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Excelsior
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 February, 2026 12:45
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11
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(12 total)
xG
1.30
(14.6 total)
Shots per Match
11.6
(128 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(32% acc)
Corners
3.8
(42 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
12.4
(136 total)
Offsides
1.3
(14 total)
11
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(12 total)
xG
1.10
(11.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.5
(116 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(37% acc)
Corners
4.3
(47 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12.8
(141 total)
Offsides
0.5
(5 total)
22
Played
7
Wins
5
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(24 total)
xG
1.20
(26.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.1
(244 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(34% acc)
Corners
4
(89 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.80
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
12.6
(277 total)
Offsides
0.9
(19 total)
15
Played
8
Wins
5
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(31 total)
xG
1.70
(24.8 total)
Shots per Match
16.8
(252 total)
Shots on Target
6.4
(38% acc)
Corners
6.5
(98 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.3
(140 total)
Offsides
1.4
(21 total)
16
Played
8
Wins
1
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(22 total)
xG
1.40
(22.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.9
(222 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(36% acc)
Corners
4.5
(72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.8
(189 total)
Offsides
1
(16 total)
31
Played
16
Wins
6
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(53 total)
xG
1.50
(47.6 total)
Shots per Match
15.3
(474 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(37% acc)
Corners
5.5
(170 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(39%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.6
(329 total)
Offsides
1.2
(37 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.71 vs 2.50
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.72%
0:1
4.13%
0:2
4.97%
0:3
3.98%
0:4
2.4%
0:5
1.15%
1
1:0
2.77%
1:1
6.83%
1:2
8.42%
🔥
1:3
6.91%
1:4
4.25%
⭐
1:5
2.09%
⭐
2
2:0
2.24%
2:1
5.65%
2:2
7.12%
2:3
5.98%
⭐
2:4
3.76%
⭐
2:5
1.89%
⭐
3
3:0
1.21%
3:1
3.12%
⭐
3:2
4.01%
⭐
3:3
3.44%
⭐
3:4
2.21%
⭐
3:5
1.13%
⭐
4
4:0
0.49%
⭐
4:1
1.29%
⭐
4:2
1.69%
⭐
4:3
1.48%
⭐
4:4
0.97%
⭐
4:5
0.51%
⭐
5
5:0
0.16%
⭐
5:1
0.43%
⭐
5:2
0.57%
⭐
5:3
0.51%
⭐
5:4
0.34%
⭐
5:5
0.18%
Hotspot:
1:2 (8.4%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Excelsior will take on AZ Alkmaar as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-14 at 2026-02-14 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Excelsior, and the visiting side, AZ Alkmaar. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-14
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Saturday, Feb 14th, 2026 at 12:45 Football
AI Value Bets
7 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Football 14 Feb, 2026 12:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
AZ Alkmaar score in 2nd half 78% of matches — expect late goals
-
Dominant Chance Creation
AZ Alkmaar create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — AZ Alkmaar @ 1.73 ✅ 
AZ Alkmaar
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches vs Excelsior
- High xG PerformanceH2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches vs Excelsior
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Eredivisie (Away) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent30/30100%AZ Alkmaar create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 30 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
Excelsior
- DrawH2H2/2100%Excelsior have drawn their last 2 2 matches vs AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.57 ⚠️ 
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/2100%Both teams scored in their last 2 Eredivisie H2H matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.50 ⚠️ 
Excelsior(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1675%Excelsior scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%Under 2.5 goals in their last 2 Eredivisie H2H matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Excelsior Win or Draw @ 2.20 ✅ 
Excelsior
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Excelsior are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches vs AZ Alkmaar
- Undefeated at HTH2H2/2100%Excelsior are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches vs AZ Alkmaar
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1681%Excelsior are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 16 Eredivisie (Home) matches
Excelsior demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals
Excelsior(4 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H2/2100%Excelsior scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches vs AZ Alkmaar
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%Excelsior conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 2 2 matches vs AZ Alkmaar
- Late SurgeH2H2/2100%Excelsior score in last 15 minutes in their last 2 2 matches vs AZ Alkmaar
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H2/2100%Excelsior score in second half in their last 2 2 matches vs AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar(6 trends)
- Scored 1+H2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches vs Excelsior
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar conceded under 1.5 goals in their last 2 2 matches vs Excelsior
- Second Half SpecialistsH2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar score in second half in their last 2 2 matches vs Excelsior
- Defensive SolidarityH2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches vs Excelsior
- Defensive SolidarityRecent15/15100%AZ Alkmaar rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 15 of their last 15 Eredivisie (Away) matches
- Defensive SolidarityRecent30/30100%AZ Alkmaar rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 30 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
AZ Alkmaar(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H2/2100%AZ Alkmaar receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Eredivisie matches vs Excelsior
- High Card MatchesLeague21/2190%AZ Alkmaar average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+27% above league avg 1.8) — rank #2 in league
Excelsior disciplined play balances AZ Alkmaar aggression — • H2H average: 4.5 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.83 ⚠️
Excelsior(1 trends) — avg 3.8 (-25% below league)
- Few CornersLeague11/1185%Excelsior average 3.8 corners/match at home (-25% below league avg 5.1)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.83
+6 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends[wp_predictions_test_enhanced home_club="123466" away_club="14548" competition_id="" season_id=""]
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Feb, 2026 @ 12:45 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
+1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Excelsior
VS
AZ Alkmaar
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
2
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (2)
1 (2)
xG
1.10
1.90
Shots
11.5 (23)
12 (24)
Shots on Target
3.5 (7)
4 (8)
Corners
4 (8)
5.5 (11)
Defense
Conceded
1 (2)
1 (2)
xGa
1.90
1.10
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 (3)
3 (6)
Fouls
11 (22)
8.5 (17)
Offsides
1 (2)
1.5 (3)
Last 6 Matches
Excelsior
VS
AZ Alkmaar
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.17
PPG
1.17
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.95
Avg xG
1.85
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Excelsior and away matches for AZ Alkmaar
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
20%
2
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
30%
3
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
xG
1.06
1.76
xGa
1.64
0.9
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
10%
1
20%
2
X
70%
7
40%
4
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
30%
3
60%
6
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
90%
9
80%
8
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
40%
4
60%
6
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
1.65
xG
1.92
44%
Ball Possession
56%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
5
8
Shots Off Goal
9
4
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
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