Form
Form
Serie A BR 2026
Preview
Flamengo
Flamengo
Form
VS
00:00
24 May 2026
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Flamengo or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Flamengo vs Palmeiras: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 23 May, 2026 17:00

Winner (1x2)1.87
Flamengo to Win
Probability 58%
Total Goals1.80
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score1.91
No (NG)
Probability 53%
Flamengo Total1.20
Home Over 0.5
Probability 82%
Palmeiras Total1.27
Away Under 1.5
Probability 81%
Double Chance1.21
Flamengo/Draw
Probability 83%
Asian Handicap1.34
Palmeiras +1.5
Probability 67%
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Prediction League
Serie A BR 2026
00:00
Flamengo W 58%
:
Palmeiras W 17%

Match has started. Predictions are locked.

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.70 vs 0.81
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.45%
0:1
6.31%
0:2
2.1%
0:3
0.47%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
14.72%
🔥
1:1
11.17%
1:2
4.18%
1:3
1.03%
1:4
0.19%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
11.46%
2:1
9.75%
2:2
4.05%
2:3
1.1%
2:4
0.22%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
5.95%
3:1
5.6%
3:2
2.57%
3:3
0.76%
3:4
0.17%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
2.32%
4:1
2.39%
4:2
1.2%
4:3
0.39%
4:4
0.09%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.72%
5:1
0.81%
5:2
0.44%
5:3
0.16%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (14.7%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.4%
0
21.0%
1
24.7%
2
20.3%
3
13.1%
4
7.0%
5
3.0%
6
1.0%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

FlamengoHDPPalmeiras
14.4%
Very Low@ 7.00
-2.5
1.1%
Very Low
23.5%
Low@ 6.00
-2
3.1%
Very Low
32.6%
Low@ 3.45
-1.5
5.1%
@ 9.50Very Low
45.6%
Medium@ 2.60
-1
11.2%
@ 8.50Very Low
58.6%
Medium@ 1.83
-0.5
17.3%
@ 4.84Very Low
82.7%
Very High@ 1.20
+0.5
41.4%
@ 2.06Medium
88.8%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
54.4%
@ 1.53Medium
94.9%
Very High@ 1.04
+1.5
67.5%
@ 1.34High
96.9%
Very High
+2
76.5%
@ 1.12High
98.9%
Very High
+2.5
85.6%
@ 1.10Very High

Team Total Predictions

FlamengoOutcomePalmeiras
50.7%
Medium@ 2.00
Over 1.5
19.5%
@ 3.96Very Low
49.3%
Medium@ 1.84
Under 1.5
80.5%
@ 1.27Very High
24.3%
Low@ 4.20
Over 2.5
4.9%
@ 13.00Very Low
75.7%
High@ 1.24
Under 2.5
95.1%
@ 1.05Very High
Flamengo
4-2-3-1
Palmeiras
4-2-3-1
A. Rossi
Rossi 1
Alex Sandro
Sandro 26
L. Pereira
Pereira 4
Léo Ortiz
Ortiz 3
G. Varela
Varela 2
Jorginho
Jorginho 21
Evertton Araújo
Araújo 52
Samuel Lino
Lino 16
Lucas Paquetá
Paquetá 20
J. Carrascal
Carrascal 15
Pedro
Pedro 9
Carlos Miguel
Miguel 1
Arthur
Arthur 56
Murilo
Murilo 26
G. Gómez
Gómez 15
A. Giay
Giay 4
Marlon Freitas
Freitas 17
E. Martínez
Martínez 32
J. Arias
Arias 11
Andreas Pereira
Pereira 8
Allan
Allan 40
J. López
López 42
field field
LineUps
Flamengo
Substitutes
42
g
49
g
44
d
5
m
8
m
19
m
27
f
64
f
Palmeiras

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Flamengo vs Palmeiras Saturday, May 23rd, 2026 at 17:00 Football

AI Value Bets

Flamengo vs Palmeiras

2 Found

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Match Winner Flamengo
Value
1.87
Prob 58.3%
EV +8.9%
Stake $2.87
Away Total Under 1.5
Value
1.27
Prob 80.5%
EV +2.3%
Stake $9.26
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-05-22 00:30:47
spinner

Trends for Flamengo vs Palmeiras Football 23 May, 2026 17:00

Team Form Comparison

Flamengo Home
Form Index 73
Goals 12:3
PPG 2.60
Palmeiras Away
Form Index 63
Goals 5:2
PPG 2.20
CRUWREMWSANWBAHWVASD
PAUWBAHWCORDBRAWREMD
4/5
Won
3/5
5/5
Scored
4/5
5/5
Scored 2+
1/5
3/5
Clean sheet
3/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
0/5
3/5
Over 2.5
1/5
2/5
BTTS
2/5

Flamengo

CRUWREMWSANWBAHWVASD
Won 4/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 5/5
Clean sheet 3/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 2/5

Palmeiras

PAUWBAHWCORDBRAWREMD
Won 3/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 3/5
Conceded 2+ 0/5
Over 2.5 1/5
BTTS 2/5
Head-to-Head · Last 2
BTTS 1/2
Over 2.5 1/2
Flamengo unbeaten 2/2

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • ⚖️
    Conflicting Goal Signals

    Venue form and H2H/scoring signals disagree on Over/Under 2.5 — mixed confidence only

  • Second Half Surge

    Flamengo score in 2nd half 100% of home matches — expect late goals

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Flamengo Home
Palmeiras Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Second half: Flamengo is stronger (10 vs 4).

Recommendation: Teams are evenly matched. Consider draw or exact score markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.28 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.07

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
4 0.20
Fast Start (0–15)
6 0.30
8 0.40
First Half (0–45)
11 0.55
10 0.50
Second Half (46–90)
4 0.20
4 0.20
Final Stage (76–90)
2 0.10

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.114 Strong
Pressure Away +0.005 Weak
Timing Home +0.008 Weak
Defense Away +0.053 Moderate

Momentum

Flamengo Metric Palmeiras
4 Positive Sequences 2
9 Comeback Goals 7
2 Negative Sequences 1
5 Killer Goals 8

Pressure

Flamengo Metric Palmeiras
4 Early Pressure 6
4 Late Pressure 2
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Flamengo Metric Palmeiras
4 Fast Starts 6
4 Half-time Spurts 5
6 Second Half Starts 2
4 Late Surges 2

Defense

Flamengo Metric Palmeiras
6 Early Conceded 3
6 Late Conceded 5
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Second half winner: high probability of Flamengo winning the second half.
  • Match outcome: teams are evenly matched — consider draw or exact score markets.

Summary

Flamengo

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Palmeiras

Momentum: strong — reacts well to match swings. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Flamengo has a significant second-half and late-game edge. Look at second-half result, late goals, and home win markets.

Flamengo
Palmeiras

Flamengo vs Palmeiras Head-to-head statistics for Sat 23 May, 2026 @ 17:00 Serie A BR

6 Played 8
67% 4-2-0 Win Rate 50% 4-3-1
70 Form Index 59
7.08 Team Rating 6.81
76 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Flamengo Palmeiras Results 75 25 Attack 81 19 Defense 80 20 Control 82 18 Discipline 88 12 Efficiency 51 49 Average 76 24 24

Attack

2.17
Goals
1.38
1.58
Expected Goals
0.59
15.7
Shots
10
5.3
Shots on Target
4
4.7
Corners
6

Defense

0.67
Conceded
0.88
0.79
Expected Goals Against
0.79
13
Shots Allowed
14
+1.50
Goal Difference
+0.50
50%
Clean Sheets
38%

Possession & Passing

57%
Possession
49%
88%
Pass Accuracy
82%
546
Passes
362
483
Accurate Passes
297

Discipline

2.17
Yellow Cards
2.75
0
Red Cards
0.13
13.7
Fouls
15
1
Offsides
2.4

Efficiency

2.33
PPG
1.88
+0.59
Goals vs xG
+0.79
14%
Shot Conversion
14%
83%
Save %
73%
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Flamengo or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Flamengo vs Palmeiras: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Flamengo and away matches for Palmeiras

Number of goals
Flamengo
Under
Over
Palmeiras
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
Flamengo
Palmeiras
1
60% 6
60% 6
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
10% 1
0% 0
Double Chance
Flamengo
Palmeiras
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
90% 9
100% 10
X2
40% 4
40% 4
Total Goals
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0-1
10% 1
40% 4
2-3
60% 6
60% 6
4+
30% 3
0% 0
Total Corners
Flamengo
Under
Over
Palmeiras
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Flamengo
Palmeiras
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
60% 6
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Flamengo
Palmeiras
xG
1.54
0.8
xGa
0.96
0.67
Number of goals
Flamengo
Under
Over
Palmeiras
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Flamengo
Palmeiras
1
50% 5
60% 6
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
20% 2
10% 1
Double Chance
Flamengo
Palmeiras
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
50% 5
40% 4
Total Goals
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Yes
70% 7
70% 7
No
30% 3
30% 3
Number of goals
Flamengo
Under
Over
Palmeiras
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Flamengo
Palmeiras
1
60% 6
10% 1
X
20% 2
90% 9
2
20% 2
0% 0
Double Chance
Flamengo
Palmeiras
12
80% 8
10% 1
1X
80% 8
100% 10
X2
40% 4
90% 9
Total Goals
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
Missing Players
Flamengo
- Suspended - Red Card
- Injured - Shoulder Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Shoulder Injury
Palmeiras
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Ankle Injury
1.41 Expected goals 0.78
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 3
11 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Flamengo will take on Palmeiras as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-05-24 at 2026-05-24 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Flamengo, and the visiting side, Palmeiras. The scoreline predictions suggest Palmeiras AH+1.5. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-05-24 Time: 00:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!