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Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 19
Preview
Estoril
Estoril
9th place
Form
VS
20:30
24 Jan 2026
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
8th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Guimaraes
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Estoril vs Guimaraes: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 24 January, 2026 15:30

Winner (1x2)-
Estoril to Win
Probability 51%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 51%
Estoril Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 79%
Guimaraes Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 93%
Double Chance-
Estoril/Draw
Probability 80%
Asian Handicap-
Estoril +2.5
Probability 99%
Best Tip
Value
Double Chance Estoril or Draw
Odds 1.45
Win Prob. 80.6% EV: +16.9%
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20:30
Estoril W 51%
:
Guimaraes W 20%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Estoril
l w w l w
9 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (17 total)
xG
1.30 (11.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (104 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (37% acc)
Corners
4.6 (41 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.2 (110 total)
Offsides
1.3 (12 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (16 total)
xG
1.20 (11.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (106 total)
Shots on Target
4 (34% acc)
Corners
4.2 (38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
13.2 (119 total)
Offsides
1.3 (12 total)
18 Played
6 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (33 total)
xG
1.30 (23.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.7 (210 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (35% acc)
Corners
4.4 (79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.7 (229 total)
Offsides
1.3 (24 total)
Guimaraes
w l d w l
10 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (14 total)
xG
1.10 (11.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (128 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (30% acc)
Corners
4.4 (44 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
15.5 (155 total)
Offsides
1.8 (18 total)
8 Played
3 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5 (4 total)
xG
1.00 (8.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (103 total)
Shots on Target
3 (23% acc)
Corners
4.1 (33 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.6 (101 total)
Offsides
2 (16 total)
18 Played
7 Wins
4 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (18 total)
xG
1.10 (19.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (231 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (27% acc)
Corners
4.3 (77 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
14.2 (256 total)
Offsides
1.9 (34 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.59 vs 0.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.79%
0:1
6.94%
0:2
2.23%
0:3
0.48%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
13.84%
🔥
1:1
12.21%
1:2
4.99%
1:3
1.3%
1:4
0.25%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
8.88%
2:1
9.96%
2:2
5.08%
2:3
1.6%
2:4
0.36%
2:5
0.06%
3
3:0
3.8%
3:1
5.17%
3:2
3.19%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.32%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
1.22%
4:1
1.95%
4:2
1.42%
4:3
0.63%
4:4
0.19%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.31%
5:1
0.57%
5:2
0.48%
5:3
0.25%
5:4
0.09%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.8%
0
20.8%
1
23.3%
2
19.2%
3
12.8%
4
7.3%
5
3.6%
6
1.5%
7
0.5%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

EstorilHDPGuimaraes
8.8%
Very Low@ 10.50
-2.5
0.9%
@ 12.00Very Low
16.6%
Very Low@ 9.60
-2
2.9%
@ 11.50Very Low
24.5%
Low@ 5.25
-1.5
4.9%
@ 6.00Very Low
38.2%
Low@ 4.15
-1
11.8%
@ 4.80Very Low
52.0%
Medium@ 2.52
-0.5
18.7%
@ 2.77Very Low
81.3%
Very High@ 1.47
+0.5
48.0%
@ 1.55Medium
88.2%
Very High@ 1.18
+1
61.8%
@ 1.22High
95.1%
Very High@ 1.13
+1.5
75.5%
@ 1.16High
97.1%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
83.4%
@ 1.02Very High
99.1%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
91.2%
@ 1.01Very High

Team Total Predictions

EstorilOutcomeGuimaraes
79.6%
High@ 1.35
Over 0.5
61.3%
@ 1.37High
20.4%
Low@ 3.40
Under 0.5
38.7%
@ 3.00Low
47.2%
Medium@ 2.52
Over 1.5
24.6%
@ 2.75Low
52.8%
Medium@ 1.53
Under 1.5
75.4%
@ 1.44High
21.4%
Low@ 6.50
Over 2.5
7.1%
@ 7.50Very Low
78.6%
High@ 1.13
Under 2.5
92.9%
@ 1.10Very High
7.7%
Very Low@ 17.00
Over 3.5
1.6%
@ 21.00Very Low
92.3%
Very High@ 1.03
Under 3.5
98.4%
@ 1.02Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Estoril will take on Guimaraes as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2026-01-24 at 2026-01-24 in the famous Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Estoril, and the visiting side, Guimaraes. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Guimaraes. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-24 Time: 20:30 Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Estoril vs Guimaraes Saturday, Jan 24th, 2026 at 15:30 Football

AI Value Bets
4 Found

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Match Winner Estoril
High Value
Prob: 50.6%
EV: +32.1%
Stake: $1.55
2.61
Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 80%
EV: +15.9%
Stake: $5.56
1.45
Win to Nil Guimaraes NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 89.4%
EV: +3.6%
Stake: $10.00
1.16
Asian Handicap Estoril +1
Value
Prob: 87.8%
EV: +3.6%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-19 18:08:19
spinner

Trends for Estoril vs Guimaraes Football 24 Jan, 2026 15:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Guimaraes struggle to score — failed to find net in 7/7 recent away matches

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Estoril vs Guimaraes

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Estoril is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (16 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Estoril

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Guimaraes

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Estoril - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Guimaraes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Estoril - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Guimaraes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Estoril often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Estoril scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Estoril is stronger in the first half (16 vs 9)
  • First Half Result: Consider Estoril to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Estoril has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Estoril handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.093
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.077
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Estoril):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Guimaraes):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Estoril
Guimaraes

Estoril vs Guimaraes Head-to-head statistics for Sat 24 Jan, 2026 @ 15:30 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
Famalicao
w l l l w
>
18
7
5
6
21
14
7
26
8
Guimaraes
w l d w l
>
18
7
4
7
18
23
-5
25
9
Estoril
l w w l w
>
18
6
5
7
33
29
4
23
10
Alverca
l l l w w
>
18
7
2
9
19
28
-9
23
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Guimaraes
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Estoril
VS
Guimaraes
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
6 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (6)
1.7 (12)
xG
0.80
1.40
Shots
10.6 (74)
14.1 (99)
Shots on Target
4 (28)
4.3 (30)
Corners
4.1 (29)
6.1 (43)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (12)
0.9 (6)
xGa
1.40
0.80
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
3 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 (17)
3.1 (22)
Red Cards
0.3 (2)
0 (0)
Fouls
14.3 (100)
17.6 (123)
Offsides
2.4 (17)
2.1 (15)
16 Aug
- 17:00
Guimaraes
Estoril
2.00
xG
1.11
3
2
26 Jan
- 15:30
Estoril
Guimaraes
1.07
xG
0.50
1
0
18 Aug
- 17:00
Guimaraes
Estoril
1.79
xG
0.20
1
0
2 Mar
- 18:00
Estoril
Guimaraes
1
3
1 Oct
- 17:00
Guimaraes
Estoril
3
2
4 Feb
- 20:30
Estoril
Guimaraes
0
1
14 Aug
- 19:30
Guimaraes
Estoril
1
0
Last 6 Matches
Estoril
VS
Guimaraes
3/6 (50%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.67 PPG 1.33
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
50% BTTS % 33%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.50 Avg xG 1.05
Estoril
L W W L W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Jan 2026 - 20:15
Estrela
0 5
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
3 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Benfica
3 1
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Estoril
4 1
Alverca
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Dec 2025 - 20:15
Estoril
1 0
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Famalicao
4 0
Estoril
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Estoril
3 3
Moreirense
Guimaraes
W L D W L
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 20:30
Guimaraes
0 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 20:45
Guimaraes
2 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 0
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Dec 2025 - 20:45
Guimaraes
1 4
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Rio Ave
0 1
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Guimaraes
0 0
GIL Vicente

Estoril vs Guimaraes: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Estoril and away matches for Guimaraes

Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estoril
Guimaraes
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8
1X2
Estoril
Guimaraes
1
50% 5
40% 4
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Estoril
Guimaraes
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
50% 5
60% 6
Total Goals
Estoril
Guimaraes
0-1
20% 2
50% 5
2-3
10% 1
30% 3
4+
70% 7
20% 2
Total Corners
Estoril
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Estoril
Guimaraes
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
1X2 HT - FT
Estoril
Guimaraes
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Estoril
Guimaraes
xG
1.57
1
xGa
1.44
1.21
Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estoril
Guimaraes
Yes
30% 3
0% 0
No
70% 7
100% 10
1X2
Estoril
Guimaraes
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
20% 2
60% 6
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Estoril
Guimaraes
12
80% 8
40% 4
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Estoril
Guimaraes
0-1
40% 4
80% 8
2-3
50% 5
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Estoril
Guimaraes
Yes
40% 4
80% 8
No
60% 6
20% 2
Number of goals
Estoril
Under
Over
Guimaraes
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Estoril
Guimaraes
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Estoril
Guimaraes
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Estoril
Guimaraes
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
50% 5
70% 7
Total Goals
Estoril
Guimaraes
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Estoril
Guimaraes
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1.72 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 9
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
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