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La Liga 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
7 Dec 2025-13:00
Elche
Elche
11th place
- : -
7 Dec 2025 7:00
Girona
Girona
18th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Elche vs Girona: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 7:00

1×2 Prediction
Elche
45%29%26%
ElcheDrawGirona
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
58%42%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
52%48%
NoYes
Team Total - Elche
Under 1.5
61%39%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Girona
Under 1.5
73%27%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Elche/Draw
74%26%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Girona +1
70%30%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip Value
Total - Away Girona Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.45
72.8%
EV: +5.6%
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Elche vs. Girona: La Liga Clash with Relegation Implications

Main Stakes of the Match

This La Liga encounter between Elche and Girona is crucial for both sides, with Elche sitting in 11th place with 16 points, while Girona finds itself in the relegation zone at 18th with just 12 points. With both teams struggling for consistency, this match presents an opportunity for Elche to solidify their mid-table position or for Girona to claw their way out of the drop zone.

Current Form & Trends

As we delve into the recent performances, it's evident that both teams are facing challenges in their campaigns.

  • Elche: The home side has been struggling lately, registering three consecutive losses and failing to win any of their last five matches. They’ve managed to score only 0.8 goals per match on average while conceding 1.6, indicating a vulnerable attack and defense.
  • Girona: Girona, on the other hand, has shown signs of improvement with a mix of draws and a win in their last five matches. However, their away form has been disappointing, failing to secure a victory on the road, which limits their chances of gaining crucial points.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Girona has had the upper hand in this matchup, winning both of the last two encounters against Elche. The recent results indicate a trend of Girona's dominance, with an average of 2.5 goals scored per match in their last five meetings, suggesting that these matches are often high-scoring affairs.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

In terms of tactics, Elche will need to tighten their defense to bounce back from recent losses, while Girona will aim to exploit Elche's vulnerabilities. Key players like Iñaki Peña and M. Dituro will be essential in maintaining a solid defensive line for Elche. For Girona, A. Ounahi could be pivotal in the midfield, looking to control the tempo and create chances for the forwards.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Home Win.
Predicted Score: Elche 2 - 1 Girona
Reasoning: Despite recent struggles, Elche's home form shows promise, and with Girona's away form lacking, the home side is expected to secure a narrow victory.

Betting Tips

  • Safe Bet: Match Winner - Home @ 2.25 (44.9%).
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.99 (58.5%).

Bet responsibly.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.31 vs 0.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.85%
0:1
9.83%
0:2
4.07%
0:3
1.13%
0:4
0.23%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
14.1%
🔥
1:1
13.07%
1:2
5.99%
1:3
1.81%
1:4
0.41%
1:5
0.07%
2
2:0
8.38%
2:1
8.6%
2:2
4.33%
2:3
1.43%
2:4
0.35%
2:5
0.07%
3
3:0
3.32%
3:1
3.74%
3:2
2.05%
3:3
0.74%
3:4
0.19%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
0.99%
4:1
1.21%
4:2
0.72%
4:3
0.28%
4:4
0.08%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.23%
5:1
0.31%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.08%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (14.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

11.9%
0
23.9%
1
25.5%
2
19.0%
3
11.1%
4
5.4%
5
2.2%
6
0.7%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Elche
vs
Girona
Dec 7, 13:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

La Liga 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
Real Sociedad
w w d w l
>
14
4
4
6
19
21
-2
16
11
Elche
l l d d l
>
14
3
7
4
15
17
-2
16
12
Celta Vigo
w w l w l
>
14
3
7
4
16
19
-3
16

17
Osasuna
l d l l d
>
14
3
3
8
12
18
-6
12
18
Girona
d l w d d
>
14
2
6
6
13
26
-13
12
19
Oviedo
d l d l d
>
15
2
4
9
7
22
-15
10
Last 6 Matches
Elche
VS
Girona
0/6 (0%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.50 PPG 1.00
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.50
50% BTTS % 83%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.92 Avg xG 1.30
Elche
L L D D L
La Liga 2025-2026
28 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Getafe
1 0
Elche
La Liga 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Elche
2 2
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
7 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Elche
1 1
Real Sociedad
La Liga 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Barcelona
3 1
Elche
La Liga 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 14:15
Espanyol
1 0
Elche
La Liga 2025-2026
19 Oct 2025 - 12:00
Elche
0 0
Athletic Club
Girona
D L W D D
La Liga 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Girona
1 1
Real Madrid
La Liga 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 15:15
Real Betis
1 1
Girona
La Liga 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 13:00
Girona
1 0
Alaves
La Liga 2025-2026
31 Oct 2025 - 20:00
Getafe
2 1
Girona
La Liga 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 12:00
Girona
3 3
Oviedo
La Liga 2025-2026
18 Oct 2025 - 14:15
Barcelona
2 1
Girona
Missing Players
Elche
Girona
- Injured - Ankle Injury
17
d
- Injured - Back Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
11
m
- Injured - Foot Injury
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
8
f
- Injured - Knee Injury
7
f
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
47% Draw 24%
42% Over 2.5 58%
48% Both Teams Score 52%
1.78 xPTS 1.22
1.27 xG [Total: 2.24] 0.97
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
4 Corners [Total: 7] 3
2 Offsides [Total: 4] 2
13 Fouls [Total: 27] 14
5 Shots on Goal [Total: 9] 4
In this exciting La Liga 2025-2026 matchup, Elche will take on Girona as part of the 2025-2026 season in La Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Elche, and the visiting side, Girona. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Girona. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-07 Time: 13:00 Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Elche vs Girona Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 7:00 Football

Value Bets

4 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Correct Score 1:0
Odds: 8.79
13.8%
EV: +21.4% Kelly: $1.37
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Best Tip Value
Away Total Girona Under 1.5
Odds: 1.45
72.8%
EV: +5.6% Kelly: $6.23
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Girona +1.5
Odds: 1.24
81.9%
EV: +1.6% Kelly: $3.29
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 16:30:40
spinner

Trends for Elche vs Girona Football 7 Dec, 2025 7:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Elche have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 83% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Elche vs Girona

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Elche is stronger in the second half (13 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Elche

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.12
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Girona

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Elche - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Girona - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Elche - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Girona - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
9

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Elche shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 9 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Elche winning the second half
  • Overall Result: Elche has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Elche handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.009
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.016
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Elche):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Girona):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Elche
Girona

Elche vs Girona Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 7:00 La Liga

Elche vs Girona: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Elche and away matches for Girona

Number of goals

Number of goals
Elche
Under
Over
Girona
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Elche
Girona
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3

1X2

1X2
Elche
Girona
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
40% 4
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Elche
Girona
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
80% 8
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Elche
Girona
0-1
40% 4
20% 2
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
30% 3
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
Elche
Under
Over
Girona
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Elche
Girona
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Elche
Girona
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
30% 3
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT X
30% 3
10% 1

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Elche
Girona
xG
1.16
1.1
xGa
1.43
1.66

Number of goals

Number of goals
Elche
Under
Over
Girona
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Elche
Girona
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Elche
Girona
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
70% 7
30% 3
2
20% 2
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Elche
Girona
12
30% 3
70% 7
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
90% 9
50% 5

Total Goals

Total Goals
Elche
Girona
0-1
80% 8
90% 9
2-3
20% 2
10% 1
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Elche
Girona
Yes
70% 7
70% 7
No
30% 3
30% 3

Number of goals

Number of goals
Elche
Under
Over
Girona
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Elche
Girona
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Elche
Girona
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
40% 4
60% 6

Double Chance

Double Chance
Elche
Girona
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
60% 6
40% 4
X2
80% 8
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Elche
Girona
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
10% 1
30% 3
4+
20% 2
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Elche
Girona
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
Team comparison
Prediction
Girona Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
6.5%
Low
8.70
2.0%
Low
16.00
-2
12.9%
Low
7.80
5.1%
Low
16.50
-1.5
19.4%
Low
4.00
8.2%
Low
7.20
-1
31.9%
Low
3.36
17.0%
Low
6.25
-0.5
44.3%
Low
2.16
25.7%
Low
3.42
+0.5
74.3%
High
1.36
55.7%
Medium
1.77
+1
83.0%
High
1.12
68.1%
Medium
1.36
+1.5
91.8%
High
1.10
80.6%
High
1.24
+2
94.9%
High
1.01
87.1%
High
1.02
+2.5
98.0%
High
1.02
93.5%
High
1.01
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.537.54%Low2.13
Under 1.562.46%Medium1.79
AwayOver 1.524.44%Low2.94
Under 1.575.56%High1.45
HomeOver 2.514.43%Low4.80
Under 2.585.57%High1.21
AwayOver 2.57.06%Low7.60
Under 2.592.94%High1.10
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
16 Apr
- 12:00
Girona
Elche
2
0
8 Nov
- 18:00
Elche
Girona
1
2
club logo
Elche
Girona
Played: 2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
2
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
1
0.5
Goals
2
4
4
2
Goals Conceded
0.5
1
6
3
Yellow Cards
2.5
5
1
0.5
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.5
1
6
3
Corners
4
8
30
15
Fouls
9
18
3
1.5
Offsides
1.5
3
24
12
Shots
17.5
35
7
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.5
7
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 3 0 3
Draws 4 3 7
Losses 0 4 4
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 9 0.9 6 1.1 15
Goals Conceded 0.7 5 1.7 12 1.2 17
Yellow Cards 2.1 15 2 14 2.1 29
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0 0.2 3
Corners 3.4 24 2.9 20 3.1 44
Fouls 12.4 87 12.6 88 12.5 175
Offsides 1.9 13 1.4 10 1.6 23
Shots 13.6 95 8 56 10.8 151
Shots on Goal 4.9 34 3 21 3.9 55
Home Away All
Played 8 6 14
Wins 2 0 2
Draws 3 3 6
Losses 3 3 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 8 0.8 5 0.9 13
Goals Conceded 1.8 14 2 12 1.9 26
Yellow Cards 1.8 14 2.3 14 2 28
Red Cards 0.5 4 0 0.3 4
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0 0.1 2
Corners 5.5 44 2.2 13 4.1 57
Fouls 9.5 76 12 72 10.6 148
Offsides 1.4 11 2 12 1.6 23
Shots 9.1 73 9.2 55 9.1 128
Shots on Goal 3.3 26 4.2 25 3.6 51
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