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Derby
1
1
Portsmouth
Derby vs Wrexham: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 10:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.77 vs 0.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
21.39%
🔥
0:1
16.53%
0:2
6.38%
⭐
0:3
1.64%
0:4
0.32%
⭐
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
15.24%
1:1
13%
⭐
1:2
5.5%
⭐
1:3
1.54%
1:4
0.32%
1:5
0.05%
2
2:0
5.43%
⭐
2:1
5.07%
⭐
2:2
2.33%
⭐
2:3
0.71%
⭐
2:4
0.16%
⭐
2:5
0.03%
⭐
3
3:0
1.29%
⭐
3:1
1.31%
3:2
0.65%
⭐
3:3
0.21%
3:4
0.05%
⭐
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
0.23%
⭐
4:1
0.25%
4:2
0.13%
⭐
4:3
0.05%
⭐
4:4
0.01%
⭐
4:5
0%
⭐
5
5:0
0.03%
⭐
5:1
0.04%
⭐
5:2
0.02%
⭐
5:3
0.01%
⭐
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
⭐
Hotspot:
0:0 (21.4%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
▼
8
7
7
36
31
5
31
12
8
7
7
31
30
1
31
13
▼
8
7
7
31
31
0
31
14
▼
8
5
9
30
29
1
29
15
6
10
6
27
27
0
28
16
8
4
10
25
29
-4
28
0.68
xG
0.77
62%
Ball Possession
38%
14
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
Wrexham
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.33
PPG
1.00
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
83%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.09
Avg xG
1.06
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on Wrexham as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 26 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous Pride Park Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, Wrexham. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Derby or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-04
Time: 15:00
Location: Pride Park Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Derby vs Wrexham Football 4 Jan, 2026 10:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Derby vs Wrexham, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(1 trends)
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1275%Derby score (1.25/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Wrexham disciplined play balances Derby aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Wrexham(1 trends) — avg 2.8 (-43% below league)
- Few CornersLeague11/1185%Wrexham average 2.8 corners/match in away matches (-43% below league avg 5.0)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+5 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Derby vs Wrexham
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Wrexham is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Wrexham
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Wrexham - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Wrexham - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Wrexham often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Wrexham scoring first
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.072
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.07
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Wrexham):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Derby vs Wrexham Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 10:00 Championship
Derby vs Wrexham: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for Wrexham
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Wrexham
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
90%
9
50%
5
No
10%
1
50%
5
1X2
Derby
Wrexham
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Derby
Wrexham
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Derby
Wrexham
0-1
0%
0
30%
3
2-3
70%
7
50%
5
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
Wrexham
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
Wrexham
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Derby
Wrexham
xG
1.02
1.11
xGa
1.07
1.4
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Wrexham
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Derby
Wrexham
1
70%
7
30%
3
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
10%
1
40%
4
Double Chance
Derby
Wrexham
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
90%
9
60%
6
X2
30%
3
70%
7
Total Goals
Derby
Wrexham
0-1
70%
7
90%
9
2-3
30%
3
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Wrexham
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2
Derby
Wrexham
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Derby
Wrexham
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Derby
Wrexham
0-1
30%
3
80%
8
2-3
60%
6
10%
1
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Derby or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 18.05% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 81.95% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 20.20% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 79.80% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 4.32% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 95.68% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 5.18% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 94.82% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Derby
Wrexham
Played:
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
1
1
Goals
1
1
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
1
5
5
Yellow Cards
1
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
3
3
Corners
3
3
15
15
Fouls
9
9
1
1
Offsides
2
2
5
5
Shots
8
8
3
3
Shots on Goal
5
5
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 15 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.4 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 18 | 1.2 | 12 | 1.4 | 30 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 26 | 2.5 | 25 | 2.3 | 51 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 64 | 4 | 40 | 4.7 | 104 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 131 | 12.5 | 125 | 11.6 | 256 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 23 | 0.9 | 9 | 1.5 | 32 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 123 | 7.8 | 78 | 9.1 | 201 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.3 | 40 | 2.9 | 29 | 3.1 | 69 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 5 | 5 | 10 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 17 | 0.9 | 10 | 1.2 | 27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 15 | 1.1 | 12 | 1.2 | 27 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.3 | 14 | 2.2 | 24 | 1.7 | 38 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.3 | 6 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 56 | 2.8 | 31 | 4 | 87 |
| Fouls | 8.3 | 91 | 9.4 | 103 | 8.8 | 194 |
| Offsides | 2.3 | 25 | 1.9 | 21 | 2.1 | 46 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 142 | 6.9 | 76 | 9.9 | 218 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.5 | 49 | 2.4 | 26 | 3.4 | 75 |