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Derby
1
1
Portsmouth
Derby vs Birmingham: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 March, 2026 11:00
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
▼
8
7
7
36
31
5
31
12
8
7
7
31
30
1
31
13
▼
8
7
7
31
31
0
31
14
▼
8
5
9
30
29
1
29
15
6
10
6
27
27
0
28
1.07
xG
0.65
55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
8
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Derby
VS
Birmingham
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.33
PPG
0.83
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
83%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.09
Avg xG
0.98
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Derby will take on Birmingham as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 39 and will take place on 2026-03-21 at 2026-03-21 in the famous Pride Park Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Derby, and the visiting side, Birmingham. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-21
Time: 15:00
Location: Pride Park Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Derby vs Birmingham Football 21 Mar, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Clinical Finishers
Both teams convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — expect goals from limited opportunities
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Derby vs Birmingham, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Derby(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Derby have not won in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
Birmingham(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H2/2100%Birmingham efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague9/1275%Derby score (1.25/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 60%)
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/1250%Birmingham struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Birmingham(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague6/1250%Birmingham struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 50% of matches
🛡️ Double Chance
Derby(1 trends)
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Derby have not won in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches
Birmingham(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H2/2100%Birmingham are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
⚡ Team Total Goals
Birmingham(5 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent2/2100%Birmingham scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 2+Recent2/2100%Birmingham scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Birmingham score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Birmingham score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 1+Recent17/2277%Birmingham scored 1+ goals in 17 of their last 22 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Birmingham(2 trends) — avg 2.1 (+7% above league)
- Many CardsH2H2/2100%Birmingham receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Championship matches
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2289%Birmingham average 2.1 cards/match in all matches (+16% above league avg 1.8) — rank #4 in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 4.5 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
+5 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Derby vs Birmingham
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Birmingham is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (16 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (16 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
✈️ Birmingham
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.17
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Birmingham - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Birmingham - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Birmingham often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 1)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Birmingham scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Birmingham is stronger in the first half (16 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Birmingham to win the first half
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.105
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.112
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.035 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.06 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Birmingham):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Derby vs Birmingham Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Mar, 2026 @ 11:00 Championship
Derby vs Birmingham: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Derby and away matches for Birmingham
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
0%
0
100%
10
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
90%
9
70%
7
No
10%
1
30%
3
1X2
Derby
Birmingham
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Derby
Birmingham
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Derby
Birmingham
0-1
0%
0
0%
0
2-3
70%
7
60%
6
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Derby
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Derby
Birmingham
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
40%
4
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Derby
Birmingham
xG
1.02
1.5
xGa
1.07
1.11
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Derby
Birmingham
1
70%
7
50%
5
X
20%
2
0%
0
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
Derby
Birmingham
12
80%
8
100%
10
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
30%
3
50%
5
Total Goals
Derby
Birmingham
0-1
70%
7
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
Number of goals
Derby
Under
Over
Birmingham
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2
Derby
Birmingham
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Derby
Birmingham
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Derby
Birmingham
0-1
30%
3
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Derby
Birmingham
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Derby
Birmingham
Played:
2
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
1
1
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
2
1
Goals
2
4
4
2
Goals Conceded
1
2
3
1.5
Yellow Cards
3
6
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.5
1
9
4.5
Corners
4
8
10
5
Fouls
18.5
37
6
3
Offsides
1
2
23
11.5
Shots
13
26
8
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 15 | 1.6 | 16 | 1.4 | 31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 18 | 1.2 | 12 | 1.4 | 30 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 26 | 2.5 | 25 | 2.3 | 51 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.2 | 4 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 64 | 4 | 40 | 4.7 | 104 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 131 | 12.5 | 125 | 11.6 | 256 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 23 | 0.9 | 9 | 1.5 | 32 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 123 | 7.8 | 78 | 9.1 | 201 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.3 | 40 | 2.9 | 29 | 3.1 | 69 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 2 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.2 | 22 | 0.7 | 8 | 1.4 | 30 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 9 | 1.7 | 20 | 1.3 | 29 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.1 | 21 | 1.9 | 23 | 2 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 3 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 5 |
| Corners | 6 | 60 | 4.6 | 55 | 5.2 | 115 |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 123 | 11.2 | 134 | 11.7 | 257 |
| Offsides | 1.3 | 13 | 1.3 | 16 | 1.3 | 29 |
| Shots | 17.5 | 175 | 9.6 | 115 | 13.2 | 290 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 50 | 2.1 | 25 | 3.4 | 75 |