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Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Gremio
Gremio
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VS
21:00
28 Oct 2026
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 28 October, 2026 14:00

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Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
21:00
Gremio W 47%
:
Atletico Paranaense W 22%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

No lambda data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense Wednesday, Oct 28th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Trends for Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense Football 28 Oct, 2026 14:00

Team Form Comparison

Gremio Home
Form Index 57
Goals 4:2
PPG 1.60
Atletico Paranaense Away
Form Index 36
Goals 3:10
PPG 0.00
BRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
FLULBAHLATLLPALLVASL
2/5
Won
0/5
3/5
Scored
2/5
1/5
Scored 2+
1/5
3/5
Clean sheet
0/5
0/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
0/5
Over 2.5
3/5
1/5
BTTS
2/5

Gremio

BRADVITWREMDCORWFLAL
Won 2/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 3/5
Conceded 2+ 0/5
Over 2.5 0/5
BTTS 1/5

Atletico Paranaense

FLULBAHLATLLPALLVASL
Won 0/5
Scored 2/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 2/5
Head-to-Head · Last 1
BTTS 0/1
Over 2.5 0/1

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Gremio have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Scoring Concern

    Atletico Paranaense failed to score in 2/2 recent away matches

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Gremio Home
Atletico Paranaense Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Match start: Atletico Paranaense is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
  • First half: Atletico Paranaense is stronger (15 vs 7).
  • Final stage: Atletico Paranaense is stronger in the closing minutes (8 vs 3).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 16 matches
Home Momentum 0.08 factor
Home Pressure 0.05 Away 0.25

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
3 0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
9 0.56
7 0.35
First Half (0–45)
15 0.94
13 0.65
Second Half (46–90)
11 0.69
3 0.15
Final Stage (76–90)
8 0.50

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.053 Moderate
Pressure Away +0.195 Strong
Timing Away +0.031 Weak
Defense Home +0.043 Weak

Momentum

Gremio Metric Atletico Paranaense
3 Positive Sequences 3
5 Comeback Goals 2
2 Negative Sequences 0
10 Killer Goals 7

Pressure

Gremio Metric Atletico Paranaense
3 Early Pressure 9
3 Late Pressure 8
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Gremio Metric Atletico Paranaense
3 Fast Starts 9
4 Half-time Spurts 6
10 Second Half Starts 3
3 Late Surges 8

Defense

Gremio Metric Atletico Paranaense
0 Early Conceded 2
3 Late Conceded 3
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Away fast start: Atletico Paranaense often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 3).
  • First goal: high probability of Atletico Paranaense scoring first.
  • First half result: consider Atletico Paranaense to win the first half.
  • Late goals: Atletico Paranaense excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Atletico Paranaense holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Gremio

Momentum: moderate — stable overall. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Atletico Paranaense

Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Final advice

Atletico Paranaense is stronger in the final minutes. Consider late goals and last-goal markets.

Gremio
Atletico Paranaense

Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-head statistics for Wed 28 Oct, 2026 @ 14:00 Serie A BR

7 Played 7
57% 4-2-1 Win Rate 14% 1-1-5
57 Form Index 36
6.95 Team Rating 6.73
80 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Gremio Atletico Paranaense Results 83 17 Attack 99 1 Defense 86 14 Control 62 38 Discipline 61 39 Efficiency 93 7 Average 80 20 20

Attack

1.57
Goals
0.71
1.31
Expected Goals
0.64
15.4
Shots
9.6
5.3
Shots on Target
3.1
4.3
Corners
3.3

Defense

0.86
Conceded
1.57
1.19
Expected Goals Against
1.36
12.6
Shots Allowed
13.7
+0.71
Goal Difference
-0.86
43%
Clean Sheets
14%

Possession & Passing

49%
Possession
43%
85%
Pass Accuracy
83%
383
Passes
347
325
Accurate Passes
289

Discipline

1.86
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0.14
12.3
Fouls
13.9
1.6
Offsides
1.3

Efficiency

2
PPG
0.57
+0.26
Goals vs xG
+0.07
10%
Shot Conversion
7%
78%
Save %
68%

Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Gremio and away matches for Atletico Paranaense

Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0-1
50% 5
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Total Corners
Gremio
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
40% 4
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
xG
0.69
1.02
xGa
1.28
0.91
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0-1
90% 9
70% 7
2-3
10% 1
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
80% 8
40% 4
No
20% 2
60% 6
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Atletico Paranaense
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
1
10% 1
40% 4
X
70% 7
40% 4
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
12
30% 3
60% 6
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
90% 9
60% 6
Total Goals
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
1.20 Expected goals 0.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Gremio will take on Atletico Paranaense as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-10-28 at 2026-10-28 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Gremio, and the visiting side, Atletico Paranaense. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-10-28 Time: 21:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!