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Derby
Derby vs Wrexham: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 9:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
Wrexham
4/6 (67%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
2.00
PPG
2.00
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
0.50
100%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.94
Avg xG
1.16
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
0.80
xG [Total: 1.64]
0.84
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
5
Corners [Total: 8]
3
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
12
Fouls [Total: 23]
11
3
Shots on Goal [Total: 6]
3
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on Wrexham as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 26 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous Pride Park Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, Wrexham. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-04
Time: 15:00
Location: Pride Park Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Derby vs Wrexham Football 4 Jan, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Wrexham have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Derby vs Wrexham, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(1 trends)
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Wrexham(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Wrexham concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/967%Derby score (1.33/match) and concede (1.44/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Wrexham(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague4/850%Wrexham score well (1.00/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.88 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 50% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Wrexham(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent6/875%Wrexham scored 0-1 goals in 6 of their last 8 Championship (Away) matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🛡️ Double Chance
Wrexham(1 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Wrexham concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Derby(2 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent13/1587%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent23/3077%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
Wrexham(3 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Wrexham concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Defensive SolidarityRecent8/8100%Wrexham rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 8 of their last 8 Championship (Away) matches
- Defensive SolidarityRecent18/18100%Wrexham rarely concede chances (xGA under 1.0) in 18 of their last 18 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Derby average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent13/1587%Derby receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Derby receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
Wrexham(1 trends)
- Many CardsRecent6/875%Wrexham receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 Championship (Away) matches
Both teams show aggressive play - • H2H average: 6 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Wrexham(2 trends) — avg 2.5 (-49% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Wrexham average 2.5 corners/match in away matches (-49% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent8/8100%Wrexham win 4 or fewer corners in 8 of their last 8 Championship (Away) matches
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+17 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Derby vs Wrexham
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Wrexham
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
18
Momentum
0.13
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Wrexham - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.17
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.44
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.56
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.44
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Wrexham - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.122
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.026
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Wrexham):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Derby vs Wrexham Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship
Derby vs Wrexham: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for Wrexham
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Wrexham
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Derby
Wrexham
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
10%
1
50%
5
2
30%
3
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Wrexham
12
90%
9
50%
5
1X
70%
7
90%
9
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Wrexham
0-1
30%
3
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
20%
2
10%
1
Total Corners
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
Wrexham
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
20%
2
50%
5
No
80%
8
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
Wrexham
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Derby
Wrexham
xG
0.98
1.07
xGa
1.28
0.86
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Wrexham
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
10%
1
0%
0
No
90%
9
100%
10
1X2
1X2
Derby
Wrexham
1
70%
7
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Wrexham
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
30%
3
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Wrexham
0-1
80%
8
100%
10
2-3
20%
2
0%
0
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
80%
8
70%
7
No
20%
2
30%
3
Number of goals
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Wrexham
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Derby
Wrexham
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
Derby
Wrexham
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Derby
Wrexham
0-1
50%
5
90%
9
2-3
40%
4
0%
0
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Derby
Wrexham
Yes
40%
4
70%
7
No
60%
6
30%
3
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Derby
Wrexham
Played:
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
1
1
Goals
1
1
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
1
5
5
Yellow Cards
1
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
3
3
Corners
3
3
15
15
Fouls
9
9
1
1
Offsides
2
2
5
5
Shots
8
8
3
3
Shots on Goal
5
5
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 20 | 2.7 | 24 | 2.4 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 44 | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 79 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 106 | 13 | 117 | 12.4 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Shots | 9.1 | 82 | 7 | 63 | 8.1 | 145 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 27 | 2.4 | 22 | 2.7 | 49 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 10 | 8 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 1.3 | 23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 13 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.1 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.1 | 11 | 2.5 | 20 | 1.7 | 31 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 3 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 6 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 49 | 2.5 | 20 | 3.8 | 69 |
| Fouls | 8.1 | 81 | 10.3 | 82 | 9.1 | 163 |
| Offsides | 2 | 20 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 36 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 128 | 6.8 | 54 | 10.1 | 182 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.6 | 46 | 2.6 | 21 | 3.7 | 67 |