Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Gremio
Gremio
Form
VS
20:00
26 Jul 2026
Fluminense
Fluminense
Form
Match Info -
1 - X - 2 -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Gremio vs Fluminense: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 26 July, 2026 13:00

Winner (1x2)-
Gremio to Win
Probability 53%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 51%
Gremio Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Fluminense Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 94%
Double Chance-
Gremio/Draw
Probability 79%
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Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
• 20:00
Gremio W 41%
:
Fluminense W 29%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.60 vs 0.89
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.96%
⭐
0:1
7.1%
0:2
2.53%
⭐
0:3
0.6%
0:4
0.11%
⭐
0:5
0.02%
⭐
1
1:0
14.17%
🔥
⭐
1:1
11.87%
⭐
1:2
4.86%
1:3
1.3%
1:4
0.26%
⭐
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
10.08%
⭐
2:1
9.7%
2:2
4.51%
2:3
1.36%
2:4
0.3%
⭐
2:5
0.05%
⭐
3
3:0
4.78%
3:1
5.2%
⭐
3:2
2.71%
⭐
3:3
0.91%
3:4
0.22%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
1.7%
4:1
2.06%
⭐
4:2
1.19%
4:3
0.44%
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.02%
⭐
5
5:0
0.48%
5:1
0.65%
⭐
5:2
0.41%
⭐
5:3
0.17%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (14.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.0%
0
21.3%
1
24.5%
2
19.9%
3
12.8%
4
6.9%
5
3.1%
6
1.1%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

GremioHDPFluminense
11.8%
Very Low
-2.5
1.5%
Very Low
20.1%
Low
-2
4.0%
Very Low
28.4%
Low
-1.5
6.4%
Very Low
41.2%
Medium
-1
13.4%
Very Low
54.1%
Medium
-0.5
20.4%
Low
79.6%
High
+0.5
45.9%
Medium
86.6%
Very High
+1
58.8%
Medium
93.6%
Very High
+1.5
71.6%
High
96.0%
Very High
+2
79.9%
High
98.5%
Very High
+2.5
88.2%
Very High

⚽ Team Total Predictions

GremioOutcomeFluminense
47.5%
Medium
Over 1.5
22.4%
Low
52.5%
Medium
Under 1.5
77.6%
High
21.7%
Low
Over 2.5
6.1%
Very Low
78.3%
High
Under 2.5
93.9%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Gremio vs Fluminense Sunday, Jul 26th, 2026 at 13:00 Football

AI Value Bets

No value bets found for this match.(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Gremio vs Fluminense Football 26 Jul, 2026 13:00

Team Form Comparison

Gremio Home
Form Index 57
Goals 4:2
PPG 1.60
Fluminense Away
Form Index 52
Goals 6:9
PPG 0.80
BRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
VASLCORDSANWINTLMirasL
2/5
Won
1/5
3/5
Scored
3/5
1/5
Scored 2+
2/5
3/5
Clean sheet
0/5
0/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
0/5
Over 2.5
2/5
1/5
BTTS
3/5

Gremio

BRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
Won 2/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 3/5
Conceded 2+ 0/5
Over 2.5 0/5
BTTS 1/5

Fluminense

VASLCORDSANWINTLMirasL
Won 1/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 3/5
Head-to-Head · Last 3
BTTS 2/3
Over 2.5 2/3
Fluminense unbeaten 3/3

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Gremio have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Scoring Concern

    Fluminense failed to score in 2/2 recent away matches

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Gremio Home
Fluminense Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • First half: Fluminense is stronger (11 vs 7).
  • Second half: Fluminense is stronger (19 vs 13).
  • Final stage: Fluminense is stronger in the closing minutes (11 vs 3).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.08 factor
Home Pressure 0.05 Away 0.18

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
3 0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
5 0.25
7 0.35
First Half (0–45)
11 0.55
13 0.65
Second Half (46–90)
19 0.95
3 0.15
Final Stage (76–90)
11 0.55

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.285 Strong
Pressure Away +0.123 Strong
Timing Away +0.025 Weak
Defense Home +0.060 Moderate

Momentum

Gremio Metric Fluminense
3 Positive Sequences 8
5 Comeback Goals 7
2 Negative Sequences 1
10 Killer Goals 10

Pressure

Gremio Metric Fluminense
3 Early Pressure 5
3 Late Pressure 11
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Gremio Metric Fluminense
3 Fast Starts 5
4 Half-time Spurts 6
10 Second Half Starts 8
3 Late Surges 11

Defense

Gremio Metric Fluminense
0 Early Conceded 3
3 Late Conceded 5
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • First half result: consider Fluminense to win the first half.
  • Second half winner: high probability of Fluminense winning the second half.
  • Late goals: Fluminense excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Fluminense holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Gremio

Momentum: moderate — stable overall. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Fluminense

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Fluminense has a significant second-half and late-game edge. Look at second-half result, late goals, and away win markets.

Gremio
Fluminense

Gremio vs Fluminense Head-to-head statistics for Sun 26 Jul, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR

7 Played 8
57% 4-2-1 Win Rate 25% 2-2-4
57 Form Index 49
6.95 Team Rating 6.78
61 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Gremio Fluminense Results 74 26 Attack 68 32 Defense 78 22 Control 15 85 Discipline 56 44 Efficiency 75 25 Average 61 39 39

Attack

1.57
Goals
1.25
1.31
Expected Goals
1.06
15.4
Shots
12.8
5.3
Shots on Target
4.6
4.3
Corners
5.1

Defense

0.86
Conceded
1.50
1.19
Expected Goals Against
1.07
12.6
Shots Allowed
13.1
+0.71
Goal Difference
-0.25
43%
Clean Sheets
13%

Possession & Passing

49%
Possession
61%
85%
Pass Accuracy
88%
383
Passes
528
325
Accurate Passes
467

Discipline

1.86
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
12.3
Fouls
13.9
1.6
Offsides
1.5

Efficiency

2
PPG
1
+0.26
Goals vs xG
+0.19
10%
Shot Conversion
10%
78%
Save %
76%

Gremio vs Fluminense: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Gremio and away matches for Fluminense

Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Fluminense
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Fluminense
Yes
30% 3
70% 7
No
70% 7
30% 3
1X2
Gremio
Fluminense
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Gremio
Fluminense
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Gremio
Fluminense
0-1
50% 5
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
0% 0
30% 3
Total Corners
Gremio
Under
Over
Fluminense
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Fluminense
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Gremio
Fluminense
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
40% 4
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Gremio
Fluminense
xG
0.69
1.15
xGa
1.28
1.1
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Fluminense
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Fluminense
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9
1X2
Gremio
Fluminense
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Gremio
Fluminense
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Gremio
Fluminense
0-1
90% 9
70% 7
2-3
10% 1
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Fluminense
Yes
80% 8
60% 6
No
20% 2
40% 4
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Fluminense
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Fluminense
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
1X2
Gremio
Fluminense
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
70% 7
50% 5
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Gremio
Fluminense
12
30% 3
50% 5
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
Gremio
Fluminense
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Fluminense
Yes
60% 6
20% 2
No
40% 4
80% 8
1.15 Expected goals 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Gremio will take on Fluminense as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-07-26 at 2026-07-26 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Gremio, and the visiting side, Fluminense. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-07-26 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

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