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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 30
Preview
FC Porto
FC Porto
1st place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Tondela
Tondela
17th place
Form
AI Prediction Winner : FC Porto
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

FC Porto vs Tondela: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 19 April, 2026 14:30

Winner (1x2)1.20
FC Porto to Win
Probability 89%
Total Goals1.70
Over 2.5
Probability 69%
Both Teams to Score1.49
No (NG)
Probability 62%
FC Porto Total1.29
Home Under 3.5
Probability 63%
Tondela Total1.55
Away Under 0.5
Probability 60%
Double Chance1.03
FC Porto/Draw
Probability 98%
Asian Handicap1.26
FC Porto -1
Probability 80%
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
14:30
FC Porto W 89%
:
Tondela W 2%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
FC Porto
w d d w l
20 Played
16 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (42 total)
xG
1.80 (36.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.7 (274 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (38% acc)
Corners
5.1 (101 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (55%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.2 (243 total)
Offsides
1.7 (34 total)
21 Played
15 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (35 total)
xG
1.60 (33.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (296 total)
Shots on Target
5 (36% acc)
Corners
5.5 (115 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (48%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
13.1 (276 total)
Offsides
1.9 (39 total)
41 Played
31 Wins
7 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (77 total)
xG
1.70 (69.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.9 (570 total)
Shots on Target
5.1 (37% acc)
Corners
5.3 (216 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
21 (51%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
12.7 (519 total)
Offsides
1.8 (73 total)
Tondela
d l d l d
15 Played
1 Wins
7 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (11 total)
xG
1.00 (15.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.5 (158 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (30% acc)
Corners
3.5 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.4 (201 total)
Offsides
2.1 (32 total)
13 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (10 total)
xG
1.10 (14.0 total)
Shots per Match
8.8 (115 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (36% acc)
Corners
3.8 (50 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
15 (195 total)
Offsides
2.2 (29 total)
28 Played
4 Wins
9 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (21 total)
xG
1.10 (29.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.8 (273 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (32% acc)
Corners
3.7 (103 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14.1 (396 total)
Offsides
2.2 (61 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 3.09 vs 0.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.31%
0:1
1.38%
0:2
0.29%
0:3
0.04%
0:4
0%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
9.92%
1:1
4.44%
1:2
0.99%
1:3
0.15%
1:4
0.02%
1:5
0%
2
2:0
14.86%
🔥
2:1
7.11%
2:2
1.69%
2:3
0.26%
2:4
0.03%
2:5
0%
3
3:0
14.84%
3:1
7.57%
3:2
1.91%
3:3
0.32%
3:4
0.04%
3:5
0%
4
4:0
11.11%
4:1
6.02%
4:2
1.61%
4:3
0.28%
4:4
0.04%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
6.66%
5:1
3.82%
5:2
1.08%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 2:0 (14.9%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.3%
0
11.3%
1
19.6%
2
23.0%
3
20.5%
4
14.9%
5
5.8%
6
1.4%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

FC PortoHDPTondela
48.7%
Medium@ 2.59
-2.5
0.0%
Very Low
59.8%
Medium@ 2.00
-2
0.2%
Very Low
71.0%
High@ 1.64
-1.5
0.4%
Very Low
79.8%
High@ 1.26
-1
1.5%
Very Low
88.6%
Very High@ 1.19
-0.5
2.6%
Very Low
97.4%
Very High
+0.5
11.4%
@ 4.50Very Low
98.5%
Very High
+1
20.2%
@ 4.20Low
99.6%
Very High
+1.5
29.0%
@ 2.43Low
99.8%
Very High
+2
40.2%
@ 1.90Medium
100.0%
Very High
+2.5
51.3%
@ 1.55Medium

Team Total Predictions

FC PortoOutcomeTondela
81.4%
Very High@ 1.34
Over 1.5
9.3%
@ 11.00Very Low
18.6%
Very Low@ 3.36
Under 1.5
90.7%
@ 1.06Very High
59.7%
Medium@ 2.10
Over 2.5
1.5%
@ 41.00Very Low
40.3%
Medium@ 1.78
Under 2.5
98.5%
@ 1.00Very High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC Porto vs Tondela Sunday, Apr 19th, 2026 at 14:30 Football

AI Value Bets
6 Found

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Asian Handicap FC Porto -2
High Value
Prob: 59.8%
EV: +19.6%
Stake: $2.50
2.00
Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 69%
EV: +17.3%
Stake: $3.57
1.70
Asian Handicap FC Porto -1.5
High Value
Prob: 71%
EV: +16.4%
Stake: $3.91
1.64
Total Home Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 81.9%
EV: +9.8%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Home Total FC Porto Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 81.4%
EV: +9.1%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Match Winner FC Porto
Value
Prob: 88.9%
EV: +6.6%
Stake: $10.00
1.20
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-19 00:01:47
spinner

Trends for FC Porto vs Tondela Football 19 Apr, 2026 14:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📊
    League Position Mismatch

    FC Porto in top 3 vs Tondela in relegation zone — significant quality gap

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    FC Porto have league's best defense — hard to break down

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

FC Porto vs Tondela

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: FC Porto is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: FC Porto is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 FC Porto

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.16

✈️ Tondela

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.1

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 FC Porto - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Tondela - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 FC Porto - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Tondela - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: FC Porto is stronger in the first half (12 vs 7)
  • First Half Result: Consider FC Porto to win the first half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: FC Porto excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of FC Porto scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: FC Porto has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider FC Porto handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.033
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.056
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC Porto):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Tondela):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

FC Porto
Tondela

FC Porto vs Tondela Head-to-head statistics for Sun 19 Apr, 2026 @ 14:30 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
FC Porto
d w w d w
>
29
24
4
1
59
14
45
76
2
Sporting CP
w d w w w
>
28
22
5
1
73
17
56
71

16
Casa Pia
d l d l d
>
29
5
11
13
28
52
-24
26
17
Tondela
d l d l d
>
28
4
9
15
21
46
-25
21
18
AVS
l d l d d
>
30
1
10
19
21
64
-43
13
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home: -3.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
FC Porto
VS
Tondela
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (2)
0 (0)
xG
2.00
0.40
Shots
11 (11)
11 (11)
Shots on Target
6 (6)
2 (2)
Corners
4 (4)
2 (2)
Defense
Conceded
0 (0)
2 (2)
xGa
0.40
2.00
Clean Sheets
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (1)
2 (2)
Fouls
10 (10)
9 (9)
Offsides
2 (2)
2 (2)
7 Dec
- 20:30
Tondela
FC Porto
0.43
xG
1.97
0
2
Prob 58%
Best Tip PREMIUM
Odd 2.00
Last 6 Matches
FC Porto
VS
Tondela
3/6 (50%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
2.33 PPG 1.00
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
67% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.51 Avg xG 0.80
FC Porto
W D D W L
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
16 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Nottingham Forest
1 0
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Apr 2026 - 19:30
Estoril
1 3
FC Porto
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
9 Apr 2026 - 19:00
FC Porto
1 1
Nottingham Forest
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Apr 2026 - 19:30
FC Porto
2 2
Famalicao
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 20:30
SC Braga
1 2
FC Porto
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
19 Mar 2026 - 20:00
FC Porto
2 0
VfB Stuttgart
Tondela
D L D L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Apr 2026 - 19:15
Tondela
2 2
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Guimaraes
5 0
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 20:30
Tondela
0 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Mar 2026 - 20:15
Tondela
0 1
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 15:30
Tondela
2 2
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Feb 2026 - 20:45
Estrela
0 2
Tondela

FC Porto vs Tondela: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC Porto and away matches for Tondela

Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
20% 2
80% 8
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Tondela
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
1X2
FC Porto
Tondela
1
60% 6
10% 1
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
10% 1
30% 3
Double Chance
FC Porto
Tondela
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
40% 4
90% 9
Total Goals
FC Porto
Tondela
0-1
10% 1
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
40% 4
40% 4
Total Corners
FC Porto
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Tondela
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
FC Porto
Tondela
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
50% 5
xG(xGa)
FC Porto
Tondela
xG
1.67
0.82
xGa
0.87
1.28
Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Tondela
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
FC Porto
Tondela
1
70% 7
10% 1
X
20% 2
60% 6
2
10% 1
30% 3
Double Chance
FC Porto
Tondela
12
80% 8
40% 4
1X
90% 9
70% 7
X2
30% 3
90% 9
Total Goals
FC Porto
Tondela
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Tondela
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
Number of goals
FC Porto
Under
Over
Tondela
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC Porto
Tondela
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
FC Porto
Tondela
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
FC Porto
Tondela
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
FC Porto
Tondela
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
FC Porto
Tondela
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
2.78 xG 0.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots Off Goal 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FC Porto will take on Tondela as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 30 and will take place on 2026-04-19 at 2026-04-19 in the famous Estádio Do Dragão. The referee for the game will be C. Pereira. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC Porto, and the visiting side, Tondela. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : FC Porto. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-19 Time: 19:30 Location: Estádio Do Dragão Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!