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Charlton
Charlton vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Tuesday, 20 January, 2026 13:45
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11
Played
5
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(13 total)
xG
1.00
(11.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(137 total)
Shots on Target
4
(32% acc)
Corners
4.8
(53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.2
(134 total)
Offsides
2.2
(24 total)
14
Played
2
Wins
5
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(12 total)
xG
0.80
(11.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.6
(134 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(31% acc)
Corners
3.4
(47 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
11.6
(163 total)
Offsides
1.9
(27 total)
25
Played
7
Wins
8
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(25 total)
xG
0.90
(22.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.8
(271 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(31% acc)
Corners
4
(100 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.9
(297 total)
Offsides
2
(51 total)
14
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(14.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(144 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
5.7
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.7
(150 total)
Offsides
1.8
(25 total)
12
Played
5
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(18 total)
xG
0.80
(9.8 total)
Shots per Match
7.6
(91 total)
Shots on Target
2.7
(35% acc)
Corners
3.8
(45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.5
(150 total)
Offsides
0.9
(11 total)
26
Played
9
Wins
8
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(35 total)
xG
0.90
(23.9 total)
Shots per Match
9
(235 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(34% acc)
Corners
4.8
(125 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
11.5
(300 total)
Offsides
1.4
(36 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.02 vs 1.48
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.99%
0:1
12.53%
🔥
0:2
8.73%
⭐
0:3
4.06%
⭐
0:4
1.41%
⭐
0:5
0.39%
⭐
1
1:0
8.4%
1:1
12.48%
1:2
9.24%
⭐
1:3
4.54%
⭐
1:4
1.67%
⭐
1:5
0.49%
⭐
2
2:0
3.92%
2:1
6.19%
2:2
4.85%
2:3
2.52%
⭐
2:4
0.98%
⭐
2:5
0.3%
⭐
3
3:0
1.22%
3:1
2.04%
3:2
1.69%
3:3
0.92%
⭐
3:4
0.38%
⭐
3:5
0.12%
4
4:0
0.29%
4:1
0.5%
4:2
0.44%
4:3
0.25%
⭐
4:4
0.11%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.05%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.09%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
0:1 (12.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Charlton will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-01-20 at 2026-01-20 in the famous The Valley.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Charlton, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest No predictions available.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-20
Time: 19:45
Location: The Valley
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Charlton vs Derby Tuesday, Jan 20th, 2026 at 13:45 Football
AI Value Bets
3 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Charlton vs Derby Football 20 Jan, 2026 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Clinical Finishers
Both teams convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — expect goals from limited opportunities
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Charlton vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Derby @ 3.20 ✅ 
Derby
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Efficient ScoringRecent20/2291%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 20 of their last 22 Championship matches
Derby demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.07 ⚠️ 
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/1070%Derby score (1.60/match) and concede (1.20/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 70% of matches (league avg: 60%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.53 ⚠️ 
Charlton(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent18/2186%Charlton scored 0-1 goals in 18 of their last 21 Championship matches
Derby(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
⚡ Team Total Goals — Derby Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.42 ⚠️ 
Derby
- Above League AverageLeague10/1070.5%Derby score 1.60 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Derby's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Derby(1 trends) — avg 2.3 (+17% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague22/2290%Derby average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+26% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
Charlton disciplined play balances Derby aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.90 ✅
Charlton(2 trends) — avg 4.4 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1077%Charlton average 4.4 corners/match at home (-12% below league avg 5.0)
- Few CornersRecent16/2080%Charlton win 4 or fewer corners in 16 of their last 20 Championship matches
Derby(1 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague10/1076%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 5.0)
Combined average: 8.8 corners/match (Charlton 4.4 + Derby 4.4) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Charlton vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Charlton is stronger in the second half (13 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Charlton is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Charlton is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Charlton
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.06
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Charlton - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Charlton - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Charlton shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Charlton winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Charlton excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Charlton scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Derby has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Derby handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.208
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.079
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Charlton):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Charlton vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Tue 20 Jan, 2026 @ 13:45 Championship
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
▲
10
7
9
37
38
-1
37
13
▼
9
8
9
35
35
0
35
14
▲
9
7
10
35
36
-1
34
18
9
4
13
29
35
-6
31
19
7
8
10
25
32
-7
29
20
7
7
11
24
30
-6
28
Team comparison
Prediction
No predictions available
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Charlton
VS
Derby
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
1 (1)
xG
0.40
1.60
Shots
9 (9)
15 (15)
Shots on Target
3 (3)
2 (2)
Corners
2 (2)
4 (4)
Defense
Conceded
1 (1)
1 (1)
xGa
1.60
0.40
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0 (0)
2 (2)
Fouls
9 (9)
11 (11)
Offsides
0 (0)
1 (1)
Last 6 Matches
Charlton
VS
Derby
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.00
PPG
1.33
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.95
Avg xG
0.90
Charlton vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Charlton and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Charlton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Charlton
Derby
Yes
70%
7
80%
8
No
30%
3
20%
2
1X2
Charlton
Derby
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
60%
6
40%
4
Double Chance
Charlton
Derby
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
40%
4
60%
6
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Charlton
Derby
0-1
20%
2
10%
1
2-3
50%
5
80%
8
4+
30%
3
10%
1
Total Corners
Charlton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Charlton
Derby
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Charlton
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Charlton
Derby
xG
0.76
0.98
xGa
1.35
1.12
Number of goals
Charlton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Charlton
Derby
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
Charlton
Derby
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
60%
6
20%
2
Double Chance
Charlton
Derby
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
40%
4
80%
8
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Charlton
Derby
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Charlton
Derby
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
Number of goals
Charlton
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Charlton
Derby
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Charlton
Derby
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Charlton
Derby
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Charlton
Derby
0-1
90%
9
60%
6
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Charlton
Derby
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
0.86
xG
1.32
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found