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Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 27
Preview
Estrela
Estrela
11th place
Form
VS
17:00
22 Mar 2026
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
13th place
Form
Match Info -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Estrela vs Casa Pia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 March, 2026 12:00

No prediction data available for this match.

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
17:00
Estrela
:
Casa Pia

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Estrela
l l d w l
11 Played
3 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (14 total)
xG
1.40 (15.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.1 (144 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (28% acc)
Corners
3.9 (43 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
13.3 (146 total)
Offsides
1.6 (18 total)
11 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (12 total)
xG
0.80 (8.6 total)
Shots per Match
7.1 (78 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (44% acc)
Corners
2.2 (24 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
15.5 (170 total)
Offsides
1.5 (17 total)
22 Played
5 Wins
8 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (26 total)
xG
1.10 (24.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.1 (222 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (33% acc)
Corners
3 (67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
14.4 (316 total)
Offsides
1.6 (35 total)
Casa Pia
l d w d w
11 Played
2 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (15 total)
xG
0.90 (9.7 total)
Shots per Match
7.5 (83 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (36% acc)
Corners
2.8 (31 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
15.4 (169 total)
Offsides
0.9 (10 total)
11 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (10 total)
xG
0.90 (9.8 total)
Shots per Match
8.9 (98 total)
Shots on Target
3 (34% acc)
Corners
3.7 (41 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.4 (158 total)
Offsides
1.8 (20 total)
22 Played
5 Wins
7 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (25 total)
xG
0.90 (19.5 total)
Shots per Match
8.2 (181 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (35% acc)
Corners
3.3 (72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14.9 (327 total)
Offsides
1.4 (30 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Estrela will take on Casa Pia as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-03-22 at 2026-03-22 in the famous Estádio José Gomes. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Estrela, and the visiting side, Casa Pia. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-22 Time: 17:00 Location: Estádio José Gomes Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Estrela vs Casa Pia Sunday, Mar 22nd, 2026 at 12:00 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Trends for Estrela vs Casa Pia Football 22 Mar, 2026 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Estrela create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Estrela rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Estrela vs Casa Pia

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Casa Pia is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Estrela

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.37
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Casa Pia

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Estrela - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Casa Pia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Estrela - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
12
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3

✈️ Casa Pia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Casa Pia often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Casa Pia scoring first
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.201
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.061
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Estrela):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Casa Pia):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Estrela
Casa Pia

Estrela vs Casa Pia Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Mar, 2026 @ 12:00 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
Alverca
w l d l d
>
22
7
4
11
22
37
-15
25
11
Estrela
l l d w l
>
22
5
8
9
26
39
-13
23
12
Arouca
w l w w l
>
22
6
5
11
28
49
-21
23
13
Casa Pia
l d w d w
>
22
5
7
10
25
41
-16
22
14
Nacional
l w l d l
>
22
5
6
11
27
31
-4
21
Estrela
VS
Casa Pia
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (9)
1.2 (6)
xG
0.90
1.00
Shots
13.6 (68)
10.2 (51)
Shots on Target
4.8 (24)
3.8 (19)
Corners
4 (20)
4.6 (23)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 (6)
1.8 (9)
xGa
1.00
0.90
Clean Sheets
1 (20%)
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 (9)
2 (10)
Fouls
13.6 (68)
17.2 (86)
Offsides
1 (5)
1.6 (8)
1 Nov
- 18:00
Casa Pia
Estrela
1.05
xG
2.08
3
5
Prob 70%
Home Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.61
9 Feb
- 20:30
Casa Pia
Estrela
1.46
xG
0.25
1
0
31 Aug
- 17:00
Estrela
Casa Pia
0.46
xG
0.60
0
1
8 Mar
- 20:45
Estrela
Casa Pia
3
1
8 Oct
- 14:30
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
1
Last 6 Matches
Estrela
VS
Casa Pia
1/6 (17%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.83 PPG 1.33
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
2.50 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
50% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
0.69 Avg xG 1.21
Estrela
L L D W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Guimaraes
2 1
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Estrela
1 0
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 20:30
Alverca
1 1
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Benfica
4 0
Estrela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Estrela
0 5
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Estrela
3 3
SC Braga
Casa Pia
L D W D W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Casa Pia
3 2
Arouca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 15:30
Nacional
0 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Feb 2026 - 20:45
Casa Pia
2 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Casa Pia
3 3
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
16 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Sporting CP
3 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Rio Ave
3 1
Casa Pia

Estrela vs Casa Pia: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Estrela and away matches for Casa Pia

Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estrela
Casa Pia
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
1X2
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Estrela
Casa Pia
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Estrela
Casa Pia
0-1
20% 2
30% 3
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
60% 6
30% 3
Total Corners
Estrela
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Casa Pia
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Estrela
Casa Pia
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
30% 3
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Estrela
Casa Pia
xG
0.86
0.91
xGa
1.8
1.64
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estrela
Casa Pia
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Estrela
Casa Pia
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Estrela
Casa Pia
0-1
70% 7
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Casa Pia
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
Number of goals
Estrela
Under
Over
Casa Pia
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estrela
Casa Pia
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Estrela
Casa Pia
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Estrela
Casa Pia
0-1
30% 3
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
10% 1
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Estrela
Casa Pia
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1.21 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
No Posts Found