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Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 37
Preview
Genoa
Genoa
14th place
Form
VS
13:00
17 May 2026
AC Milan
AC Milan
4th place
Form
AI Prediction Combo Double chance : Genoa or draw and -3.5 goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Genoa vs AC Milan: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 17 May, 2026 8:00

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Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
13:00
Genoa W 29%
:
AC Milan W 43%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Genoa
w w l d d
18 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (21 total)
xG
1.20 (20.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (207 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (34% acc)
Corners
3.4 (62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.7 (228 total)
Offsides
1.3 (24 total)
18 Played
4 Wins
7 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (19 total)
xG
1.10 (19.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.8 (195 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (34% acc)
Corners
3.6 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.1 (218 total)
Offsides
1.2 (22 total)
36 Played
10 Wins
11 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (40 total)
xG
1.10 (40.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (402 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (34% acc)
Corners
3.5 (126 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
12.4 (446 total)
Offsides
1.3 (46 total)
AC Milan
l w d l l
18 Played
9 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (24 total)
xG
1.60 (28.5 total)
Shots per Match
15.4 (278 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (32% acc)
Corners
4.7 (84 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (39%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
10.2 (183 total)
Offsides
1.7 (30 total)
18 Played
10 Wins
5 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (26 total)
xG
1.40 (24.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (184 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (35% acc)
Corners
3.4 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.3 (168 total)
Offsides
1.9 (35 total)
36 Played
19 Wins
10 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (50 total)
xG
1.50 (52.9 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (462 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (33% acc)
Corners
4 (145 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
15 (42%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (5 total)
Fouls
9.8 (351 total)
Offsides
1.8 (65 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Genoa vs AC Milan Sunday, May 17th, 2026 at 8:00 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-11 03:00:20
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Trends for Genoa vs AC Milan Football 17 May, 2026 8:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    AC Milan have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Genoa struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/9 recent home matches

🎯 Betting Analysis

Genoa vs AC Milan

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Genoa is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Genoa is stronger in the first half (8 vs 4).
⚡ Final Stage: Genoa is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Genoa

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.07
Pressure
0.15

✈️ AC Milan

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Genoa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ AC Milan - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Genoa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4

✈️ AC Milan - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Genoa often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Genoa scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Genoa is stronger in the first half (8 vs 4)
  • First Half Result: Consider Genoa to win the first half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Genoa excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Genoa scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: AC Milan has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider AC Milan handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.03
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.088
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Genoa):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (AC Milan):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Genoa
AC Milan

Genoa vs AC Milan Head-to-head statistics for Sun 17 May, 2026 @ 8:00 Serie A

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
Juventus
w w d d w
>
36
19
11
6
59
30
29
68
4
AC Milan
l w d l l
>
36
19
10
7
50
32
18
67
5
AS Roma
w d w w w
>
36
21
4
11
55
31
24
67

13
Parma
d w w l l
>
36
10
12
14
27
45
-18
42
14
Genoa
w w l d d
>
36
10
11
15
40
48
-8
41
15
Fiorentina
w d d l d
>
36
8
14
14
38
49
-11
38
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : Genoa or draw and -3.5 goals
Under/Over: -3.5*
Goals Home: -1.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Genoa
VS
AC Milan
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
3 Draws
4 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (5)
1.7 (12)
xG
0.50
1.50
Shots
7.4 (52)
18.6 (130)
Shots on Target
2 (14)
5.3 (37)
Corners
2.6 (18)
6.6 (46)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (12)
0.7 (5)
xGa
1.50
0.50
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
4 (57%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 (11)
2.3 (16)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
12 (84)
11.7 (82)
Offsides
1 (7)
2.3 (16)
8 Jan
- 19:45
AC Milan
Genoa
2.32
xG
0.53
1
1
Prob 74%
Home Total Over 1.5
Odd 1.68
5 May
- 18:45
Genoa
AC Milan
0.57
xG
1.09
1
2
15 Dec
- 19:45
AC Milan
Genoa
1.11
xG
0.28
0
0
5 May
- 16:00
AC Milan
Genoa
3
3
7 Oct
- 18:45
Genoa
AC Milan
0
1
15 Apr
- 19:00
AC Milan
Genoa
2
0
1 Dec
- 19:45
Genoa
AC Milan
0
3
Last 6 Matches
Genoa
VS
AC Milan
2/6 (33%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
1.33 PPG 0.67
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.50
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
33% BTTS % 17%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.98 Avg xG 0.92
Genoa
W W L D D
Serie A 2025-2026
10 May 2026 - 13:00
Fiorentina
0 0
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
2 May 2026 - 18:45
Atalanta
0 0
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
26 Apr 2026 - 13:00
Genoa
0 2
Como
Serie A 2025-2026
19 Apr 2026 - 16:00
Pisa
1 2
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
12 Apr 2026 - 10:30
Genoa
2 1
Sassuolo
Serie A 2025-2026
6 Apr 2026 - 16:00
Juventus
2 0
Genoa
AC Milan
L W D L L
Serie A 2025-2026
10 May 2026 - 18:45
AC Milan
2 3
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
3 May 2026 - 13:00
Sassuolo
2 0
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
26 Apr 2026 - 18:45
AC Milan
0 0
Juventus
Serie A 2025-2026
19 Apr 2026 - 13:00
Verona
0 1
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
11 Apr 2026 - 16:00
AC Milan
0 3
Udinese
Serie A 2025-2026
6 Apr 2026 - 18:45
Napoli
1 0
AC Milan

Genoa vs AC Milan: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Genoa and away matches for AC Milan

Number of goals
Genoa
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Genoa
AC Milan
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Genoa
AC Milan
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
Genoa
AC Milan
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Genoa
AC Milan
0-1
20% 2
50% 5
2-3
80% 8
30% 3
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Total Corners
Genoa
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Genoa
AC Milan
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Genoa
AC Milan
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Genoa
AC Milan
xG
1.04
1.16
xGa
1.1
1.01
Number of goals
Genoa
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Genoa
AC Milan
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9
1X2
Genoa
AC Milan
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Genoa
AC Milan
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
Genoa
AC Milan
0-1
80% 8
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Genoa
AC Milan
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Number of goals
Genoa
Under
Over
AC Milan
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Genoa
AC Milan
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Genoa
AC Milan
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Genoa
AC Milan
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Genoa
AC Milan
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Genoa
AC Milan
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1.08 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
Serie A 2025/26 Season Preview: The Scudetto, Surprises, and the Race for Glory
Posted on
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Genoa will take on AC Milan as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 37 and will take place on 2026-05-17 at 2026-05-17 in the famous Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Genoa, and the visiting side, AC Milan. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Genoa or draw and -3.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-17 Time: 13:00 Location: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!