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UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 – Knockout phase • Quarter-finals 16 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Finished
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Form
2 : 1
1.71
xG
1.26
Full Time
Half Time: 1-1
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Form
30'
A. Guðmundsson
53'
C. Ndour
I. Sarr
17'
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Football Match Stats & Results Thursday, 16 April, 2026 14:00

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
6'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
4'
Winner (1x2)3.35
Draw
Probability 37%
Total Goals2.09
Over 2.5
Probability 58%
Both Teams to Score1.87
Yes
Probability 63%
Fiorentina Total1.36
Home Over 0.5
Probability 80%
Crystal Palace Total1.30
Away Over 0.5
Probability 78%
Double Chance1.56
Fiorentina/Draw
Probability 70%
Asian Handicap1.24
Fiorentina +1
Probability 82%

Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace: UEFA Conference League Showdown

Main Stakes of the Match

This clash between Fiorentina and Crystal Palace in the UEFA Conference League knockout phase is pivotal for both teams as they aim to secure a strong position in the tournament. With both sides eager to advance, the match promises excitement as they bring contrasting styles and recent forms to the fore.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are entering this match with varying degrees of momentum, which could significantly influence the outcome.

  • Fiorentina: Struggling to find consistency, they have oscillated between wins and losses in their recent matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceded per game. Their home form has been somewhat better, but they remain vulnerable defensively.
  • Crystal Palace: In contrast, Palace has been on a positive run, boasting an unbeaten streak in their last five matches. They have been solid defensively, conceding only 0.4 goals per match on average, which will be key against a Fiorentina side that can be prolific at times.

Head-to-Head

The historical matchup favors Crystal Palace, who have previously defeated Fiorentina 3-0 in their last encounter. This record could play a psychological role, giving Palace the confidence they need to approach the game with aggression.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Fiorentina will likely look to leverage their home advantage by controlling the midfield and utilizing their attacking players to exploit any defensive lapses from Palace. Key player F. Parisi will be crucial in defense, ensuring that the backline remains organized against Palace's threats. Conversely, Crystal Palace will rely on the dynamic play of I. Sarr and Daichi Kamada to penetrate Fiorentina's defense. Their ability to adapt and counter quickly will be essential in this matchup.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw
Predicted Score: 1:1
Reasoning: Both teams show a tendency to score and concede, and with Fiorentina's home advantage balanced by Palace's solid away form, a draw seems the most probable outcome according to the statistical model.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals several value bets that could offer good returns for bettors.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - Draw/Away @ 1.53 (Probability: 69%)
  • Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.87 (Probability: 63.4% vs. 53.5% implied)

Bet responsibly.

Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
17' 0:1 Goal
I. Sarr
Assistant: D. Muñoz
I. Sarr
30' Substitute
In:J. Lerma
Out:A. Wharton
J. Lerma
A. Guðmundsson
Goal (from penalty) 1:1 30'
A. Guðmundsson
40' Yellow Card
Yeremy Pino
Unsportsmanlike conduct
Yeremy Pino
M. Pongračić
Yellow Card 40'
M. Pongračić
41' Substitute
In:C. Riad
Out:M. Lacroix
C. Riad
P. Comuzzo
Yellow Card 45' +5'
P. Comuzzo
46' Substitute
In:J. Strand Larsen
Out:J. Mateta
J. Strand Larsen
C. Ndour
Substitute 46'
In:C. Ndour
Out:N. Fagioli
C. Ndour
Goal 2:1 53'
C. Ndour
Assistant: M. Solomon
53' Yellow Card
I. Sarr
Foul
I. Sarr
L. Ranieri
Yellow Card 67'
L. Ranieri
Unsportsmanlike conduct
E. Kouadio
Substitute 70'
In:E. Kouadio
Out:P. Comuzzo
Substitute 70'
In:Luís Balbo
Out:R. Gosens
73' Substitute
In:W. Hughes
Out:Yeremy Pino
W. Hughes
G. Fabbian
Substitute 75'
In:G. Fabbian
Out:A. Guðmundsson
J. Fazzini
Substitute 75'
In:J. Fazzini
Out:M. Solomon
76' Yellow Card
C. Riad
Delay of game
C. Riad
C. Ndour
Yellow Card 87'
C. Ndour
R. Piccoli
Yellow Card 90' +1'
R. Piccoli
Tripping

Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace: UEFA Conference League Showdown

Main Stakes of the Match

This clash between Fiorentina and Crystal Palace in the UEFA Conference League knockout phase is pivotal for both teams as they aim to secure a strong position in the tournament. With both sides eager to advance, the match promises excitement as they bring contrasting styles and recent forms to the fore.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are entering this match with varying degrees of momentum, which could significantly influence the outcome.

  • Fiorentina: Struggling to find consistency, they have oscillated between wins and losses in their recent matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceded per game. Their home form has been somewhat better, but they remain vulnerable defensively.
  • Crystal Palace: In contrast, Palace has been on a positive run, boasting an unbeaten streak in their last five matches. They have been solid defensively, conceding only 0.4 goals per match on average, which will be key against a Fiorentina side that can be prolific at times.

Head-to-Head

The historical matchup favors Crystal Palace, who have previously defeated Fiorentina 3-0 in their last encounter. This record could play a psychological role, giving Palace the confidence they need to approach the game with aggression.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

Fiorentina will likely look to leverage their home advantage by controlling the midfield and utilizing their attacking players to exploit any defensive lapses from Palace. Key player F. Parisi will be crucial in defense, ensuring that the backline remains organized against Palace's threats. Conversely, Crystal Palace will rely on the dynamic play of I. Sarr and Daichi Kamada to penetrate Fiorentina's defense. Their ability to adapt and counter quickly will be essential in this matchup.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw
Predicted Score: 1:1
Reasoning: Both teams show a tendency to score and concede, and with Fiorentina's home advantage balanced by Palace's solid away form, a draw seems the most probable outcome according to the statistical model.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals several value bets that could offer good returns for bettors.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - Draw/Away @ 1.53 (Probability: 69%)
  • Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.87 (Probability: 63.4% vs. 53.5% implied)

Bet responsibly.

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Formation Lineups for Thu 16 Apr, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Conference League

Formation
6.8
Fiorentina
3-4-2-1
6.8
Crystal Palace
3-4-3
David de Gea
6.5
Gea 43
L. Ranieri
7
Ranieri 6
P. Comuzzo
6.2
70'
Comuzzo 15
M. Pongračić
6.3
Pongračić 5
R. Gosens
6.3
70'
Gosens 21
N. Fagioli
6.7
46'
Fagioli 44
R. Mandragora
8.3
Mandragora 8
J. Harrison
7.3
Harrison 17
M. Solomon
7.7
75'
Solomon 19
A. Guðmundsson
7.5
75'
Guðmundsson 10
R. Piccoli
5.7
Piccoli 91
D. Henderson
7.2
Henderson 1
J. Canvot
6.2
Canvot 23
M. Lacroix
6.9
41'
Lacroix 5
Chris Richards
7.2
Richards 26
T. Mitchell
6.3
Mitchell 3
Daichi Kamada
7.2
Kamada 18
A. Wharton
6.7
30'
Wharton 20
D. Muñoz
6.9
Muñoz 2
Yeremy Pino
7.2
73'
Pino 10
J. Mateta
6.5
46'
Mateta 14
I. Sarr
7.9
Sarr 7
field field
Substitutes
Ndour
7.5
46'
Ndour 27
Kouadio
6.7
70'
Kouadio 60
Fazzini
6.2
75'
Fazzini 22
Lerma
7
30'
Lerma 8
Riad
6.2
41'
Riad 34
Hughes
6.7
73'
Hughes 19
LineUps
Fiorentina
6.5
40'
6.3
15
d
45'70'
6.2
67'
7
7.3
8.3
44
m
46'
6.7
21
m
70'
6.3
30'75'
7.5
19
f
75'
7.7
91
f
90'
5.7
Substitutes
27
m
46'53'87'
7.5
70'
6.7
23
d
60
d
70'
6.7
80
m
75'
6.2
22
f
75'
6.2
Coach
Crystal Palace
7.2
7.2
41'
6.9
23
d
6.2
2
m
6.9
20
m
30'
6.7
7.2
6.3
7
f
17'53'
7.9
14
f
46'
6.5
40'73'
7.2
Substitutes
8
m
30'
7
34
d
41'76'
6.2
46'
6.3
17
d
55
m
42
m
24
d
19
m
73'
6.7
11
f
Coach

Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Head-to-head statistics for Thu 16 Apr, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Conference League

Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
Off Target 3 Blocked 6
On Target 6
On Target 3
Off Target 6 Blocked 1
2 Goals 1
67 Ball Possession 33
15 Shots 9
6 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 3
550 Total passes 268
87 Passes accurate % 71
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
14 Fouls 13
5 Yellow Cards 3
2 Offsides 2
6 Corners 1
1.71 Expected Goals 1.26

Stats for Fiorentina vs Crystal Palace Thursday, Apr 16th, 2026 at 14:00 Football

Fiorentina
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Crystal Palace
Goalkeepers
Field Players