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Form
Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 26
Preview
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
16th place
Form
VS
18:00
23 Apr 2026
SC Braga
SC Braga
4th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or SC Braga
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Casa Pia vs SC Braga: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 23 April, 2026 13:00

Winner (1x2)1.57
SC Braga to Win
Probability 62%
Total Goals1.78
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Both Teams to Score1.73
No (NG)
Probability 54%
Casa Pia Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 95%
SC Braga Total1.30
Away Under 2.5
Probability 74%
Double Chance1.09
Draw/SC Braga
Probability 86%
Asian Handicap1.47
Casa Pia +1.5
Probability 67%
Best Tip PREMIUM

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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
18:00
Casa Pia W 14%
:
SC Braga W 62%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Casa Pia
d l d l d
14 Played
2 Wins
8 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (17 total)
xG
0.90 (12.5 total)
Shots per Match
7.7 (108 total)
Shots on Target
2.6 (34% acc)
Corners
2.8 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
16.4 (230 total)
Offsides
0.9 (12 total)
15 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (11 total)
xG
0.90 (12.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.1 (137 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (31% acc)
Corners
4.3 (65 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.7 (220 total)
Offsides
1.7 (26 total)
29 Played
5 Wins
11 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (28 total)
xG
0.90 (25.4 total)
Shots per Match
8.4 (245 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (33% acc)
Corners
3.6 (104 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
15.5 (450 total)
Offsides
1.3 (38 total)
SC Braga
l w d w w
22 Played
14 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (48 total)
xG
1.50 (32.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (225 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (41% acc)
Corners
4.7 (103 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.80 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.6 (234 total)
Offsides
1.3 (28 total)
22 Played
12 Wins
6 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (40 total)
xG
1.50 (31.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (255 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (42% acc)
Corners
5 (109 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (41%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.1 (244 total)
Offsides
1.3 (28 total)
44 Played
26 Wins
10 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (88 total)
xG
1.50 (64.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (480 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (41% acc)
Corners
4.8 (212 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
20 (45%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
10.9 (478 total)
Offsides
1.3 (56 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.79 vs 1.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.87%
0:1
14.57%
🔥
0:2
11.96%
0:3
6.55%
0:4
2.69%
0:5
0.88%
1
1:0
5.87%
1:1
10.78%
1:2
9.78%
1:3
5.86%
1:4
2.62%
1:5
0.93%
2
2:0
1.95%
2:1
3.95%
2:2
3.93%
2:3
2.57%
2:4
1.24%
2:5
0.47%
3
3:0
0.43%
3:1
0.95%
3:2
1.04%
3:3
0.73%
3:4
0.38%
3:5
0.16%
4
4:0
0.07%
4:1
0.17%
4:2
0.2%
4:3
0.15%
4:4
0.09%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.01%
5:1
0.02%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:1 (14.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.9%
0
20.4%
1
24.7%
2
20.7%
3
13.5%
4
7.3%
5
3.1%
6
1.0%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Casa PiaHDPSC Braga
0.6%
Very Low
-2.5
14.4%
@ 4.60Very Low
2.0%
Very Low
-2
23.9%
Low
3.4%
Very Low
-1.5
33.5%
@ 2.45Low
8.7%
Very Low
-1
47.4%
Medium
13.9%
Very Low@ 5.20
-0.5
61.2%
@ 1.50High
38.8%
Low@ 2.40
+0.5
86.1%
@ 1.11Very High
52.6%
Medium
+1
91.3%
Very High
66.5%
High@ 1.47
+1.5
96.6%
Very High
76.1%
High
+2
98.0%
Very High
85.6%
Very High@ 1.15
+2.5
99.4%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Casa PiaOutcomeSC Braga
18.8%
Very Low@ 4.40
Over 1.5
52.8%
@ 1.68Medium
81.2%
Very High@ 1.16
Under 1.5
47.2%
@ 2.00Medium
4.6%
Very Low
Over 2.5
26.1%
@ 3.15Low
95.4%
Very High
Under 2.5
73.9%
@ 1.30High

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Casa Pia vs SC Braga Thursday, Apr 23rd, 2026 at 13:00 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-19 12:33:14
spinner

Trends for Casa Pia vs SC Braga Football 23 Apr, 2026 13:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    SC Braga create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Casa Pia vs SC Braga

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Casa Pia is stronger in the second half (15 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Casa Pia is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Casa Pia

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.13

✈️ SC Braga

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.27
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Casa Pia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ SC Braga - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Casa Pia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7

✈️ SC Braga - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Casa Pia shows superior performance after the break (15 vs 9 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Casa Pia winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Casa Pia excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Casa Pia scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: SC Braga has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider SC Braga handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.156
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.027
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Casa Pia):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (SC Braga):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Casa Pia
SC Braga

Casa Pia vs SC Braga Head-to-head statistics for Thu 23 Apr, 2026 @ 13:00 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
Benfica
d w w d w
>
29
20
9
0
61
18
43
69
4
SC Braga
w d l w w
>
28
15
7
6
55
27
28
52
5
Famalicao
w w w d d
>
29
13
8
8
36
25
11
47

15
Estrela
d l w l l
>
29
6
10
13
33
48
-15
28
16
Casa Pia
d l d l d
>
29
5
11
13
28
52
-24
26
17
Tondela
d l d l d
>
28
4
9
15
21
46
-25
21
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or SC Braga
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Casa Pia
VS
SC Braga
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
3 Wins
0 Draws
4 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (9)
2 (14)
xG
0.70
1.80
Shots
7.9 (55)
17.7 (124)
Shots on Target
2.9 (20)
6.4 (45)
Corners
2.7 (19)
6.1 (43)
Defense
Conceded
2 (14)
1.3 (9)
xGa
1.80
0.70
Clean Sheets
1 (14%)
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 (17)
1.4 (10)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
13.6 (95)
10.9 (76)
Offsides
2 (14)
1.9 (13)
26 Oct
- 20:30
SC Braga
Casa Pia
2.68
xG
0.19
4
0
Prob 87%
Asian Handicap A+1.5
Odd 1.67
10 May
- 19:30
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0.75
xG
1.62
2
1
29 Dec
- 18:00
SC Braga
Casa Pia
1.13
xG
1.11
1
2
5 May
- 17:00
SC Braga
Casa Pia
4
3
30 Dec
- 18:00
Casa Pia
SC Braga
1
3
21 Apr
- 19:15
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
6 Nov
- 18:00
SC Braga
Casa Pia
0
1
Last 6 Matches
Casa Pia
VS
SC Braga
0/6 (0%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
4/6 (67%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
0.67 PPG 2.17
0.50 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
50% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
0.93 Avg xG 1.23
Casa Pia
D L D L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Casa Pia
0 0
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Apr 2026 - 14:30
Alverca
3 1
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Apr 2026 - 19:45
Casa Pia
1 1
Benfica
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Mar 2026 - 20:15
Estrela
4 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 20:30
Estoril
0 0
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Casa Pia
1 1
Moreirense
SC Braga
L W D W W
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
16 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Real Betis
2 4
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Apr 2026 - 17:00
SC Braga
1 0
Arouca
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
8 Apr 2026 - 16:45
SC Braga
1 1
Real Betis
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Apr 2026 - 17:00
Moreirense
0 1
SC Braga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 20:30
SC Braga
1 2
FC Porto
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
18 Mar 2026 - 15:30
SC Braga
4 0
Ferencvarosi TC

Casa Pia vs SC Braga: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Casa Pia and away matches for SC Braga

Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
SC Braga
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
SC Braga
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1X2
Casa Pia
SC Braga
1
20% 2
60% 6
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Casa Pia
SC Braga
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
80% 8
40% 4
Total Goals
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
30% 3
40% 4
Total Corners
Casa Pia
Under
Over
SC Braga
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
SC Braga
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Casa Pia
SC Braga
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
40% 4
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Casa Pia
SC Braga
xG
0.96
1.38
xGa
1.56
1.07
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
SC Braga
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
SC Braga
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Casa Pia
SC Braga
1
40% 4
50% 5
X
40% 4
20% 2
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Casa Pia
SC Braga
12
60% 6
80% 8
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
50% 5
Total Goals
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0-1
70% 7
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
SC Braga
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
Number of goals
Casa Pia
Under
Over
SC Braga
Under
Over
0.5
90% 9
10% 1
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Casa Pia
SC Braga
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Casa Pia
SC Braga
1
0% 0
40% 4
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Casa Pia
SC Braga
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
100% 10
60% 6
Total Goals
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Casa Pia
SC Braga
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
0.77 xG 1.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots Off Goal 8
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Casa Pia will take on SC Braga as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 26 and will take place on 2026-04-23 at 2026-04-23 in the famous Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Casa Pia, and the visiting side, SC Braga. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or SC Braga. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-23 Time: 18:00 Location: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!