Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Flamengo
Flamengo
Form
VS
20:00
26 Jul 2026
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 26 July, 2026 13:00

Winner (1x2)-
Flamengo to Win
Probability 77%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 67%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 52%
Flamengo Total-
Home Over 1.5
Probability 75%
Sao Paulo Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 95%
Double Chance-
Flamengo/Draw
Probability 92%
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Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
20:00
Flamengo W 65%
:
Sao Paulo W 14%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.69 vs 0.80
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.77%
0:1
2.43%
0:2
0.79%
0:3
0.17%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
9.56%
1:1
6.75%
1:2
2.37%
1:3
0.55%
1:4
0.1%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
12.12%
🔥
2:1
9.3%
2:2
3.52%
2:3
0.88%
2:4
0.16%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
10.24%
3:1
8.49%
3:2
3.46%
3:3
0.93%
3:4
0.18%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
6.49%
4:1
5.78%
4:2
2.52%
4:3
0.72%
4:4
0.15%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
3.29%
5:1
3.13%
5:2
1.46%
5:3
0.44%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 2:0 (12.1%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.8%
0
12.0%
1
19.7%
2
22.1%
3
19.1%
4
13.5%
5
6.8%
6
2.4%
7
0.6%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

FlamengoHDPSao Paulo
34.8%
Low
-2.5
0.5%
Very Low
45.6%
Medium
-2
1.4%
Very Low
56.5%
Medium
-1.5
2.2%
Very Low
67.0%
High
-1
5.3%
Very Low
77.5%
High
-0.5
8.3%
Very Low
91.7%
Very High
+0.5
22.5%
Low
94.7%
Very High
+1
33.0%
Low
97.7%
Very High
+1.5
43.5%
Medium
98.6%
Very High
+2
54.4%
Medium
99.5%
Very High
+2.5
65.2%
High

Team Total Predictions

FlamengoOutcomeSao Paulo
75.0%
High
Over 1.5
19.1%
Very Low
25.1%
Low
Under 1.5
80.9%
Very High
50.4%
Medium
Over 2.5
4.7%
Very Low
49.6%
Medium
Under 2.5
95.3%
Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Sunday, Jul 26th, 2026 at 13:00 Football

AI Value Bets

No value bets found for this match.(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Football 26 Jul, 2026 13:00

Team Form Comparison

Flamengo Home
Form Index 73
Goals 12:3
PPG 2.60
Sao Paulo Away
Form Index 44
Goals 5:10
PPG 0.20
CRUWREMWSANWBAHWVASD
INTDVITLVASLCORLFLUL
4/5
Won
0/5
5/5
Scored
4/5
5/5
Scored 2+
1/5
3/5
Clean sheet
0/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
4/5
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
2/5
BTTS
4/5

Flamengo

CRUWREMWSANWBAHWVASD
Won 4/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 5/5
Clean sheet 3/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 2/5

Sao Paulo

INTDVITLVASLCORLFLUL
Won 0/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 0/5
Conceded 2+ 4/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 4/5
Head-to-Head · Last 3
BTTS 2/3
Over 2.5 2/3
Sao Paulo unbeaten 2/2

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Late Goals Expected

    Both teams score in 2nd half consistently (Flamengo 100%, Sao Paulo 100%) — expect late drama

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Flamengo have league's best defense — hard to break down

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Flamengo Home
Sao Paulo Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Final stage: Sao Paulo is stronger in the closing minutes (7 vs 4).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the home team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Moderate 20 matches
Away Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.28 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.11

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
4 0.20
Fast Start (0–15)
3 0.15
8 0.40
First Half (0–45)
8 0.40
10 0.50
Second Half (46–90)
13 0.65
4 0.20
Final Stage (76–90)
7 0.35

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.021 Weak
Pressure Away +0.040 Weak
Timing Away +0.008 Weak
Defense Away +0.068 Moderate

Momentum

Flamengo Metric Sao Paulo
4 Positive Sequences 8
9 Comeback Goals 2
2 Negative Sequences 0
5 Killer Goals 10

Pressure

Flamengo Metric Sao Paulo
4 Early Pressure 3
4 Late Pressure 7
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Flamengo Metric Sao Paulo
4 Fast Starts 3
4 Half-time Spurts 5
6 Second Half Starts 6
4 Late Surges 7

Defense

Flamengo Metric Sao Paulo
6 Early Conceded 2
6 Late Conceded 5
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Late goals: Sao Paulo excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: Flamengo holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Flamengo

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Sao Paulo

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: moderate — periodically threatens. Defense: reliable at the start of matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Flamengo
Sao Paulo

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Head-to-head statistics for Sun 26 Jul, 2026 @ 13:00 Serie A BR

6 Played 9
67% 4-2-0 Win Rate 22% 2-2-5
70 Form Index 45
7.08 Team Rating 6.66
82 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Flamengo Sao Paulo Results 85 15 Attack 86 14 Defense 90 10 Control 70 30 Discipline 61 39 Efficiency 99 1 Average 82 18 18

Attack

2.17
Goals
1
1.58
Expected Goals
1.06
15.7
Shots
10.4
5.3
Shots on Target
4
4.7
Corners
5.3

Defense

0.67
Conceded
1.44
0.79
Expected Goals Against
1.20
13
Shots Allowed
13
+1.50
Goal Difference
-0.44
50%
Clean Sheets
11%

Possession & Passing

57%
Possession
55%
88%
Pass Accuracy
84%
546
Passes
439
483
Accurate Passes
370

Discipline

2.17
Yellow Cards
2.56
0
Red Cards
0.11
13.7
Fouls
14.9
1
Offsides
0.8

Efficiency

2.33
PPG
0.89
+0.59
Goals vs xG
-0.06
14%
Shot Conversion
10%
83%
Save %
63%

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Flamengo and away matches for Sao Paulo

Number of goals
Flamengo
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
60% 6
20% 2
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
10% 1
60% 6
Double Chance
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
90% 9
40% 4
X2
40% 4
80% 8
Total Goals
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
0-1
10% 1
30% 3
2-3
60% 6
40% 4
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
Flamengo
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
Clean Sheet
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
xG
1.54
1.2
xGa
0.96
1.16
Number of goals
Flamengo
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9
1X2
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
Number of goals
Flamengo
Under
Over
Sao Paulo
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
60% 6
40% 4
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
20% 2
50% 5
Double Chance
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
80% 8
50% 5
X2
40% 4
60% 6
Total Goals
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1.98 Expected goals 0.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 4
11 Shots Off Goal 8
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Flamengo will take on Sao Paulo as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-07-26 at 2026-07-26 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Flamengo, and the visiting side, Sao Paulo. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-07-26 Time: 20:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!