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Form
Form
Premier League 2025-2026 • Matchweek 22
Preview
Chelsea
Chelsea
8th place
Form
VS
15:00
17 Jan 2026
Brentford
Brentford
5th place
Form
AI Prediction Brentford AH+1.5
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Chelsea vs Brentford: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 9:00

Winner (1x2)1.76
Chelsea to Win
Probability 50%
Total Goals1.71
Over 2.5
Probability 60%
Both Teams to Score1.68
Yes
Probability 64%
Chelsea Total1.40
Home Under 2.5
Probability 71%
Brentford Total1.08
Away Under 2.5
Probability 85%
Double Chance1.22
Chelsea/Draw
Probability 73%
Asian Handicap1.23
Brentford +2
Probability 80%
Best Tip
Value
Asian Handicap Brentford +1.5
Odds 1.45
Win Prob. 72.2% EV: +4.6%
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Prediction League
Premier League 2025-2026
15:00
Chelsea W 50%
:
Brentford W 27%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Chelsea
d l d d l
13 Played
7 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (24 total)
xG
1.80 (23.7 total)
Shots per Match
15 (195 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (34% acc)
Corners
6.7 (87 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (46%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (4 total)
Fouls
11.9 (155 total)
Offsides
1.6 (21 total)
14 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (23 total)
xG
1.30 (18.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.1 (169 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (37% acc)
Corners
4.5 (63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.6 (163 total)
Offsides
1.8 (25 total)
27 Played
11 Wins
8 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (47 total)
xG
1.60 (42.2 total)
Shots per Match
13.5 (364 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (36% acc)
Corners
5.6 (150 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (37%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (7 total)
Fouls
11.8 (318 total)
Offsides
1.7 (46 total)
Brentford
w w d w w
11 Played
7 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (23 total)
xG
1.80 (19.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.1 (122 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (39% acc)
Corners
3.7 (41 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.2 (123 total)
Offsides
1.8 (20 total)
10 Played
3 Wins
0 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (12 total)
xG
1.20 (11.9 total)
Shots per Match
8.8 (88 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (42% acc)
Corners
6.1 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.7 (107 total)
Offsides
1.5 (15 total)
21 Played
10 Wins
3 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (35 total)
xG
1.50 (31.7 total)
Shots per Match
10 (210 total)
Shots on Target
4 (40% acc)
Corners
4.9 (102 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11 (230 total)
Offsides
1.7 (35 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.86 vs 1.33
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.24%
0:1
5.58%
0:2
3.67%
0:3
1.61%
0:4
0.53%
0:5
0.14%
1
1:0
7.83%
1:1
10.35%
🔥
1:2
6.85%
1:3
3.02%
1:4
1%
1:5
0.26%
2
2:0
7.22%
2:1
9.61%
2:2
6.4%
2:3
2.84%
2:4
0.94%
2:5
0.25%
3
3:0
4.44%
3:1
5.94%
3:2
3.98%
3:3
1.78%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.16%
4
4:0
2.05%
4:1
2.76%
4:2
1.86%
4:3
0.84%
4:4
0.28%
4:5
0.08%
5
5:0
0.75%
5:1
1.02%
5:2
0.69%
5:3
0.31%
5:4
0.11%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.4%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.2%
0
13.4%
1
21.2%
2
22.5%
3
17.9%
4
11.5%
5
5.9%
6
2.4%
7
0.8%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

ChelseaHDPBrentford
12.7%
Very Low@ 5.50
-2.5
4.0%
Very Low
20.3%
Low@ 4.50
-2
7.8%
Very Low
27.8%
Low@ 2.95
-1.5
11.6%
@ 9.50Very Low
38.9%
Low@ 2.26
-1
19.5%
@ 8.20Very Low
49.9%
Medium@ 1.71
-0.5
27.4%
@ 4.40Low
72.6%
High@ 1.20
+0.5
50.1%
@ 2.24Medium
80.5%
Very High@ 1.02
+1
61.1%
@ 1.85High
88.3%
Very High@ 1.04
+1.5
72.2%
@ 1.45High
92.2%
Very High
+2
79.7%
@ 1.23High
96.0%
Very High
+2.5
87.3%
@ 1.15Very High

Team Total Predictions

ChelseaOutcomeBrentford
84.4%
Very High@ 1.14
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.46High
15.6%
Very Low@ 6.40
Under 0.5
26.5%
@ 2.79Low
55.5%
Medium@ 1.66
Over 1.5
38.4%
@ 3.15Low
44.5%
Medium@ 2.30
Under 1.5
61.6%
@ 1.40High
28.6%
Low@ 3.05
Over 2.5
15.0%
@ 9.00Very Low
71.5%
High@ 1.39
Under 2.5
85.0%
@ 1.08Very High
11.9%
Very Low@ 6.60
Over 3.5
4.6%
@ 23.00Very Low
88.2%
Very High@ 1.13
Under 3.5
95.4%
@ 1.02Very High
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Chelsea will take on Brentford as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 22 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Stamford Bridge. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Chelsea, and the visiting side, Brentford. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Brentford. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-17 Time: 15:00 Location: Stamford Bridge Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Chelsea vs Brentford Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 9:00 Football

AI Value Bets
6 Found

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Premium Tip Brentford +1
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Win to Nil Chelsea NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 79.2%
EV: +6.9%
Stake: $7.14
1.35
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 63.6%
EV: +6.9%
Stake: $3.68
1.68
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 63.6%
EV: +6.9%
Stake: $3.68
1.68
Asian Handicap Brentford +1.5
Value
Prob: 72.2%
EV: +4.6%
Stake: $5.56
1.45
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 59.7%
EV: +2.0%
Stake: $3.52
1.71
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 08:30:53
spinner

Trends for Chelsea vs Brentford Football 17 Jan, 2026 9:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Chelsea have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Chelsea create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Chelsea vs Brentford

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Brentford is stronger in the second half (18 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Brentford is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Chelsea

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Brentford

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.32
Pressure
0.2

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Chelsea - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

✈️ Brentford - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Chelsea - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Brentford - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Brentford shows superior performance after the break (18 vs 9 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Brentford winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Brentford excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Brentford scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Chelsea has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Chelsea handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.165
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.124
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Chelsea):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Brentford):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Chelsea
Brentford

Chelsea vs Brentford Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 9:00 Premier League

Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
Liverpool
w w d d d
>
21
10
5
6
32
28
4
35
5
Brentford
w w d w w
>
21
10
3
8
35
28
7
33
6
Newcastle
d l w w w
>
21
9
5
7
32
27
5
32
7
21
8
8
5
36
32
4
32
8
Chelsea
d l d d l
>
21
8
7
6
34
24
10
31
9
Fulham
w w d d w
>
21
9
4
8
30
30
0
31
Team comparison
Prediction
Brentford AH+1.5
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Chelsea
VS
Brentford
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
4 Draws
3 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (8)
1.4 (13)
xG
1.50
1.40
Shots
16.9 (152)
10.6 (95)
Shots on Target
5 (45)
4.3 (39)
Corners
6.7 (60)
3.8 (34)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 (13)
0.9 (8)
xGa
1.40
1.50
Clean Sheets
3 (33%)
4 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 (10)
1.8 (16)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
9.3 (84)
9.9 (89)
Offsides
1.6 (14)
1.3 (12)
13 Sep
- 19:00
Brentford
Chelsea
1.41
xG
1.13
2
2
Prob 71%
Double Chance X2
Odd 1.23
6 Apr
- 13:00
Brentford
Chelsea
1.18
xG
1.23
0
0
15 Dec
- 19:00
Chelsea
Brentford
2.23
xG
1.61
2
1
2 Mar
- 15:00
Brentford
Chelsea
2
2
28 Oct
- 11:30
Chelsea
Brentford
0
2
26 Apr
- 18:45
Chelsea
Brentford
0
2
19 Oct
- 18:30
Brentford
Chelsea
0
0
2 Apr
- 14:00
Chelsea
Brentford
1
4
16 Oct
- 16:30
Brentford
Chelsea
0
1
Last 6 Matches
Chelsea
VS
Brentford
1/6 (17%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.00 PPG 2.33
1.50 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
83% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.83 Avg xG 1.84
Chelsea
D L D D L
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Jan 2026 - 19:30
Fulham
2 1
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Manchester City
1 1
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
30 Dec 2025 - 19:30
Chelsea
2 2
Bournemouth
Premier League 2025-2026
27 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Chelsea
1 2
Aston Villa
Premier League 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Newcastle
2 2
Chelsea
Premier League 2025-2026
13 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Chelsea
2 0
Everton
Brentford
W W D W W
Premier League 2025-2026
7 Jan 2026 - 19:30
Brentford
3 0
Sunderland
Premier League 2025-2026
4 Jan 2026 - 15:00
Everton
2 4
Brentford
Premier League 2025-2026
1 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Brentford
0 0
Tottenham
Premier League 2025-2026
27 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Brentford
4 1
Bournemouth
Premier League 2025-2026
20 Dec 2025 - 15:00
Wolves
0 2
Brentford
Premier League 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 16:30
Brentford
1 1
Leeds

Chelsea vs Brentford: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Chelsea and away matches for Brentford

Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Brentford
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Brentford
Yes
80% 8
50% 5
No
20% 2
50% 5
1X2
Chelsea
Brentford
1
10% 1
50% 5
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Chelsea
Brentford
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
90% 9
50% 5
Total Goals
Chelsea
Brentford
0-1
10% 1
10% 1
2-3
60% 6
60% 6
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
Chelsea
Under
Over
Brentford
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Brentford
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Chelsea
Brentford
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
30% 3
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Chelsea
Brentford
xG
1.48
1.61
xGa
1.63
1.43
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Brentford
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Brentford
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2
Chelsea
Brentford
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Chelsea
Brentford
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Chelsea
Brentford
0-1
60% 6
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Brentford
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2
Number of goals
Chelsea
Under
Over
Brentford
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Chelsea
Brentford
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Chelsea
Brentford
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Chelsea
Brentford
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Chelsea
Brentford
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Chelsea
Brentford
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
2.01 xG 0.97
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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