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FC St. Pauli
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1.FC Köln
FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 3 May, 2026 8:30
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15
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(15 total)
xG
0.90
(13.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.4
(156 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(41% acc)
Corners
5.6
(84 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.5
(143 total)
Offsides
2.3
(34 total)
15
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(11 total)
xG
0.70
(10.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.3
(140 total)
Shots on Target
2.3
(25% acc)
Corners
3.1
(47 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.3
(140 total)
Offsides
1.7
(25 total)
30
Played
6
Wins
8
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(26 total)
xG
0.80
(24.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.9
(296 total)
Shots on Target
3.3
(33% acc)
Corners
4.4
(131 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.4
(283 total)
Offsides
2
(59 total)
21
Played
10
Wins
5
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(30 total)
xG
1.50
(31.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.4
(282 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(31% acc)
Corners
6
(126 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.7
(246 total)
Offsides
2.4
(51 total)
20
Played
5
Wins
6
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(21 total)
xG
1.00
(20.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.4
(188 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(33% acc)
Corners
4
(79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
10.4
(208 total)
Offsides
2.4
(48 total)
41
Played
15
Wins
11
Draws
15
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(51 total)
xG
1.30
(52.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.5
(470 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(32% acc)
Corners
5
(205 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(6 total)
Fouls
11.1
(454 total)
Offsides
2.4
(99 total)
No lambda data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Trends for FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Football 3 May, 2026 8:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
-
Corner Fest
High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure
Comprehensive betting trends for FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05.
🏆 Match Winner
FC St. Pauli3 TrendsNot WinH2H
FC St. Pauli have not won in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
3 / 3100%
Relegation BattleLeague
FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
90%
Not WinRecent
FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
12 / 1580%
FSV Mainz 052 TrendsUnbeatenH2H
FSV Mainz 05 are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
3 / 3100%
Relegation BattleLeague
FSV Mainz 05 are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
90%
⚽ Both Teams To Score
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
BTTS NoH2H
At least one team failed to score in their last 3 Bundesliga matches
3 / 3100%
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
FSV Mainz 051 TrendsFew GoalsRecent
FSV Mainz 05 scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
12 / 1580%
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
2 / 366.7%
💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
FC St. Pauli3 TrendsNot WinH2H
FC St. Pauli have not won in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
3 / 3100%
Relegation BattleLeague
FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
90%
Not WinRecent
FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
12 / 1580%
FSV Mainz 053 TrendsUnbeatenH2H
FSV Mainz 05 are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
3 / 3100%
Undefeated at HTH2H
FSV Mainz 05 are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches
3 / 3100%
Relegation BattleLeague
FSV Mainz 05 are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
90%
🟨 Cards Over/Under
FC St. Pauli1 Trends — avg 1.5 (-25% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
FC St. Pauli average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-21% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
15 / 1590%
FSV Mainz 052 Trends — avg 2.2 (+11% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
FSV Mainz 05 average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+28% above league avg 2.0) — rank #4 in league
15 / 1590%
Many CardsRecent
FSV Mainz 05 receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
12 / 1580%
💡FC St. Pauli disciplined play balances FSV Mainz 05 aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
FC St. Pauli1 Trends — avg 7.0 (+43% above league)Many CornersLeague
FC St. Pauli average 7.0 corners/match at home (+43% above league avg 4.9)
7 / 785%
💡Moderate corner environment -
🎯 Betting Analysis
FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⚡ Final Stage: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FC St. Pauli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.06
✈️ FSV Mainz 05
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.36
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FC St. Pauli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ FSV Mainz 05 - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FC St. Pauli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5
✈️ FSV Mainz 05 - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: FSV Mainz 05 often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of FSV Mainz 05 scoring first
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: FSV Mainz 05 excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of FSV Mainz 05 scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: FSV Mainz 05 has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider FSV Mainz 05 handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.306
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.101
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC St. Pauli):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Head-to-head statistics for Sun 3 May, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
▲
10
6
14
38
54
-16
36
10
▼
8
9
12
35
44
-9
33
11
8
8
14
34
52
-18
32
15
▼
7
9
13
35
49
-14
30
16
6
8
16
26
51
-25
26
17
6
6
18
41
66
-25
24
FC St. Pauli
VS
FSV Mainz 05
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0)
1.7 (5)
xG
0.70
1.20
Shots
12 (36)
10.3 (31)
Shots on Target
1.7 (5)
3.3 (10)
Corners
4 (12)
5.7 (17)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (5)
0 (0)
xGa
1.20
0.70
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
3 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 (4)
2.3 (7)
Fouls
10.3 (31)
10 (30)
Offsides
0.7 (2)
2.7 (8)
Last 6 Matches
FC St. Pauli
VS
FSV Mainz 05
0/6 (0%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.50
PPG
1.83
0.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
50%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.71
Avg xG
1.22
FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC St. Pauli and away matches for FSV Mainz 05
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
xG
0.75
1.28
xGa
1.58
1.01
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
0%
0
20%
2
No
100%
10
80%
8
1X2
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
30%
3
60%
6
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
12
70%
7
40%
4
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
90%
9
60%
6
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
20%
2
60%
6
No
80%
8
40%
4
0.79
xG
1.49
57%
Ball Possession
43%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FC St. Pauli will take on FSV Mainz 05 as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 32 and will take place on 2026-05-03 at 2026-05-03 in the famous Millerntor-Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC St. Pauli, and the visiting side, FSV Mainz 05. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-03
Time: 13:30
Location: Millerntor-Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!