Form
Form
Eredivisie 2026-2027 • Matchweek 17
Preview
Excelsior
Excelsior
10th place
Form
VS
16:00
20 Dec 2026
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
1st place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 20 December, 2026 10:00

No prediction data available for this match.

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Prediction League
Eredivisie 2026-2027
16:00
Excelsior W 41%
:
AZ Alkmaar W 34%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

No lambda data available for this match.

Eredivisie 2026-2027

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
AZ Alkmaar
w w w
>
3
3
0
0
8
1
7
9
2
3
2
1
0
9
4
5
7

9
Heerenveen
w d l
>
3
1
1
1
3
4
-1
4
10
2
1
0
1
5
2
3
3
11
2
1
0
1
5
3
2
3

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Sunday, Dec 20th, 2026 at 10:00 Football

AI Value Bets

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar

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Trends for Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Football 20 Dec, 2026 10:00

Team Form Comparison

Excelsior Home
Form Index 44
Goals 8:7
PPG 0.80
AZ Alkmaar Away
Form Index 57
Goals 7:5
PPG 1.60
HEELNIJLUTRWVOLDPSVL
SHALEAGDFEYDUTRWSITW
1/5
Won
2/5
4/5
Scored
3/5
1/5
Scored 2+
2/5
1/5
Clean sheet
2/5
3/5
Conceded 2+
1/5
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
3/5
BTTS
2/5

Excelsior

HEELNIJLUTRWVOLDPSVL
Won 1/5
Scored 4/5
Scored 2+ 1/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
BTTS 3/5

AZ Alkmaar

SHALEAGDFEYDUTRWSITW
Won 2/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 2/5
Head-to-Head · Last 3
BTTS 3/3
Over 2.5 1/3
AZ Alkmaar unbeaten 3/3

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    AZ Alkmaar score in 2nd half 100% of away matches — expect late goals

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    AZ Alkmaar create high-quality chances consistently (2.08 xG avg) — strong attacking threat

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

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Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Excelsior Home
AZ Alkmaar Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Match start: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 4).
  • First half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger (15 vs 10).
  • Second half: AZ Alkmaar is stronger (17 vs 12).
  • Final stage: AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the closing minutes (13 vs 4).

Recommendation: Main advantage is on the away team side. Consider match result and corresponding half markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Strong 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.31 factor
Home Pressure 0.07 Away 0.25

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
4 0.20
Fast Start (0–15)
10 0.50
10 0.50
First Half (0–45)
15 0.75
12 0.60
Second Half (46–90)
17 0.85
4 0.20
Final Stage (76–90)
13 0.65

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Home +0.039 Weak
Pressure Away +0.181 Strong
Timing Away +0.025 Weak
Defense Away +0.008 Weak

Momentum

Excelsior Metric AZ Alkmaar
5 Positive Sequences 9
10 Comeback Goals 6
2 Negative Sequences 4
9 Killer Goals 6

Pressure

Excelsior Metric AZ Alkmaar
4 Early Pressure 10
4 Late Pressure 13
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Excelsior Metric AZ Alkmaar
4 Fast Starts 10
6 Half-time Spurts 5
8 Second Half Starts 4
4 Late Surges 13

Defense

Excelsior Metric AZ Alkmaar
3 Early Conceded 3
6 Late Conceded 5
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Away fast start: AZ Alkmaar often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 4).
  • First goal: high probability of AZ Alkmaar scoring first.
  • First half result: consider AZ Alkmaar to win the first half.
  • Second half winner: high probability of AZ Alkmaar winning the second half.
  • Late goals: AZ Alkmaar excels after the 75th minute.
  • Match outcome: AZ Alkmaar holds the overall timing advantage.

Summary

Excelsior

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

AZ Alkmaar

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: high — creates many dangerous moments. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

AZ Alkmaar is stronger in the final minutes. Consider late goals and last-goal markets.

Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-head statistics for Sun 20 Dec, 2026 @ 10:00 Eredivisie

1 Played 2
0% 0-0-1 Win Rate 100% 2-0-0
Form Index
6.79 Team Rating 7.15
30 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Excelsior AZ Alkmaar Results 23 77 Attack 0 100 Defense 0 100 Control 13 87 Discipline 75 25 Efficiency 68 32 Average 30 70 70

Attack

1
Goals
3
0.51
Expected Goals
3.23
5
Shots
25
2
Shots on Target
10
1
Corners
12

Defense

2
Conceded
0.50
2.24
Expected Goals Against
0.68
20
Shots Allowed
6
-1
Goal Difference
+2.50
0%
Clean Sheets
50%

Possession & Passing

41%
Possession
62%
80%
Pass Accuracy
88%
426
Passes
531
340
Accurate Passes
465

Discipline

1
Yellow Cards
1.50
0
Red Cards
0
9
Fouls
12.5
1
Offsides
1

Efficiency

0
PPG
3
+0.49
Goals vs xG
-0.23
20%
Shot Conversion
12%
88%
Save %
75%
Team comparison

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Excelsior and away matches for AZ Alkmaar

Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
0% 0
10% 1
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
50% 5
40% 4
Total Corners
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
xG
1.57
1.77
xGa
1.69
0.95
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
30% 3
0% 0
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
50% 5
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
40% 4
90% 9
No
60% 6
10% 1
Number of goals
Excelsior
Under
Over
AZ Alkmaar
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
10% 1
30% 3
Clean Sheet
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1.48 Expected goals 1.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots Off Goal 10
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
No Posts Found
In this exciting Eredivisie 2026-2027 matchup, Excelsior will take on AZ Alkmaar as part of the 2026-2027 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2026-12-20 at 2026-12-20 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Excelsior, and the visiting side, AZ Alkmaar. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-12-20 Time: 16:00 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!