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Excelsior
Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 4 April, 2026 14:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
14
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(14 total)
xG
1.40
(19.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.6
(177 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(31% acc)
Corners
4.4
(61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.3
(158 total)
Offsides
1.3
(18 total)
14
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(15 total)
xG
1.00
(14.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.7
(150 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(35% acc)
Corners
4
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.8
(179 total)
Offsides
0.6
(9 total)
28
Played
7
Wins
6
Draws
15
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(29 total)
xG
1.20
(34.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.7
(327 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(33% acc)
Corners
4.2
(117 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
12
(337 total)
Offsides
1
(27 total)
14
Played
8
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.6
(37 total)
xG
2.00
(27.6 total)
Shots per Match
16.9
(237 total)
Shots on Target
6.6
(39% acc)
Corners
6.2
(87 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.1
(127 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
14
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3
(32 total)
xG
1.50
(21.0 total)
Shots per Match
15.8
(221 total)
Shots on Target
7
(44% acc)
Corners
5
(70 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
13.1
(184 total)
Offsides
2.4
(33 total)
28
Played
14
Wins
8
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5
(69 total)
xG
1.70
(48.7 total)
Shots per Match
16.4
(458 total)
Shots on Target
6.8
(42% acc)
Corners
5.6
(157 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.1
(311 total)
Offsides
2.1
(58 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.37 vs 2.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.2%
0:1
6.75%
0:2
7.12%
0:3
5.01%
⭐
0:4
2.64%
⭐
0:5
1.12%
⭐
1
1:0
3.52%
1:1
8.29%
1:2
9.66%
🔥
1:3
7.43%
⭐
1:4
4.26%
⭐
1:5
1.94%
⭐
2
2:0
1.94%
2:1
5.03%
2:2
6.43%
2:3
5.39%
⭐
2:4
3.35%
⭐
2:5
1.64%
⭐
3
3:0
0.71%
3:1
2.02%
3:2
2.81%
3:3
2.56%
⭐
3:4
1.71%
⭐
3:5
0.9%
⭐
4
4:0
0.2%
4:1
0.6%
4:2
0.91%
4:3
0.89%
⭐
4:4
0.64%
⭐
4:5
0.36%
⭐
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.14%
5:2
0.23%
5:3
0.25%
5:4
0.19%
⭐
5:5
0.11%
Hotspot:
1:2 (9.7%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Excelsior will take on NEC Nijmegen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-04-04 at 2026-04-04 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Excelsior, and the visiting side, NEC Nijmegen. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : NEC Nijmegen.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-04-04
Time: 19:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Saturday, Apr 4th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Football 4 Apr, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
NEC Nijmegen create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen.
🏆 Match Winner — NEC Nijmegen @ 2.00 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen
High xG PerformanceH2H
NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringH2H
NEC Nijmegen efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringH2H
NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
NEC Nijmegen have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceRecent
NEC Nijmegen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
NEC Nijmegen efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 15 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡NEC Nijmegen dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.50 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsExcelsior1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
NEC Nijmegen score (2.22/match) and concede (1.89/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 89% of matches (league avg: 62%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.53 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsExcelsior2 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Excelsior struggle to score at home (0.89/match) - fail to score in 56% of matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew GoalsRecent
Excelsior scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen5 TrendsHigh ScoringH2H
NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsGood Goal RatioH2H
NEC Nijmegen have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 975%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 970%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh ScoringRecent
NEC Nijmegen score 2+ goals per match in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 2.2 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Excelsior Win or Draw @ 1.91 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — NEC Nijmegen Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.69 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen
Above League AverageLeague
NEC Nijmegen score 2.22 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends9 / 975%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Top ScorerLeague
NEC Nijmegen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.22 goals/match vs league avg 3.26)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
NEC Nijmegen scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 2+Recent
NEC Nijmegen scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFirst Half SpecialistsRecent
NEC Nijmegen score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
NEC Nijmegen score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡NEC Nijmegen maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
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Unlock Streak TrendsNEC Nijmegen2 Trends — avg 1.7 (+5% above league)Few CardsH2H
NEC Nijmegen receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh Card MatchesLeague
NEC Nijmegen average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 1.8)
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Low Card MatchesH2H
Average 2.5 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Excelsior disciplined play balances NEC Nijmegen aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.15 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsExcelsior1 Trends — avg 3.9 (-24% below league)Few CornersLeague
Excelsior average 3.9 corners/match at home (-24% below league avg 5.1)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.15
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (17 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the second half (17 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Excelsior
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.06
✈️ NEC Nijmegen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Excelsior - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Excelsior - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
7
✈️ NEC Nijmegen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
17
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
12
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: NEC Nijmegen is stronger in the first half (14 vs 8)
- First Half Result: Consider NEC Nijmegen to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: NEC Nijmegen shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of NEC Nijmegen winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: NEC Nijmegen excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of NEC Nijmegen scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: NEC Nijmegen has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider NEC Nijmegen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.021
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.011
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.083
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Excelsior):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (NEC Nijmegen):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-head statistics for Sat 4 Apr, 2026 @ 14:00 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : NEC Nijmegen
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
+1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Excelsior
VS
NEC Nijmegen
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (4)
4 (8)
xG
1.00
2.50
Shots
7.5 (15)
12 (24)
Shots on Target
6 (12)
8 (16)
Corners
4.5 (9)
4.5 (9)
Defense
Conceded
4 (8)
2 (4)
xGa
2.50
1.00
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 (3)
1 (2)
Fouls
12 (24)
9 (18)
Offsides
0.5 (1)
1 (2)
Last 6 Matches
Excelsior
VS
NEC Nijmegen
0/6 (0%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
5/6 (83%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.17
PPG
1.50
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
83%
BTTS %
83%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.33
Avg xG
1.46
Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Excelsior and away matches for NEC Nijmegen
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
70%
7
90%
9
No
30%
3
10%
1
1X2
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
50%
5
20%
2
Double Chance
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
50%
5
80%
8
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
20%
2
0%
0
2-3
70%
7
40%
4
4+
10%
1
60%
6
Total Corners
Excelsior
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
xG
1.16
1.61
xGa
1.54
1.35
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
0%
0
60%
6
No
100%
10
40%
4
1X2
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
80%
8
30%
3
2-3
20%
2
70%
7
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
60%
6
20%
2
No
40%
4
80%
8
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
1
20%
2
60%
6
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
80%
8
40%
4
Total Goals
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
60%
6
60%
6
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
NEC Nijmegen
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
1.21
xG
2.15
49%
Ball Possession
51%
14
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
6
9
Shots Off Goal
9
5
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
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