
1.86
Yellow Cards
2.57
0
Red Cards
0
12.3
Fouls
10.6
1.6
Offsides
1.7
Efficiency
2
PPG
0.57
+0.26
Goals vs xG
+0.18
10%
Shot Conversion
9%
78%
Save %
64%
7
Played
10
57% 4-2-1
Win Rate
50% 5-2-3
57
Form Index
55
6.95
Team Rating
6.80
62
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Gremio
Santos
Results
57
43
Attack
71
29
Defense
71
29
Control
49
51
Discipline
85
15
Efficiency
37
63
Average
62
38
38
Attack
1.57
Goals
1.50
1.31
Expected Goals
1.20
15.4
Shots
9.8
5.3
Shots on Target
3.1
4.3
Corners
4.7
Defense
0.86
Conceded
1.20
1.19
Expected Goals Against
0.92
12.6
Shots Allowed
12.1
+0.71
Goal Difference
+0.30
43%
Clean Sheets
30%
Possession & Passing
49%
Possession
51%
85%
Pass Accuracy
82%
383
Passes
395
325
Accurate Passes
324
Discipline
1.86
Yellow Cards
3.40
0
Red Cards
0.30
12.3
Fouls
13.4
1.6
Offsides
1.9
Efficiency
2
PPG
1.70
+0.26
Goals vs xG
+0.31
10%
Shot Conversion
15%
78%
Save %
81%
9
Played
7
0% 0-4-5
Win Rate
0% 0-4-3
34
Form Index
41
6.75
Team Rating
6.70
38
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Gremio
Santos
Results
40
60
Attack
0
100
Defense
73
27
Control
66
34
Discipline
31
69
Efficiency
20
80
Average
38
62
62
Attack
0.56
Goals
1.29
0.61
Expected Goals
1.11
7.6
Shots
13.7
2.1
Shots on Target
3.3
2.9
Corners
5
Defense
1.33
Conceded
2
1.69
Expected Goals Against
1.65
12.7
Shots Allowed
14.9
-0.78
Goal Difference
-0.71
22%
Clean Sheets
14%
Possession & Passing
51%
Possession
44%
85%
Pass Accuracy
81%
410
Passes
361
347
Accurate Passes
293
Discipline
2.56
Yellow Cards
2.57
0.33
Red Cards
0
12.7
Fouls
10.6
1.7
Offsides
1.7
Efficiency
0.44
PPG
0.57
-0.05
Goals vs xG
+0.18
7%
Shot Conversion
9%
69%
Save %
64%
16
Played
17
25% 4-6-6
Win Rate
29% 5-6-6
41
Form Index
53
6.84
Team Rating
6.76
43
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Gremio
Santos
Results
28
72
Attack
25
75
Defense
63
37
Control
53
47
Discipline
65
35
Efficiency
22
78
Average
43
57
57
Attack
1
Goals
1.41
0.92
Expected Goals
1.16
11
Shots
11.4
3.5
Shots on Target
3.2
3.5
Corners
4.8
Defense
1.13
Conceded
1.53
1.47
Expected Goals Against
1.22
12.6
Shots Allowed
13.2
-0.13
Goal Difference
-0.12
31%
Clean Sheets
24%
Possession & Passing
50%
Possession
48%
85%
Pass Accuracy
82%
398
Passes
381
338
Accurate Passes
311
Discipline
2.25
Yellow Cards
3.06
0.19
Red Cards
0.18
12.5
Fouls
12.2
1.6
Offsides
1.8
Efficiency
1.13
PPG
1.24
+0.09
Goals vs xG
+0.25
9%
Shot Conversion
12%
73%
Save %
73%
2
Played
2
50% 1-1-0
Win Rate
0% 0-1-1
—
Form Index
—
6.99
Team Rating
6.95
54
eScored Comparison
Category scores
Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged.
Gremio
Santos
Results
75
25
Attack
20
80
Defense
60
40
Control
10
90
Discipline
63
37
Efficiency
99
1
Average
54
46
46
Attack
1
Goals
0.50
0.65
Expected Goals
1.51
6
Shots
18.5
2
Shots on Target
4
1.5
Corners
8
Defense
0.50
Conceded
1
1.51
Expected Goals Against
0.65
18.5
Shots Allowed
6
+0.50
Goal Difference
-0.50
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
Possession & Passing
41%
Possession
60%
79%
Pass Accuracy
87%
325
Passes
467
257
Accurate Passes
405
Discipline
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
14
Fouls
19.5
0.5
Offsides
2
Efficiency
2
PPG
0.50
+0.36
Goals vs xG
-1.01
17%
Shot Conversion
3%
88%
Save %
67%
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Gremio or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Gremio vs Santos: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Gremio and away matches for Santos
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Santos
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Santos
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
1X2
Gremio
Santos
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Gremio
Santos
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Gremio
Santos
0-1
50%
5
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
0%
0
30%
3
Total Corners
Gremio
Under
Over
Santos
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Santos
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Gremio
Santos
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT X - FT X
40%
4
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Gremio
Santos
xG
0.69
1.22
xGa
1.28
1.19
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Santos
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Santos
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Gremio
Santos
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Gremio
Santos
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Gremio
Santos
0-1
90%
9
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Santos
Yes
80%
8
80%
8
No
20%
2
20%
2
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Santos
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Santos
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Gremio
Santos
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
70%
7
20%
2
2
20%
2
50%
5
Double Chance
Gremio
Santos
12
30%
3
80%
8
1X
80%
8
50%
5
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Gremio
Santos
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Santos
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Broken ankle
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.50
Expected goals
1.14
54%
Ball Possession
46%
16
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Goal
4
11
Shots Off Goal
10
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Gremio will take on Santos as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-23 at 2026-05-23 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Gremio, and the visiting side, Santos. The scoreline predictions suggest +2.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-23
Time: 22:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Responsible Gambling Disclaimer
eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.