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FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 18 December, 2025 14:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.35 vs 2.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.84%
0:1
8.22%
⭐
0:2
6.97%
⭐
0:3
3.95%
⭐
0:4
1.67%
0:5
0.57%
⭐
1
1:0
5.02%
⭐
1:1
10.04%
🔥
⭐
1:2
9.81%
⭐
1:3
6.27%
⭐
1:4
2.97%
1:5
1.11%
2
2:0
2.6%
2:1
5.99%
⭐
2:2
6.66%
2:3
4.79%
⭐
2:4
2.52%
⭐
2:5
1.04%
⭐
3
3:0
0.9%
3:1
2.34%
⭐
3:2
2.93%
⭐
3:3
2.35%
3:4
1.37%
⭐
3:5
0.62%
⭐
4
4:0
0.23%
4:1
0.68%
⭐
4:2
0.94%
4:3
0.84%
⭐
4:4
0.54%
4:5
0.27%
5
5:0
0.05%
⭐
5:1
0.16%
5:2
0.24%
5:3
0.23%
5:4
0.16%
⭐
5:5
0.09%
⭐
Hotspot:
1:1 (10.0%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
FSV Mainz 05
VS
Samsunspor
1/6 (17%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
2.25
PPG
2.50
0.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.83
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
50%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.01
Avg xG
1.68
1.35
xG [Total: 3.36]
2.01
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
6
Corners [Total: 11]
5
3
Offsides [Total: 5]
2
13
Fouls [Total: 27]
14
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
5
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase matchup, FSV Mainz 05 will take on Samsunspor as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 6 and will take place on 2025-12-18 at 2025-12-18 in the famous MEWA ARENA.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FSV Mainz 05, and the visiting side, Samsunspor. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-18
Time: 20:00
Location: MEWA ARENA
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor Football 18 Dec, 2025 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
FSV Mainz 05 have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
FSV Mainz 05(6 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%FSV Mainz 05 score 2.33 goals/match at home (+67% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%FSV Mainz 05 concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- WonRecent3/3100%FSV Mainz 05 have won their last 3 3 matches
- UnbeatenRecent3/3100%FSV Mainz 05 are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent3/3100%FSV Mainz 05 create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent3/3100%FSV Mainz 05 have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
Samsunspor(8 trends)
- UnbeatenRecent2/2100%Samsunspor are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent2/2100%Samsunspor create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 UEFA Conference League (Away) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent2/2100%Samsunspor have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 UEFA Conference League (Away) matches
- UnbeatenRecent4/4100%Samsunspor are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent4/4100%Samsunspor create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 4 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
- WonRecent3/475%Samsunspor have won 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
- HT/FT WinsRecent3/475%Samsunspor have won at HT/FT in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent3/475%Samsunspor efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
FSV Mainz 05(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague2/367%FSV Mainz 05 score (2.33/match) and concede (0.67/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 48%)
Samsunspor(1 trends)
- BTTS NoRecent3/475%At least one team failed to score in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
FSV Mainz 05(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%FSV Mainz 05 score 2.33 goals/match at home (+67% above league average)
- Good Goal RatioRecent3/3100%FSV Mainz 05 have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
Samsunspor(2 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent2/2100%Samsunspor have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 UEFA Conference League (Away) matches
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent3/475%Over 2.5 goals in their last 3 UEFA Conference League matches
Combined 2.3 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05(3 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%FSV Mainz 05 concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- UnbeatenRecent3/3100%FSV Mainz 05 are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent5/683%FSV Mainz 05 are undefeated at half time in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Conference League matches
Samsunspor(4 trends)
- UnbeatenRecent2/2100%Samsunspor are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent2/2100%Samsunspor are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
- UnbeatenRecent4/4100%Samsunspor are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent4/4100%Samsunspor are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05(6 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague3/375%FSV Mainz 05 score 2.33 goals/match at home (+67% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague3/370%FSV Mainz 05 concede only 0.67 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%FSV Mainz 05 scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent3/3100%FSV Mainz 05 conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 3 3 matches
- Scored 1+Recent5/683%FSV Mainz 05 scored 1+ goals in 5 of their last 6 UEFA Conference League matches
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent5/683%FSV Mainz 05 conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 5 6 matches
Samsunspor(8 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent2/2100%Samsunspor scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Samsunspor score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 1+Recent4/4100%Samsunspor scored 1+ goals in their last 4 4 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent4/4100%Samsunspor score in first half in their last 4 4 matches
- Scored 2+Recent3/475%Samsunspor scored 2+ goals in their last 3 4 matches
- Clean SheetsRecent3/475%Samsunspor kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent3/475%Samsunspor conceded under 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/475%Samsunspor score in second half in their last 3 4 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
FSV Mainz 05(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague6/690%FSV Mainz 05 average 1.8 cards/match in all matches (-21% below league avg 2.3)
Samsunspor(1 trends)
- Few CardsRecent3/475%Samsunspor receive 0-1 card in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
FSV Mainz 05(1 trends) — avg 6.3 (+40% above league)
- Many CornersLeague3/385%FSV Mainz 05 average 6.3 corners/match at home (+40% above league avg 4.5)
Samsunspor(1 trends) — avg 4.5 (-6% below league)
- Few CornersRecent3/475%Samsunspor win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
FSV Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FSV Mainz 05
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Samsunspor
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Samsunspor - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Samsunspor - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider FSV Mainz 05 to win the first half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: FSV Mainz 05 excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of FSV Mainz 05 scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Samsunspor has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Samsunspor handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.078
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.073
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Samsunspor):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor Head-to-head statistics for Thu 18 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 UEFA Conference League
FSV Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FSV Mainz 05 and away matches for Samsunspor
Number of goals
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Samsunspor
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
60%
6
0%
0
Double Chance
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
40%
4
100%
10
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Samsunspor
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
40%
4
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
xG
1.24
1.9
xGa
1.66
0.8
Number of goals
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Samsunspor
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
1
20%
2
50%
5
X
30%
3
50%
5
2
50%
5
0%
0
Double Chance
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
12
70%
7
50%
5
1X
50%
5
100%
10
X2
80%
8
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Samsunspor
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
10%
1
50%
5
2
60%
6
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
12
90%
9
50%
5
1X
40%
4
90%
9
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : FSV Mainz 05 or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.74%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 39.08% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 60.92% | Medium | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 59.67% | Medium | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 40.33% | Low | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 15.46% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 84.54% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 32.60% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 67.40% | Medium | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
FSV Mainz 05
Samsunspor
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.3 | 7 | 0.7 | 2 | 1.5 | 9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1.8 | 11 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 19 | 6.3 | 19 | 6.3 | 38 |
| Fouls | 14.3 | 43 | 11.7 | 35 | 13 | 78 |
| Offsides | 3 | 9 | 2.7 | 8 | 2.8 | 17 |
| Shots | 16 | 48 | 12.7 | 38 | 14.3 | 86 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.7 | 14 | 2.3 | 7 | 3.5 | 21 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 3 | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 2.3 | 9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 2 | |
| Yellow Cards | 0 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.8 | 3 | |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.8 | 3 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 7 | 4.5 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 21 | 10 | 20 | 10.3 | 41 |
| Offsides | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2.5 | 10 |
| Shots | 14 | 28 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 52 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.5 | 13 | 4.5 | 9 | 5.5 | 22 |