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Form
Form
Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 33
Preview
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
10th place
Form
VS
17:30
10 May 2026
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
13th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 10 May, 2026 12:30

Winner (1x2)1.80
FSV Mainz 05 to Win
Probability 64%
Total Goals2.22
Under 2.5
Probability 51%
Both Teams to Score2.20
No (NG)
Probability 53%
FSV Mainz 05 Total1.34
Home Under 2.5
Probability 71%
Union Berlin Total1.37
Away Under 1.5
Probability 82%
Double Chance1.24
FSV Mainz 05/Draw
Probability 87%
Asian Handicap1.43
Union Berlin +1.5
Probability 62%
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Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
17:30
FSV Mainz 05 W 64%
:
Union Berlin W 13%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
FSV Mainz 05
l l d l w
22 Played
10 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (33 total)
xG
1.50 (33.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.6 (300 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (32% acc)
Corners
5.8 (128 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.8 (260 total)
Offsides
2.4 (52 total)
22 Played
6 Wins
7 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (24 total)
xG
1.10 (24.5 total)
Shots per Match
10 (219 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (34% acc)
Corners
4.2 (92 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
10.2 (224 total)
Offsides
2.5 (54 total)
44 Played
16 Wins
12 Draws
16 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (57 total)
xG
1.30 (58.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (519 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (33% acc)
Corners
5 (220 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (6 total)
Fouls
11 (484 total)
Offsides
2.4 (106 total)
Union Berlin
d l l l d
16 Played
4 Wins
7 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (22 total)
xG
1.30 (21.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (204 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (31% acc)
Corners
5.1 (82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.8 (188 total)
Offsides
1.4 (22 total)
16 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (15 total)
xG
1.00 (16.8 total)
Shots per Match
11 (176 total)
Shots on Target
3 (27% acc)
Corners
4.3 (69 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.3 (197 total)
Offsides
1.8 (28 total)
32 Played
8 Wins
9 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (37 total)
xG
1.20 (38.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (380 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (29% acc)
Corners
4.7 (151 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
12 (385 total)
Offsides
1.6 (50 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.89 vs 0.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.43%
0:1
5.03%
0:2
1.5%
0:3
0.3%
0:4
0.04%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
14.47%
🔥
1:1
10.09%
1:2
3.45%
1:3
0.77%
1:4
0.13%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
12.42%
2:1
9.92%
2:2
3.83%
2:3
0.96%
2:4
0.18%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
7.1%
3:1
6.39%
3:2
2.77%
3:3
0.77%
3:4
0.16%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
3.05%
4:1
3.05%
4:2
1.47%
4:3
0.45%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
1.05%
5:1
1.15%
5:2
0.61%
5:3
0.21%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (14.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.4%
0
19.5%
1
24.0%
2
20.8%
3
14.1%
4
8.0%
5
3.6%
6
1.2%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

FSV Mainz 05HDPUnion Berlin
17.4%
Very Low@ 6.00
-2.5
0.6%
Very Low
27.5%
Low@ 4.65
-2
1.9%
Very Low
37.5%
Low@ 3.02
-1.5
3.2%
@ 9.50Very Low
51.0%
Medium@ 2.33
-1
8.1%
@ 8.90Very Low
64.5%
High@ 1.76
-0.5
12.9%
@ 4.25Very Low
87.1%
Very High@ 1.25
+0.5
35.5%
@ 2.23Low
91.9%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
49.0%
@ 1.72Medium
96.8%
Very High@ 1.04
+1.5
62.5%
@ 1.46High
98.1%
Very High
+2
72.5%
@ 1.18High
99.4%
Very High
+2.5
82.6%
@ 1.14Very High

Team Total Predictions

FSV Mainz 05OutcomeUnion Berlin
56.3%
Medium@ 1.70
Over 1.5
18.1%
@ 3.32Very Low
43.7%
Medium@ 2.21
Under 1.5
82.0%
@ 1.36Very High
29.4%
Low@ 3.30
Over 2.5
4.3%
@ 9.00Very Low
70.6%
High@ 1.37
Under 2.5
95.7%
@ 1.08Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Sunday, May 10th, 2026 at 12:30 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

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Correct Score 1:0
High Value
Prob: 14.1%
EV: +19.6%
Stake: $0.33
8.50
Goals Over/under Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 51.3%
EV: +13.8%
Stake: $2.05
2.22
Match Winner FSV Mainz 05
Value
Prob: 64.4%
EV: +13.3%
Stake: $3.29
1.76
Away Total Union Berlin Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 82%
EV: +12.3%
Stake: $6.76
1.37
Total Away Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 82%
EV: +12.3%
Stake: $6.76
1.37
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 87.1%
EV: +8.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.24
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 87.1%
EV: +6.3%
Stake: $10.00
1.22
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-09 08:28:32
spinner

Trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Football 10 May, 2026 12:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent home matches

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    FSV Mainz 05 create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 FSV Mainz 05

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.18

✈️ Union Berlin

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Union Berlin - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Union Berlin - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
9

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: FSV Mainz 05 often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of FSV Mainz 05 scoring first
  • Overall Result: FSV Mainz 05 has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider FSV Mainz 05 handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.265
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.065
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Union Berlin):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin

FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Head-to-head statistics for Sun 10 May, 2026 @ 12:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
FC Augsburg
d w d w w
>
33
12
7
14
45
57
-12
43
10
FSV Mainz 05
w l d l w
>
32
9
10
13
41
50
-9
37
11
33
8
11
14
38
53
-15
35
12
Hamburger SV
d l l l w
>
32
8
10
14
36
51
-15
34
13
Union Berlin
d l l l d
>
32
8
9
15
37
57
-20
33
14
1.FC Köln
d w d l d
>
32
7
11
14
47
55
-8
32
Team comparison
Prediction
Union Berlin Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
FSV Mainz 05
VS
Union Berlin
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
4 Draws
5 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (9)
1.9 (17)
xG
1.40
1.60
Shots
12 (108)
12.6 (113)
Shots on Target
4 (36)
3.9 (35)
Corners
4.1 (37)
3.9 (35)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 (17)
1 (9)
xGa
1.60
1.40
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (16)
2.3 (21)
Red Cards
0.2 (2)
0 (0)
Fouls
12 (108)
12.1 (109)
Offsides
1.1 (10)
1.2 (11)
10 Jan
- 14:30
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
2.23
xG
1.10
2
2
Prob 79%
Best Tip PREMIUM
Odd 1.32
19 Jan
- 14:30
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
2.08
xG
1.69
2
1
24 Aug
- 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1.44
xG
0.50
1
1
7 Feb
- 17:30
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1
1
20 Aug
- 13:30
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
4
1
4 Feb
- 14:30
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
2
1
14 Aug
- 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
0
0
26 Feb
- 14:30
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
3
1
3 Oct
- 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1
2
Last 6 Matches
FSV Mainz 05
VS
Union Berlin
2/6 (33%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
1.67 PPG 0.33
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 2.50
50% BTTS % 83%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.39 Avg xG 1.10
FSV Mainz 05
L L D L W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 May 2026 - 13:30
FC St. Pauli
1 2
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Apr 2026 - 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
3 4
Bayern München
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Apr 2026 - 17:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 1
FSV Mainz 05
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
16 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Strasbourg
4 0
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Apr 2026 - 17:30
FSV Mainz 05
0 1
SC Freiburg
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
9 Apr 2026 - 19:00
FSV Mainz 05
2 0
Strasbourg
Union Berlin
D L L L D
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 May 2026 - 13:30
Union Berlin
2 2
1.FC Köln
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Apr 2026 - 18:30
RB Leipzig
3 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Apr 2026 - 13:30
Union Berlin
1 2
VfL Wolfsburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Apr 2026 - 13:30
1. FC Heidenheim
3 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
5 Apr 2026 - 13:30
Union Berlin
1 1
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 14:30
Bayern München
4 0
Union Berlin

FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for FSV Mainz 05 and away matches for Union Berlin

Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Union Berlin
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1
60% 6
20% 2
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
30% 3
60% 6
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
70% 7
40% 4
X2
40% 4
80% 8
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
0-1
10% 1
30% 3
2-3
70% 7
20% 2
4+
20% 2
50% 5
Total Corners
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Union Berlin
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
50% 5
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
xG(xGa)
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
xG
1.44
0.9
xGa
1.17
1.96
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Union Berlin
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1
40% 4
10% 1
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
20% 2
70% 7
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
80% 8
30% 3
X2
60% 6
90% 9
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Union Berlin
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Yes
0% 0
40% 4
No
100% 10
60% 6
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
60% 6
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
Missing Players
FSV Mainz 05
34
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
7
f
- Injured - Toe Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Broken shinbone
34
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
7
f
- Injured - Toe Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Broken shinbone
Union Berlin
17
f
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Hand Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
24
m
- Injured - Muscle Injury
17
f
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Hand Injury
- Injured - Muscle Injury
24
m
- Injured - Muscle Injury
11
f
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
11
f
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.86 xG 0.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 8
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FSV Mainz 05 will take on Union Berlin as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-05-10 at 2026-05-10 in the famous MEWA ARENA. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FSV Mainz 05, and the visiting side, Union Berlin. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-10 Time: 17:30 Location: MEWA ARENA Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!