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Estrela
Estrela vs Famalicao: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 11 May, 2026 14:15
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16
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(21 total)
xG
1.50
(24.5 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(211 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(29% acc)
Corners
3.6
(58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(4 total)
Fouls
13.7
(219 total)
Offsides
1.9
(31 total)
16
Played
2
Wins
5
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(15 total)
xG
0.90
(15.0 total)
Shots per Match
8.6
(137 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(37% acc)
Corners
3.1
(50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
14.1
(225 total)
Offsides
1.7
(27 total)
32
Played
6
Wins
10
Draws
16
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(36 total)
xG
1.20
(39.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.9
(348 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(32% acc)
Corners
3.4
(108 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(4 total)
Fouls
13.9
(444 total)
Offsides
1.8
(58 total)
16
Played
8
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(26 total)
xG
1.40
(22.8 total)
Shots per Match
14
(224 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(35% acc)
Corners
5.6
(89 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(56%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
15.4
(246 total)
Offsides
1.2
(19 total)
16
Played
6
Wins
6
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(15 total)
xG
1.10
(17.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.8
(156 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(35% acc)
Corners
4.4
(71 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
16.1
(257 total)
Offsides
0.8
(12 total)
32
Played
14
Wins
10
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(41 total)
xG
1.30
(40.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(380 total)
Shots on Target
4.2
(35% acc)
Corners
5
(160 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
15
(47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
15.7
(503 total)
Offsides
1
(31 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.19 vs 1.42
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.98%
⭐
0:1
11%
0:2
6.74%
0:3
2.75%
0:4
0.84%
0:5
0.21%
1
1:0
8.94%
1:1
12.7%
🔥
1:2
8.85%
1:3
4.05%
1:4
1.37%
1:5
0.37%
2
2:0
4.45%
2:1
7.19%
2:2
5.64%
2:3
2.88%
2:4
1.08%
2:5
0.32%
3
3:0
1.47%
3:1
2.67%
3:2
2.34%
3:3
1.32%
3:4
0.54%
3:5
0.18%
4
4:0
0.37%
4:1
0.74%
4:2
0.71%
⭐
4:3
0.44%
⭐
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.07%
5:1
0.16%
5:2
0.17%
⭐
5:3
0.12%
⭐
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.7%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Estrela vs Famalicao Monday, May 11th, 2026 at 14:15 Football
AI Value Bets
3 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Estrela vs Famalicao Football 11 May, 2026 14:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Famalicao have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Estrela vs Famalicao.
🏆 Match Winner — Famalicao @ 2.07 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsFamalicao
UnbeatenH2H
Famalicao are unbeaten in their last 3 4 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Famalicao concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 770%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEstrela
Not WinRecent
Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Famalicao confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.10 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsEstrela1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Estrela score (1.25/match) and concede (1.13/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 50% of matches (league avg: 44%)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 850%
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BTTS NoH2H
At least one team failed to score in their last 4 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 4100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Estrela rarely concede (100% clean sheet rate)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.97 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 H2H matches (75.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Famalicao Win or Draw @ 1.31 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsFamalicao
Undefeated at HTH2H
Famalicao are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 4100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Famalicao are unbeaten in their last 3 4 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Famalicao concede only 0.71 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 770%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Famalicao are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends13 / 1587%
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Unlock Streak TrendsEstrela
Not WinRecent
Estrela have not won in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1580%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Famalicao dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Famalicao Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.05 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsEstrela2 Trends — avg 2.7 (+2% above league)Many CardsH2H
Estrela receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Estrela receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFamalicao1 Trends — avg 2.7 (+2% above league)Few CardsH2H
Famalicao receive 0-1 card in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 475%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 5.0 cards per match in their last 4 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Famalicao disciplined play balances Estrela aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.05 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsEstrela1 Trends — avg 4.7 (-6% below league)Few CornersH2H
Estrela win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFamalicao2 Trends — avg 6.0 (+31% above league)Few CornersH2H
Famalicao win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Primeira Liga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CornersLeague
Famalicao average 6.0 corners/match in away matches (+31% above league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 785%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.05
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Estrela vs Famalicao
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Famalicao is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Estrela
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Famalicao
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.34
Pressure
0.16
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Estrela - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Famalicao - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Estrela - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
1
✈️ Famalicao - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
1
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Famalicao excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Famalicao scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Famalicao has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Famalicao handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.003
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.085
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Estrela):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Famalicao):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Estrela vs Famalicao Head-to-head statistics for Mon 11 May, 2026 @ 14:15 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
16
9
7
60
32
28
57
5
14
10
8
41
29
12
52
6
13
11
8
46
32
14
50
14
8
7
17
35
43
-8
31
15
6
10
16
36
54
-18
28
16
5
11
16
29
56
-27
26
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Famalicao
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Estrela
VS
Famalicao
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (4)
1 (5)
xG
0.50
1.70
Shots
8.8 (44)
13.8 (69)
Shots on Target
2.8 (14)
3 (15)
Corners
3.6 (18)
4.8 (24)
Defense
Conceded
1 (5)
0.8 (4)
xGa
1.70
0.50
Clean Sheets
3 (60%)
3 (60%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.6 (18)
1.8 (9)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.2 (1)
Fouls
15.6 (78)
14.4 (72)
Offsides
2.4 (12)
1.4 (7)
Last 6 Matches
Estrela
VS
Famalicao
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
4/6 (67%)
5/6 (83%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
0.50
PPG
1.67
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
33%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.81
Avg xG
1.37
Estrela vs Famalicao: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Estrela and away matches for Famalicao
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Famalicao
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Estrela
Famalicao
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
1X2
Estrela
Famalicao
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
70%
7
0%
0
Double Chance
Estrela
Famalicao
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
30%
3
100%
10
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
Estrela
Famalicao
0-1
30%
3
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Estrela
Under
Over
Famalicao
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Famalicao
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
Estrela
Famalicao
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
40%
4
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Estrela
Famalicao
xG
1.51
1.27
xGa
1.28
0.67
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Famalicao
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Estrela
Famalicao
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Estrela
Famalicao
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
30%
3
60%
6
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Estrela
Famalicao
12
70%
7
40%
4
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Estrela
Famalicao
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Famalicao
Yes
40%
4
50%
5
No
60%
6
50%
5
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Famalicao
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Estrela
Famalicao
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Estrela
Famalicao
1
30%
3
80%
8
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
50%
5
0%
0
Double Chance
Estrela
Famalicao
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
50%
5
100%
10
X2
70%
7
20%
2
Total Goals
Estrela
Famalicao
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Famalicao
Yes
30%
3
80%
8
No
70%
7
20%
2
1.14
xG
1.35
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
6
4
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
3
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In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Estrela will take on Famalicao as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 33 and will take place on 2026-05-11 at 2026-05-11 in the famous Estádio José Gomes.
The referee for the game will be F. Veríssimo. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Estrela, and the visiting side, Famalicao. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Famalicao.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-05-11
Time: 19:15
Location: Estádio José Gomes
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!