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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 33
Preview
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
6th place
Form
VS
19:15
11 May 2026
Arouca
Arouca
11th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : GIL Vicente or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

GIL Vicente vs Arouca: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 11 May, 2026 14:15

Winner (1x2)1.75
GIL Vicente to Win
Probability 56%
Total Goals2.04
Under 2.5
Probability 56%
Both Teams to Score2.00
No (NG)
Probability 53%
GIL Vicente Total1.32
Home Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Arouca Total1.30
Away Under 1.5
Probability 79%
Double Chance1.21
GIL Vicente/Draw
Probability 83%
Asian Handicap1.44
Arouca +1.5
Probability 72%
Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
19:15
GIL Vicente W 56%
:
Arouca W 17%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
GIL Vicente
w d l w d
16 Played
9 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (27 total)
xG
1.40 (21.8 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (230 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (34% acc)
Corners
5.2 (83 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.9 (206 total)
Offsides
1.3 (20 total)
16 Played
4 Wins
8 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (19 total)
xG
1.30 (21.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.7 (203 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (33% acc)
Corners
5.9 (95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
13.4 (215 total)
Offsides
1.6 (25 total)
32 Played
13 Wins
11 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (46 total)
xG
1.30 (42.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.5 (433 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (34% acc)
Corners
5.6 (178 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
12 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
13.2 (421 total)
Offsides
1.4 (45 total)
Arouca
w l w l d
16 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (24 total)
xG
1.10 (17.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.1 (161 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (40% acc)
Corners
3.9 (62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
14 (224 total)
Offsides
1.1 (17 total)
16 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (17 total)
xG
0.80 (12.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (164 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (26% acc)
Corners
3.4 (54 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (4 total)
Fouls
12.6 (201 total)
Offsides
1.5 (24 total)
32 Played
10 Wins
6 Draws
16 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (41 total)
xG
1.00 (30.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (325 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (33% acc)
Corners
3.6 (116 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (9 total)
Fouls
13.3 (425 total)
Offsides
1.3 (41 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.61 vs 0.84
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.22%
0:1
6.92%
0:2
2.35%
0:3
0.53%
0:4
0.09%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
14.79%
🔥
1:1
11.68%
1:2
4.52%
1:3
1.15%
1:4
0.22%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
10.71%
2:1
9.66%
2:2
4.22%
2:3
1.2%
2:4
0.25%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
5.17%
3:1
5.24%
3:2
2.56%
3:3
0.81%
3:4
0.19%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
1.87%
4:1
2.11%
4:2
1.14%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.54%
5:1
0.67%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.15%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (14.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.2%
0
21.7%
1
24.7%
2
19.9%
3
12.6%
4
6.6%
5
2.9%
6
1.0%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

GIL VicenteHDPArouca
10.8%
Very Low@ 6.00
-2.5
0.8%
Very Low
19.3%
Very Low@ 5.00
-2
2.5%
Very Low
27.9%
Low@ 3.18
-1.5
4.2%
@ 9.50Very Low
41.8%
Medium@ 2.27
-1
10.4%
@ 9.30Very Low
55.7%
Medium@ 1.70
-0.5
16.7%
@ 4.50Very Low
83.3%
Very High@ 1.19
+0.5
44.3%
@ 2.25Medium
89.6%
Very High@ 1.00
+1
58.2%
@ 1.70Medium
95.8%
Very High@ 1.04
+1.5
72.1%
@ 1.44High
97.5%
Very High
+2
80.7%
@ 1.17Very High
99.2%
Very High
+2.5
89.2%
@ 1.13Very High

Team Total Predictions

GIL VicenteOutcomeArouca
47.8%
Medium@ 1.82
Over 1.5
20.6%
@ 3.60Low
52.2%
Medium@ 2.11
Under 1.5
79.4%
@ 1.30High
21.9%
Low@ 3.60
Over 2.5
5.3%
@ 11.00Very Low
78.1%
High@ 1.32
Under 2.5
94.7%
@ 1.06Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for GIL Vicente vs Arouca Monday, May 11th, 2026 at 14:15 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

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Goals O/U Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 56.3%
EV: +14.9%
Stake: $2.40
2.04
Correct Score 1:0
Value
Prob: 14.9%
EV: +12.0%
Stake: $0.38
7.50
Asian Handicap Arouca +1.5
Value
Prob: 72.1%
EV: +3.9%
Stake: $5.68
1.44
Away Total Arouca Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 79.4%
EV: +3.3%
Stake: $8.33
1.30
Total Away Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 79.4%
EV: +3.3%
Stake: $8.33
1.30
Home Total GIL Vicente Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 78.1%
EV: +3.1%
Stake: $7.81
1.32
Total Home Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 78.1%
EV: +3.1%
Stake: $7.81
1.32
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-09 00:30:20
spinner

Trends for GIL Vicente vs Arouca Football 11 May, 2026 14:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    GIL Vicente have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    GIL Vicente rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

GIL Vicente vs Arouca

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Arouca is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 4).
🔄 Second Half: GIL Vicente is stronger in the second half (16 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: GIL Vicente is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 GIL Vicente

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.32
Pressure
0.16

✈️ Arouca

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 GIL Vicente - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55

✈️ Arouca - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 GIL Vicente - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Arouca - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Arouca often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 4)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Arouca scoring first
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: GIL Vicente shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 12 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of GIL Vicente winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: GIL Vicente excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of GIL Vicente scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: GIL Vicente has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider GIL Vicente handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.114
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.008
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (GIL Vicente):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Arouca):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

GIL Vicente
Arouca

GIL Vicente vs Arouca Head-to-head statistics for Mon 11 May, 2026 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
Famalicao
d d d w d
>
32
14
10
8
41
29
12
52
6
GIL Vicente
w d l w d
>
32
13
11
8
46
32
14
50
7
Moreirense
l d w l w
>
32
12
6
14
37
47
-10
42

10
Alverca
w w l w l
>
32
10
8
14
34
50
-16
38
11
Arouca
w l w l d
>
32
10
6
16
41
62
-21
36
12
Rio Ave
l w d l d
>
32
8
11
13
33
52
-19
35
Team comparison
Prediction
GIL Vicente Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
GIL Vicente
VS
Arouca
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
5 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (7)
1.6 (11)
xG
1.50
0.90
Shots
12.4 (87)
10 (70)
Shots on Target
4.1 (29)
5.3 (37)
Corners
6.1 (43)
3.9 (27)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 (11)
1 (7)
xGa
0.90
1.50
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 (11)
2.6 (18)
Fouls
11.4 (80)
14.4 (101)
Offsides
3.3 (23)
1.9 (13)
28 Dec
- 15:30
Arouca
GIL Vicente
1.35
xG
1.88
2
2
Prob 61%
Best Tip PREMIUM
Odd 2.01
10 May
- 19:30
GIL Vicente
Arouca
1.45
xG
0.87
1
1
27 Dec
- 20:15
Arouca
GIL Vicente
0.51
xG
1.27
1
1
26 Apr
- 19:15
GIL Vicente
Arouca
2
2
16 Dec
- 18:00
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
0
5 Feb
- 20:30
GIL Vicente
Arouca
1
1
15 Aug
- 17:00
Arouca
GIL Vicente
1
0
Last 6 Matches
GIL Vicente
VS
Arouca
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.33 PPG 1.67
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
33% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.30 Avg xG 1.21
GIL Vicente
W D L W D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 May 2026 - 19:30
Rio Ave
0 0
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Apr 2026 - 19:15
GIL Vicente
2 1
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Apr 2026 - 19:30
GIL Vicente
0 1
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Apr 2026 - 19:15
Tondela
2 2
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Apr 2026 - 14:30
GIL Vicente
3 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Santa Clara
1 0
GIL Vicente
Arouca
W L W L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 May 2026 - 14:30
Arouca
2 2
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Apr 2026 - 19:15
Alverca
2 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Apr 2026 - 14:30
Arouca
1 0
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Apr 2026 - 17:00
SC Braga
1 0
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Apr 2026 - 17:45
Arouca
3 2
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Moreirense
0 1
Arouca

GIL Vicente vs Arouca: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for GIL Vicente and away matches for Arouca

Number of goals
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
GIL Vicente
Arouca
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
1X2
GIL Vicente
Arouca
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
GIL Vicente
Arouca
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
GIL Vicente
Arouca
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
40% 4
30% 3
Total Corners
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
GIL Vicente
Arouca
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
GIL Vicente
Arouca
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
GIL Vicente
Arouca
xG
1.34
1.29
xGa
1.14
1.2
Number of goals
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
GIL Vicente
Arouca
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
GIL Vicente
Arouca
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
60% 6
70% 7
2
10% 1
20% 2
Double Chance
GIL Vicente
Arouca
12
40% 4
30% 3
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
GIL Vicente
Arouca
0-1
60% 6
80% 8
2-3
40% 4
10% 1
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
GIL Vicente
Arouca
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
Arouca
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
GIL Vicente
Arouca
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
GIL Vicente
Arouca
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
GIL Vicente
Arouca
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
GIL Vicente
Arouca
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
GIL Vicente
Arouca
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1.60 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 9
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, GIL Vicente will take on Arouca as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-05-11 at 2026-05-11 in the famous Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. The referee for the game will be M. Fonseca. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, GIL Vicente, and the visiting side, Arouca. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : GIL Vicente or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-11 Time: 19:15 Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!