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Form
Form
Championship 2025-2026 • Matchweek 41
Preview
Derby
Derby
8th place
Form
VS
14:00
6 Apr 2026
Stoke City
Stoke City
15th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Derby or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Derby vs Stoke City: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 6 April, 2026 9:00

No prediction data available for this match.

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Championship 2025-2026
14:00
Derby W 54%
:
Stoke City W 14%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Derby
w w l w w
21 Played
8 Wins
6 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (28 total)
xG
1.00 (21.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (219 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (34% acc)
Corners
5.1 (108 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
11 (230 total)
Offsides
1.7 (36 total)
19 Played
9 Wins
3 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (29 total)
xG
1.10 (21.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.8 (187 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (32% acc)
Corners
3.4 (65 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.1 (230 total)
Offsides
1.2 (22 total)
40 Played
17 Wins
9 Draws
14 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (57 total)
xG
1.10 (42.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (406 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (33% acc)
Corners
4.3 (173 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.5 (460 total)
Offsides
1.5 (58 total)
Stoke City
l l d w l
20 Played
9 Wins
5 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (30 total)
xG
1.20 (23.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (251 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (37% acc)
Corners
6.1 (122 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.7 (213 total)
Offsides
2.6 (52 total)
20 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (17 total)
xG
0.90 (17.8 total)
Shots per Match
9.5 (190 total)
Shots on Target
3 (31% acc)
Corners
4.9 (98 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.9 (198 total)
Offsides
2.6 (52 total)
40 Played
15 Wins
9 Draws
16 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (47 total)
xG
1.00 (40.9 total)
Shots per Match
11 (441 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (34% acc)
Corners
5.5 (220 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
13 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
10.3 (411 total)
Offsides
2.6 (104 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on Stoke City as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 41 and will take place on 2026-04-06 at 2026-04-06 in the famous Pride Park Stadium. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, Stoke City. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Derby or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-06 Time: 14:00 Location: Pride Park Stadium Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Derby vs Stoke City Monday, Apr 6th, 2026 at 9:00 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Trends for Derby vs Stoke City Football 6 Apr, 2026 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Stoke City struggle to score — failed to find net in 9/12 recent away matches

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Derby vs Stoke City

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Derby is stronger in the first half (13 vs 9).
🔄 Second Half: Stoke City is stronger in the second half (13 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Stoke City is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Derby

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Stoke City

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Derby - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

✈️ Stoke City - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Derby - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Stoke City - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Derby is stronger in the first half (13 vs 9)
  • First Half Result: Consider Derby to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Stoke City shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 5 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Stoke City winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Stoke City excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Stoke City scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.006
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.071
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.01 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Stoke City):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Derby
Stoke City

Derby vs Stoke City Head-to-head statistics for Mon 6 Apr, 2026 @ 9:00 Championship

Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
Wrexham
w l w l w
>
39
17
12
10
60
51
9
63
8
Derby
w w l w w
>
39
17
9
13
56
48
8
60
9
Watford
w d l w d
>
39
14
14
11
50
46
4
56

14
Swansea
l w w l l
>
39
15
7
17
44
49
-5
52
15
Stoke City
l l d w l
>
39
14
9
16
46
43
3
51
16
Bristol City
l l l d l
>
39
14
9
16
49
50
-1
51
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Derby or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Derby
VS
Stoke City
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (6)
1.4 (7)
xG
0.90
1.20
Shots
9.6 (48)
9.6 (48)
Shots on Target
3.6 (18)
3.4 (17)
Corners
4.8 (24)
6.2 (31)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 (7)
1.2 (6)
xGa
1.20
0.90
Clean Sheets
1 (20%)
1 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (10)
2 (10)
Fouls
11.2 (56)
10.6 (53)
Offsides
3 (15)
1.8 (9)
9 Aug
- 14:00
Stoke City
Derby
0.88
xG
0.42
3
1
3 May
- 11:30
Derby
Stoke City
1.75
xG
0.34
0
0
Prob 70%
Double Chance 1X
Odd 1.30
2 Nov
- 12:30
Stoke City
Derby
2.25
xG
0.64
2
1
30 Dec
- 19:45
Stoke City
Derby
1
2
18 Sep
- 14:00
Derby
Stoke City
2
1
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
Stoke City
4/6 (67%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
2.00 PPG 1.17
1.50 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
50% BTTS % 83%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.67 Avg xG 1.22
Derby
W W L W W
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 12:30
Derby
1 0
Birmingham
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
16 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Portsmouth
0 1
Derby
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Millwall
1 0
Derby
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 15:00
Derby
2 1
Sheffield Wednesday
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 12:30
Derby
3 1
Blackburn
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Hull City
4 2
Derby
Stoke City
L L D W L
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Preston
3 1
Stoke City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Mar 2026 - 15:00
Stoke City
3 1
Watford
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Stoke City
3 3
Ipswich
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 15:00
Swansea
2 0
Stoke City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 15:00
Coventry
2 1
Stoke City
Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Stoke City
2 1
Oxford United

Derby vs Stoke City: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for Stoke City

Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Stoke City
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Derby
Stoke City
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
1X2
Derby
Stoke City
1
60% 6
20% 2
X
0% 0
30% 3
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
Derby
Stoke City
12
100% 10
70% 7
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
40% 4
80% 8
Total Goals
Derby
Stoke City
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
30% 3
40% 4
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
Stoke City
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Stoke City
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
Stoke City
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
40% 4
HT X - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Derby
Stoke City
xG
1.44
1.07
xGa
0.86
1.57
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Stoke City
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Derby
Stoke City
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Derby
Stoke City
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
20% 2
60% 6
2
40% 4
10% 1
Double Chance
Derby
Stoke City
12
80% 8
40% 4
1X
60% 6
90% 9
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Derby
Stoke City
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Stoke City
Yes
40% 4
60% 6
No
60% 6
40% 4
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Stoke City
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Derby
Stoke City
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Derby
Stoke City
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
50% 5
10% 1
2
20% 2
70% 7
Double Chance
Derby
Stoke City
12
50% 5
90% 9
1X
80% 8
30% 3
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
Derby
Stoke City
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Derby
Stoke City
Yes
70% 7
20% 2
No
30% 3
80% 8
1.10 xG 0.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots Off Goal 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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