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Fluminense vs Bahia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 13:00
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ACCA Safe Tip
High Safety
Total - Home
Fluminense Over 1.5 Goals
Odds:
1.93
70.8%
EV: +36.6%
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.86 vs 0.90
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.76%
0:1
2.22%
0:2
0.89%
0:3
0.24%
0:4
0.05%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
7.63%
1:1
6.39%
1:2
2.67%
1:3
0.74%
1:4
0.15%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
10.54%
🔥
2:1
9.2%
2:2
4%
2:3
1.16%
2:4
0.25%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
9.71%
⭐
3:1
8.82%
⭐
3:2
3.99%
⭐
3:3
1.2%
⭐
3:4
0.27%
⭐
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
6.7%
⭐
4:1
6.33%
⭐
4:2
2.97%
⭐
4:3
0.92%
⭐
4:4
0.21%
⭐
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
3.7%
⭐
5:1
3.63%
⭐
5:2
1.76%
⭐
5:3
0.57%
⭐
5:4
0.14%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
2:0 (10.5%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Fluminense
VS
Bahia
4/6 (67%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
2.33
PPG
1.33
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
0.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
33%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.61
Avg xG
2.06
2.86
xG [Total: 3.76]
0.90
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
5
Corners [Total: 8]
4
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
2
14
Fouls [Total: 26]
12
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
4
In this exciting Serie A (Brazil) 2025 matchup, Fluminense will take on Bahia as part of the 2025 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Fluminense, and the visiting side, Bahia. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Fluminense or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-07
Time: 19:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Fluminense vs Bahia Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 13:00 Football
Value Bets
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Safe Tip
High Value
Home Total
Fluminense Over 1.5
Odds:
1.93
70.8%
EV: +36.6%
Kelly: $19.69
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Trends for Fluminense vs Bahia Football 7 Dec, 2025 13:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Fluminense keep clean sheets in 88% of home games — hard to break down
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Fluminense create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Fluminense vs Bahia, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Fluminense @ 1.68 ✅ 
Fluminense
- Above League AverageLeague15/1575%Fluminense score 1.67 goals/match at home (+34% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague15/1570%Fluminense concede only 0.60 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent14/14100%Fluminense create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Serie A (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Fluminense have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Serie A (Home) matches
Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — Fluminense to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.84 
Fluminense(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague10/1567%Fluminense score well (1.67/match) but have strong defense at home (0.60 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 67% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.87 ✅
Fluminense(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague15/1575%Fluminense score 1.67 goals/match at home (+34% above league average)
- Good Goal RatioRecent14/14100%Fluminense have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 Serie A (Home) matches
Bahia(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1580%Bahia scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Serie A (Away) matches
Combined 1.7 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — Fluminense Win or Draw @ 1.16 ⚠️
Fluminense
- League Best DefenseLeague15/1570%Fluminense concede only 0.60 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
- Undefeated at HTRecent12/1486%Fluminense are undefeated at half time in their last 12 14 matches
Fluminense demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Fluminense Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.84 ✅
Fluminense
- Above League AverageLeague15/1575%Fluminense score 1.67 goals/match at home (+34% above league average)
Fluminense's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Fluminense(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague37/3790%Fluminense average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 2.6) — rank #2 lowest in league
Both teams disciplined - • H2H average: 5 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.90 ⚠️ 
Bahia(1 trends) — avg 4.3 (-15% below league)
- Few CornersLeague15/1580%Bahia average 4.3 corners/match in away matches (-15% below league avg 5.0)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.90
+16 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Fluminense vs Bahia
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Fluminense
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Bahia
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Fluminense - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Bahia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Fluminense - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Bahia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Fluminense has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Fluminense handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.09
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.02
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Fluminense):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bahia):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Fluminense vs Bahia Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 13:00 Serie A
Fluminense vs Bahia: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Fluminense and away matches for Bahia
Number of goals
Number of goals
Fluminense
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Fluminense
Bahia
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Fluminense
Bahia
1
60%
6
50%
5
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Fluminense
Bahia
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
40%
4
50%
5
Total Goals
Total Goals
Fluminense
Bahia
0-1
50%
5
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
10%
1
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Fluminense
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Fluminense
Bahia
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Fluminense
Bahia
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Fluminense
Bahia
xG
1.36
1.94
xGa
0.84
1
Number of goals
Number of goals
Fluminense
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Fluminense
Bahia
Yes
0%
0
10%
1
No
100%
10
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Fluminense
Bahia
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Fluminense
Bahia
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Fluminense
Bahia
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Fluminense
Bahia
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
Number of goals
Number of goals
Fluminense
Under
Over
Bahia
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Fluminense
Bahia
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Fluminense
Bahia
1
20%
2
60%
6
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Fluminense
Bahia
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
80%
8
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Fluminense
Bahia
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Fluminense
Bahia
Yes
60%
6
70%
7
No
40%
4
30%
3
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.80%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 77.89% | High | 1.84 |
| Under 1.5 | 22.11% | Low | 2.00 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 22.75% | Low | 4.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 77.25% | High | 1.22 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 54.47% | Medium | 3.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 45.53% | Low | 1.30 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 6.29% | Low | 15.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 93.71% | High | 1.04 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Fluminense
Bahia
Played:
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
3
3
Goals
3
3
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
3
2
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
1
1
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
2
2
Corners
8
8
13
13
Fouls
17
17
1
1
Offsides
0
8
8
Shots
17
17
5
5
Shots on Goal
6
6
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 18 | 19 | 37 | |||
| Wins | 14 | 4 | 18 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 9 | 12 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 29 | 1 | 19 | 1.3 | 48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 11 | 1.5 | 28 | 1.1 | 39 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 35 | 2 | 38 | 2 | 73 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.1 | 3 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 9 | 0.3 | 6 | 0.4 | 15 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 97 | 3.5 | 66 | 4.4 | 163 |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 237 | 12.3 | 234 | 12.7 | 471 |
| Offsides | 0.9 | 16 | 0.9 | 18 | 0.9 | 34 |
| Shots | 14.7 | 264 | 9.9 | 189 | 12.2 | 453 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.8 | 86 | 3.2 | 61 | 4 | 147 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 19 | 18 | 37 | |||
| Wins | 14 | 3 | 17 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 6 | 9 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 9 | 11 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 33 | 0.9 | 17 | 1.4 | 50 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 14 | 1.7 | 30 | 1.2 | 44 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.1 | 39 | 2.3 | 41 | 2.2 | 80 |
| Red Cards | 0.2 | 3 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.2 | 6 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 10 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.4 | 13 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 100 | 4.2 | 76 | 4.8 | 176 |
| Fouls | 12.5 | 237 | 11.6 | 209 | 12.1 | 446 |
| Offsides | 1.1 | 21 | 1.2 | 21 | 1.1 | 42 |
| Shots | 15.9 | 302 | 11.6 | 208 | 13.8 | 510 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.6 | 106 | 3.8 | 68 | 4.7 | 174 |
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