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Derby
2
1
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby vs Birmingham: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 March, 2026 7:30
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
20
Played
7
Wins
6
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(27 total)
xG
1.00
(20.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.1
(202 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
5.2
(103 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11
(220 total)
Offsides
1.7
(33 total)
17
Played
8
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(28 total)
xG
1.10
(19.1 total)
Shots per Match
9.6
(163 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(34% acc)
Corners
3.5
(60 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12
(204 total)
Offsides
1
(17 total)
37
Played
15
Wins
9
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(55 total)
xG
1.10
(39.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.9
(365 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(34% acc)
Corners
4.4
(163 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
11.5
(424 total)
Offsides
1.4
(50 total)
17
Played
8
Wins
7
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(31 total)
xG
1.70
(29.1 total)
Shots per Match
17.3
(294 total)
Shots on Target
5.2
(30% acc)
Corners
6.4
(109 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.6
(198 total)
Offsides
1.8
(30 total)
20
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(18 total)
xG
0.90
(17.3 total)
Shots per Match
9.8
(196 total)
Shots on Target
2.5
(25% acc)
Corners
4.5
(90 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
11.2
(224 total)
Offsides
1.5
(30 total)
37
Played
14
Wins
10
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(49 total)
xG
1.30
(46.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.2
(490 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(28% acc)
Corners
5.4
(199 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
8
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(5 total)
Fouls
11.4
(422 total)
Offsides
1.6
(60 total)
No lambda data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on Birmingham as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 39 and will take place on 2026-03-21 at 2026-03-21 in the famous Pride Park Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, Birmingham. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Derby or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-21
Time: 12:30
Location: Pride Park Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Derby vs Birmingham Football 21 Mar, 2026 7:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Clinical Finishers
Both teams convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — expect goals from limited opportunities
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Derby vs Birmingham.
🏆 Match Winner
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby2 TrendsNot WinH2H
Derby have not won in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham2 TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringH2H
Birmingham efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Derby score (1.25/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Birmingham struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham1 TrendsWeak AttackLeague
Birmingham struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 1250%
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 TrendsNot WinH2H
Derby have not won in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham2 TrendsUnbeatenH2H
Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTH2H
Birmingham are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham5 TrendsScored 1+Recent
Birmingham scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 2+Recent
Birmingham scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsFirst Half SpecialistsRecent
Birmingham score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsSecond Half SpecialistsRecent
Birmingham score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Birmingham scored 1+ goals in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends17 / 2277%
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsDerby1 Trends — avg 2.2 (+12% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends22 / 2290%
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Unlock Streak TrendsBirmingham2 Trends — avg 1.8 (-8% below league)Many CardsH2H
Birmingham receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches
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Unlock Streak Trends2 / 2100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh Card MatchesLeague
Birmingham average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+16% above league avg 1.8) — rank #4 in league
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Unlock Streak Trends22 / 2289%
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Unlock Streak Trends🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 4.5 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams show aggressive play -
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Derby vs Birmingham
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.1
✈️ Birmingham
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Birmingham - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Birmingham - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.102
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.031
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Birmingham):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Derby vs Birmingham Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Mar, 2026 @ 7:30 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
15
12
8
54
45
9
57
7
▲
15
9
12
54
47
7
54
8
▼
14
11
10
57
46
11
53
11
▲
15
4
17
51
49
2
49
12
13
10
13
46
47
-1
49
13
▼
12
13
11
42
43
-1
49
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Derby or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Derby
VS
Birmingham
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
2
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (3)
1.7 (5)
xG
0.80
3.10
Shots
9.3 (28)
17 (51)
Shots on Target
3 (9)
5.7 (17)
Corners
3.3 (10)
6.7 (20)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (5)
1 (3)
xGa
3.10
0.80
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (5)
3 (9)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0.3 (1)
Fouls
7.7 (23)
17.7 (53)
Offsides
2.3 (7)
1.3 (4)
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
Birmingham
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.50
PPG
1.17
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
67%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.55
Avg xG
0.90
Derby vs Birmingham: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for Birmingham
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
Derby
Birmingham
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
10%
1
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Derby
Birmingham
12
90%
9
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
Derby
Birmingham
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
60%
6
70%
7
4+
30%
3
10%
1
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
Birmingham
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
Derby
Birmingham
xG
1.49
1.15
xGa
0.79
0.81
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Derby
Birmingham
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Derby
Birmingham
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Derby
Birmingham
0-1
70%
7
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Derby
Birmingham
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Derby
Birmingham
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Derby
Birmingham
0-1
40%
4
80%
8
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1.35
xG
0.89
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
1
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