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Derby vs West Brom: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 23 January, 2026 15:00
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Upgrade to PremiumPrediction League
14
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(14.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(144 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
5.7
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.7
(150 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
14
Played
7
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(21 total)
xG
0.90
(13.3 total)
Shots per Match
8.9
(124 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(33% acc)
Corners
3.9
(54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.4
(173 total)
Offsides
1
(14 total)
28
Played
11
Wins
8
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(38 total)
xG
1.00
(27.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.6
(268 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(34% acc)
Corners
4.8
(134 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.5
(323 total)
Offsides
1.4
(39 total)
14
Played
6
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(18 total)
xG
1.40
(19.5 total)
Shots per Match
15.1
(211 total)
Shots on Target
5
(33% acc)
Corners
6.4
(90 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.1
(142 total)
Offsides
1.9
(27 total)
14
Played
3
Wins
0
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(13 total)
xG
1.00
(14.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.9
(166 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(31% acc)
Corners
4
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.2
(129 total)
Offsides
1.6
(22 total)
28
Played
9
Wins
4
Draws
15
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(31 total)
xG
1.20
(33.9 total)
Shots per Match
13.5
(377 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(32% acc)
Corners
5.2
(146 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
9.7
(271 total)
Offsides
1.8
(49 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.43 vs 0.99
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.85%
0:1
8.78%
0:2
3.92%
0:3
1.16%
0:4
0.26%
0:5
0.05%
1
1:0
13.12%
🔥
1:1
12.67%
1:2
6.08%
1:3
1.93%
1:4
0.46%
1:5
0.09%
2
2:0
8.73%
⭐
2:1
9.08%
2:2
4.67%
2:3
1.59%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.08%
3
3:0
3.88%
⭐
3:1
4.32%
⭐
3:2
2.37%
⭐
3:3
0.86%
⭐
3:4
0.23%
3:5
0.05%
4
4:0
1.29%
⭐
4:1
1.53%
⭐
4:2
0.9%
⭐
4:3
0.34%
⭐
4:4
0.1%
⭐
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.34%
⭐
5:1
0.43%
⭐
5:2
0.27%
⭐
5:3
0.11%
5:4
0.03%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (13.1%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on West Brom as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 29 and will take place on 2026-01-23 at 2026-01-23 in the famous Pride Park Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, West Brom. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Derby or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-23
Time: 20:00
Location: Pride Park Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Derby vs West Brom Friday, Jan 23rd, 2026 at 15:00 Football
AI Value Bets
3 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Derby vs West Brom Football 23 Jan, 2026 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Derby vs West Brom, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Derby @ 2.60 ✅ 
Derby
- UnbeatenH2H5/5100%Derby are unbeaten in their last 5 5 matches
- WonH2H4/580%Derby have won their last 4 5 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H4/580%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 4 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
West Brom
- Not WinH2H4/580%West Brom have not won their last 4 5 matches
- LostH2H4/580%West Brom have lost their last 4 5 matches
Derby dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.09 ⚠️ 
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1275%Derby score (1.25/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.60 
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H3/560%Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 H2H matches (60.0%%)
Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
🛡️ Double Chance — Derby Win or Draw @ 1.42 ✅
Derby
- UnbeatenH2H5/5100%Derby are unbeaten in their last 5 5 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H5/5100%Derby are undefeated at half time in their last 5 5 matches
West Brom
- Not WinH2H4/580%West Brom have not won their last 4 5 matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Derby to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Derby Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.84 ⚠️ 
Derby
- Scored 1+Recent4/580%Derby scored 1+ goals in their last 4 5 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent4/580%Derby score in second half in their last 4 5 matches
Derby's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.90 ✅ 
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.4 (+22% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
West Brom(2 trends) — avg 1.6 (-18% below league)
- Few CardsH2H5/5100%West Brom receive 0-1 card in 5 of their last 5 Championship matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague22/2284.5%West Brom average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 1.8)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 3.0 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
West Brom disciplined play balances Derby aggression — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.90
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.18 ⚠️ 
Derby(1 trends) — avg 5.2 (+2% above league)
- Few CornersH2H3/475%Derby win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 Championship matches
West Brom(1 trends) — avg 4.0 (-20% below league)
- Few CornersLeague12/1285%West Brom average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-20% below league avg 5.0)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.18
+11 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Derby vs West Brom
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: West Brom is stronger in the second half (16 vs 6).
⚡ Final Stage: West Brom is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: West Brom is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.05
✈️ West Brom
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ West Brom - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
4
✈️ West Brom - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: West Brom shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 6 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of West Brom winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: West Brom excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of West Brom scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.066
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.023
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.028 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (West Brom):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Derby vs West Brom Head-to-head statistics for Fri 23 Jan, 2026 @ 15:00 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
▲
10
11
7
40
35
5
41
10
▲
11
8
9
38
36
2
41
11
▼
11
7
10
38
31
7
40
18
8
8
11
27
34
-7
32
19
9
4
15
31
43
-12
31
20
▲
8
6
14
35
40
-5
30
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Derby or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Derby
VS
West Brom
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (7)
0.4 (2)
xG
0.70
1.10
Shots
5.8 (29)
17.8 (89)
Shots on Target
2 (10)
4.6 (23)
Corners
2.8 (14)
5.4 (27)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 (2)
1.4 (7)
xGa
1.10
0.70
Clean Sheets
3 (60%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (10)
1 (5)
Fouls
11.4 (57)
8.4 (42)
Offsides
2.2 (11)
1.6 (8)
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
West Brom
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
5/6 (83%)
1.67
PPG
0.50
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
2.33
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.13
Avg xG
1.41
Derby vs West Brom: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for West Brom
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
West Brom
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
West Brom
Yes
70%
7
60%
6
No
30%
3
40%
4
1X2
Derby
West Brom
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
30%
3
0%
0
2
30%
3
80%
8
Double Chance
Derby
West Brom
12
70%
7
100%
10
1X
70%
7
20%
2
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Derby
West Brom
0-1
20%
2
20%
2
2-3
70%
7
40%
4
4+
10%
1
40%
4
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
West Brom
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
West Brom
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
West Brom
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
60%
6
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Derby
West Brom
xG
1.13
1.44
xGa
1.06
0.87
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
West Brom
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
West Brom
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Derby
West Brom
1
30%
3
0%
0
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
20%
2
60%
6
Double Chance
Derby
West Brom
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
80%
8
40%
4
X2
70%
7
100%
10
Total Goals
Derby
West Brom
0-1
60%
6
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
West Brom
Yes
60%
6
20%
2
No
40%
4
80%
8
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
West Brom
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
West Brom
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2
Derby
West Brom
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Derby
West Brom
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Derby
West Brom
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Derby
West Brom
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Missing Players
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Hamstring Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Inactive
-
Injured - Injury